| Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast | ||||||||
| time | Y[t] | F[t] | 95% LB | 95% UB | p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t]) | P(F[t]>Y[t-1]) | P(F[t]>Y[t-s]) | P(F[t]>Y[212]) |
| 200 | 3047.03 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 201 | 2962.34 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 202 | 2197.82 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 203 | 2014.45 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 204 | 1862.83 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 205 | 1905.41 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 206 | 1810.99 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 207 | 1670.07 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 208 | 1864.44 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 209 | 2052.02 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 210 | 2029.6 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 211 | 2070.83 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 212 | 2293.41 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 213 | 2443.27 | 2326.7285 | 2094.1648 | 2559.2922 | 0.163 | 0.6106 | 0 | 0.6106 |
| 214 | 2513.17 | 2264.2406 | 1885.6033 | 2642.878 | 0.0988 | 0.177 | 0.6345 | 0.44 |
| 215 | 2466.92 | 2313.0283 | 1828.9316 | 2797.1251 | 0.2666 | 0.2089 | 0.8866 | 0.5317 |
| 216 | 2502.66 | 2312.6875 | 1727.5511 | 2897.8239 | 0.2623 | 0.3027 | 0.9341 | 0.5257 |
| Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance | ||||||
| time | % S.E. | PE | MAPE | Sq.E | MSE | RMSE |
| 213 | 0.051 | 0.0501 | 0 | 13581.928 | 0 | 0 |
| 214 | 0.0853 | 0.1099 | 0.08 | 61965.8405 | 37773.8842 | 194.355 |
| 215 | 0.1068 | 0.0665 | 0.0755 | 23682.6435 | 33076.804 | 181.8703 |
| 216 | 0.1291 | 0.0821 | 0.0772 | 36089.5528 | 33829.9912 | 183.9293 |
