Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[55])
43	3953	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	3828	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	4440	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	4026	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	4109	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	4785	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	3224	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	3552	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
51	3940	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
52	3913	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
53	3681	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
54	4309	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
55	3830	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
56	4143	3863.6829	2827.2733	4900.0926	0.2987	0.5254	0.5269	0.5254
57	4087	4094.888	3032.4672	5157.3089	0.4942	0.4646	0.2622	0.6875
58	3818	3897.7138	2794.0945	5001.3332	0.4437	0.3684	0.4099	0.5479
59	3380	3926.2448	2630.2018	5222.2877	0.2044	0.565	0.3911	0.5579
60	3430	4010.0579	2667.6864	5352.4294	0.1985	0.8212	0.1289	0.6037
61	3458	3929.8145	2528.9416	5330.6874	0.2546	0.7578	0.8383	0.5555
62	3970	3946.9474	2446.2028	5447.6921	0.488	0.7385	0.697	0.5607
63	5260	3976.7797	2422.5387	5531.0207	0.0528	0.5034	0.5185	0.5734
64	5024	3944.47	2330.7386	5558.2014	0.0949	0.055	0.5152	0.5553
65	5634	3953.4713	2269.0062	5637.9364	0.0253	0.1064	0.6244	0.5571
66	6549	3963.8544	2225.5926	5702.1162	0.0018	0.0298	0.3486	0.56
67	4676	3950.9771	2156.7582	5745.1959	0.2142	0.0023	0.5526	0.5526

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
56	0.1369	0.0723	0	78018.0243	0	0
57	0.1324	-0.0019	0.0371	62.2213	39040.1228	197.5857
58	0.1445	-0.0205	0.0316	6354.2964	28144.8473	167.7643
59	0.1684	-0.1391	0.0584	298383.3684	95704.4776	309.3614
60	0.1708	-0.1447	0.0757	336467.1859	143857.0193	379.2849
61	0.1819	-0.1201	0.0831	222608.9505	156982.3411	396.21
62	0.194	0.0058	0.072	531.4214	134632.2097	366.9226
63	0.1994	0.3227	0.1034	1646654.3497	323634.9772	568.8892
64	0.2087	0.2737	0.1223	1165385.0375	417162.7617	645.8814
65	0.2174	0.4251	0.1526	2824176.694	657864.1549	811.0883
66	0.2237	0.6522	0.198	6682977.7256	1205601.7523	1097.999
67	0.2317	0.1835	0.1968	525658.2639	1148939.7949	1071.8861