| Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast | ||||||||
| time | Y[t] | F[t] | 95% LB | 95% UB | p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t]) | P(F[t]>Y[t-1]) | P(F[t]>Y[t-s]) | P(F[t]>Y[213]) |
| 201 | 2962.34 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 202 | 2197.82 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 203 | 2014.45 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 204 | 1862.83 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 205 | 1905.41 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 206 | 1810.99 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 207 | 1670.07 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 208 | 1864.44 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 209 | 2052.02 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 210 | 2029.6 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 211 | 2070.83 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 212 | 2293.41 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 213 | 2443.27 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 214 | 2513.17 | 2419.7716 | 2187.2179 | 2652.3253 | 0.2156 | 0.4215 | 0.9693 | 0.4215 |
| 215 | 2466.92 | 2469.1024 | 2089.3683 | 2848.8365 | 0.4955 | 0.41 | 0.9905 | 0.553 |
| 216 | 2502.66 | 2483.5081 | 1996.8987 | 2970.1175 | 0.4693 | 0.5266 | 0.9938 | 0.5644 |
| Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance | ||||||
| time | % S.E. | PE | MAPE | Sq.E | MSE | RMSE |
| 214 | 0.049 | 0.0386 | 0 | 8723.26 | 0 | 0 |
| 215 | 0.0785 | -9e-04 | 0.0197 | 4.7628 | 4364.0114 | 66.0607 |
| 216 | 0.1 | 0.0077 | 0.0157 | 366.7942 | 3031.6057 | 55.06 |
