Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 57.7 | NA | NA | 0.742642680514456 | NA |
2 | 63.6 | NA | NA | 0.809533496184677 | NA |
3 | 78 | NA | NA | 0.957061403008848 | NA |
4 | 77.4 | NA | NA | 0.932479236330016 | NA |
5 | 74.1 | NA | NA | 0.938635699865698 | NA |
6 | 85.9 | NA | NA | 1.03062188643898 | NA |
7 | 82 | 86.664842469689 | 80.9166666666667 | 1.07103821795702 | 0.94617376162288 |
8 | 78.4 | 76.398164009466 | 80.9291666666667 | 0.94401273553374 | 1.0262026714449 |
9 | 68.1 | 71.0649583788139 | 81.225 | 0.874914846153449 | 0.958278194394921 |
10 | 70.9 | 73.6147199735074 | 81.0458333333333 | 0.908309742102811 | 0.96312259321934 |
11 | 85.2 | 80.067908740653 | 80.8291666666667 | 0.990581890703476 | 1.06409673163777 |
12 | 149.6 | 145.776117878311 | 80.9791666666667 | 1.80016816520683 | 1.02623119738228 |
13 | 57.9 | 60.1757175331859 | 81.0291666666667 | 0.742642680514456 | 0.962182128830771 |
14 | 63.7 | 65.8353115772189 | 81.325 | 0.809533496184677 | 0.967565862056955 |
15 | 85 | 78.0204431244504 | 81.5208333333333 | 0.957061403008848 | 1.08945805222378 |
16 | 66.1 | 76.2806868619467 | 81.8041666666667 | 0.932479236330016 | 0.866536507722173 |
17 | 80.2 | 77.1988753318709 | 82.2458333333333 | 0.938635699865698 | 1.03887523821076 |
18 | 83.4 | 85.3140209078466 | 82.7791666666667 | 1.03062188643898 | 0.977564990051119 |
19 | 85.7 | 89.3335126960987 | 83.4083333333333 | 1.07103821795702 | 0.959326432080877 |
20 | 81.8 | 79.214468670475 | 83.9125 | 0.94401273553374 | 1.03263963481571 |
21 | 69.4 | 73.1392356599027 | 83.5958333333333 | 0.874914846153449 | 0.94887510614289 |
22 | 76.4 | 76.2412489777547 | 83.9375 | 0.908309742102811 | 1.00208221959076 |
23 | 90.3 | 84.0921476716359 | 84.8916666666667 | 0.990581890703476 | 1.07382202144015 |
24 | 157.3 | 153.104302450841 | 85.05 | 1.80016816520683 | 1.02740417794925 |
25 | 65.3 | 63.4433453274495 | 85.4291666666667 | 0.742642680514456 | 1.02926476627246 |
26 | 68.4 | 69.4309895227725 | 85.7666666666667 | 0.809533496184677 | 0.985150873840933 |
27 | 72.7 | 82.3312071938361 | 86.025 | 0.957061403008848 | 0.88301875410182 |
28 | 86.6 | 80.7332752154226 | 86.5791666666667 | 0.932479236330016 | 1.07266798936279 |
29 | 82.6 | 81.3679822321077 | 86.6875 | 0.938635699865698 | 1.01514130907631 |
30 | 84.8 | 89.5180993529456 | 86.8583333333333 | 1.03062188643898 | 0.947294464616106 |
31 | 93.4 | 93.6578295011001 | 87.4458333333333 | 1.07103821795702 | 0.997247112147767 |
32 | 82.2 | 82.9669192942216 | 87.8875 | 0.94401273553374 | 0.99075632431883 |
33 | 75.2 | 77.4481912772084 | 88.5208333333333 | 0.874914846153449 | 0.970971674868926 |
34 | 83.9 | 80.9871673802419 | 89.1625 | 0.908309742102811 | 1.03596659463446 |
35 | 85.4 | 88.5621484534353 | 89.4041666666667 | 0.990581890703476 | 0.964294582858975 |
36 | 166.3 | 161.775112446587 | 89.8666666666667 | 1.80016816520683 | 1.02797023278168 |
37 | 70.4 | 67.462898835734 | 90.8416666666667 | 0.742642680514456 | 1.04353653956403 |
38 | 73.9 | 74.0250921136205 | 91.4416666666667 | 0.809533496184677 | 0.998310139034633 |
