Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	286	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	324	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	336	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	327	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	302	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	299	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	311	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	315	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	264	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	278	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	278	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	287	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	279	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	324	314.3127	295.2552	333.3701	0.1595	0.9999	0.1595	0.9999
50	354	329.1425	303.7163	354.5686	0.0277	0.6541	0.2985	0.9999
51	354	322.6069	291.8191	353.3946	0.0228	0.0228	0.3899	0.9972
52	360	292.5453	257.2712	327.8193	1e-04	3e-04	0.2997	0.7742
53	363	289.1004	249.832	328.3688	1e-04	2e-04	0.3106	0.6929
54	385	300.8416	257.9537	343.7296	1e-04	0.0023	0.3212	0.8409
55	412	304.2171	257.991	350.4432	0	3e-04	0.3238	0.8575
56	370	253.9859	204.6473	303.3245	0	0	0.3454	0.1602
57	389	264.7849	212.5187	317.0511	0	0	0.3101	0.297
58	395	263.7128	208.6748	318.7508	0	0	0.3054	0.2931
59	417	271.5315	213.8537	329.2094	0	0	0.2996	0.3998
60	404	253.7858	193.5877	313.9839	0	0	0.2058	0.2058

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.0309	0.0308	0.0026	93.8444	7.8204	2.7965
50	0.0394	0.0755	0.0063	617.8958	51.4913	7.1757
51	0.0487	0.0973	0.0081	985.5297	82.1275	9.0624
52	0.0615	0.2306	0.0192	4550.143	379.1786	19.4725
53	0.0693	0.2556	0.0213	5461.1527	455.0961	21.333
54	0.0727	0.2797	0.0233	7082.6299	590.2192	24.2944
55	0.0775	0.3543	0.0295	11617.1587	968.0966	31.1143
56	0.0991	0.4568	0.0381	13459.2759	1121.6063	33.4904
57	0.1007	0.4691	0.0391	15429.3892	1285.7824	35.8578
58	0.1065	0.4978	0.0415	17236.3325	1436.361	37.8994
59	0.1084	0.5357	0.0446	21161.0803	1763.4234	41.9931
60	0.121	0.5919	0.0493	22564.2984	1880.3582	43.3631