Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[227])
215	2466.92	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
216	2502.66	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
217	2539.91	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
218	2482.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
219	2626.15	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
220	2656.32	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
221	2446.66	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
222	2467.38	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
223	2462.32	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
224	2504.58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
225	2579.39	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
226	2649.24	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
227	2636.87	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
228	2700	2651.3975	2421.624	2881.1709	0.3392	0.5493	0.8977	0.5493
229	2725	2646.2606	2272.3978	3020.1234	0.3399	0.3891	0.7114	0.5196
230	2750	2645.7689	2167.7088	3123.8291	0.3346	0.3727	0.7482	0.5146
231	2775	2661.3904	2082.9241	3239.8567	0.3501	0.382	0.5475	0.5331
232	2800	2653.1193	1980.9944	3325.2441	0.3342	0.3611	0.4963	0.5189
233	2825	2629.7228	1874.0085	3385.4371	0.3063	0.3294	0.6825	0.4926

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
228	0.0442	0.0183	0	2362.2077	0	0
229	0.0721	0.0298	0.024	6199.8921	4281.0499	65.4297
230	0.0922	0.0394	0.0292	10864.1184	6475.406	80.4699
231	0.1109	0.0427	0.0325	12907.1413	8083.3398	89.9074
232	0.1293	0.0554	0.0371	21573.9542	10781.4627	103.8338
233	0.1466	0.0743	0.0433	38133.1819	15340.0826	123.8551