| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -1.0256 | -0.6136 | -0.1521 | -0.9983 | -0.7658 | -0.4072 | 0.2762 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (8e-04 ) | (0.2388 ) | (0 ) | (0.1818 ) | (0.0904 ) | (0.6575 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -1.0179 | -0.5968 | -0.1499 | -0.9982 | -0.5142 | -0.3081 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (8e-04 ) | (0.2452 ) | (0 ) | (2e-04 ) | (0.0732 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | -0.9402 | -0.4461 | 0 | -1.0016 | -0.5369 | -0.3152 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (2e-04 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (1e-04 ) | (0.0658 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | -0.9742 | -0.4468 | 0 | -1.0014 | -0.4618 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (2e-04 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (3e-04 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 5541.25053290481 |
| -26717.2631373883 |
| -11096.8938495013 |
| 14084.4649923033 |
| 13010.9061967 |
| 223945.398198488 |
| -251634.409606684 |
| -119098.276978991 |
| 50755.3492216522 |
| 85286.7486171569 |
| -118295.357417467 |
| -27949.5984842587 |
| -8831.6318054938 |
| 81876.7986759022 |
| 111213.435799922 |
| -209439.267485816 |
| 102709.407732824 |
| -142057.309692732 |
| 224215.15055235 |
| 159976.984307709 |
| 50329.5963208744 |
| -88286.3930182652 |
| -2243.52417341197 |
| -45436.8202021278 |
| -95395.997962044 |
| -110290.858203990 |
| -51662.9063146404 |
| -76675.0534672818 |
| -36681.2975568886 |
| -46055.5753885475 |
| 161247.512431262 |
| 127419.962009706 |
| 12952.7536599314 |
| -67934.4670124602 |
| -4593.51767474543 |
| -22020.9682773320 |
| 92522.2675639386 |
| 69956.299209602 |
| -198425.794955626 |
| 73598.859296121 |
| 30371.3686477884 |
| -61250.7054894422 |
| 147406.287862065 |
| 69233.3971561549 |
| -42776.0057326601 |
| -77570.6822775456 |
| -16129.2369725288 |
| 23547.726738058 |
| -59135.8641103752 |
| -75223.804557123 |
| 18080.0748124718 |
| 5755.79845291289 |
| 4421.23825175518 |
| -9909.98704405827 |
| 105634.782959724 |
| 4954.18782811865 |
| -15609.1018257305 |
| -37191.883874967 |
| -11.6995275141632 |