39 | 82.4 | 87.8941265988251 | 91.8375 | 0.957061403008848 | 0.937491538838518 |
40 | 92.3 | 86.1028014846229 | 92.3375 | 0.932479236330016 | 1.07197441208093 |
41 | 82.7 | 87.0349952700469 | 92.725 | 0.938635699865698 | 0.950192502951295 |
42 | 95.8 | 96.2128473569388 | 93.3541666666667 | 1.03062188643898 | 0.995709020486555 |
43 | 105.8 | 100.405370274229 | 93.7458333333333 | 1.07103821795702 | 1.05372849789844 |
44 | 84.2 | 88.5955952298415 | 93.85 | 0.94401273553374 | 0.950385849110916 |
45 | 82.7 | 82.8252721025265 | 94.6666666666667 | 0.874914846153449 | 0.998487513540898 |
46 | 88.4 | 86.3764718500519 | 95.0958333333333 | 0.908309742102811 | 1.02342684421588 |
47 | 90.2 | 94.291013721337 | 95.1875 | 0.990581890703476 | 0.956612899152538 |
48 | 176.6 | 172.388603920619 | 95.7625 | 1.80016816520683 | 1.02442966636774 |
49 | 69.5 | 71.4917353775249 | 96.2666666666667 | 0.742642680514456 | 0.972140340879863 |
50 | 77.3 | 78.4640341176998 | 96.925 | 0.809533496184677 | 0.98516474291962 |
51 | 98.6 | 93.580666435036 | 97.7791666666667 | 0.957061403008848 | 1.05363643748411 |
52 | 86.4 | 91.7015622327544 | 98.3416666666667 | 0.932479236330016 | 0.942186783914345 |
53 | 90.8 | 92.7098302721516 | 98.7708333333333 | 0.938635699865698 | 0.979399916205809 |
54 | 101.5 | 102.606997310721 | 99.5583333333333 | 1.03062188643898 | 0.98921128831625 |
55 | 112.2 | 107.36711869095 | 100.245833333333 | 1.07103821795702 | 1.04501267583571 |
56 | 93.6 | 95.1014163322283 | 100.741666666667 | 0.94401273553374 | 0.984212471379152 |
57 | 93.8 | 88.4137906823316 | 101.054166666667 | 0.874914846153449 | 1.06092046586964 |
58 | 90.8 | 92.5302703527984 | 101.870833333333 | 0.908309742102811 | 0.981300493922677 |
59 | 98.1 | 102.009297619735 | 102.979166666667 | 0.990581890703476 | 0.961677046005082 |
60 | 187.6 | 187.17248497738 | 103.975 | 1.80016816520683 | 1.00228406981225 |
61 | 75 | 77.8134811954042 | 104.779166666667 | 0.742642680514456 | 0.96384326787361 |
62 | 83.7 | 85.2303849233101 | 105.283333333333 | 0.809533496184677 | 0.98204413925049 |
63 | 99.7 | 101.428569939708 | 105.979166666667 | 0.957061403008848 | 0.982957760907642 |
64 | 104.9 | 99.363433291266 | 106.558333333333 | 0.932479236330016 | 1.05572036437695 |
65 | 98.9 | 100.711699613507 | 107.295833333333 | 0.938635699865698 | 0.982011031285747 |
66 | 117.3 | 111.783826357888 | 108.4625 | 1.03062188643898 | 1.04934679570237 |
67 | 115.7 | 117.211744977672 | 109.4375 | 1.07103821795702 | 0.987102444571919 |
68 | 102.2 | 103.975136046245 | 110.141666666667 | 0.94401273553374 | 0.98292730249032 |
69 | 101.9 | 97.5238415179044 | 111.466666666667 | 0.874914846153449 | 1.04487270408941 |
70 | 96.6 | 101.935060807488 | 112.225 | 0.908309742102811 | 0.947662160936327 |
71 | 110 | 111.366169062338 | 112.425 | 0.990581890703476 | 0.987732638431932 |
72 | 203.7 | 203.996556621375 | 113.320833333333 | 1.80016816520683 | 0.998546266533676 |
73 | 82.3 | 84.7819450142315 | 114.1625 | 0.742642680514456 | 0.970725547593713 |
74 | 93.3 | 93.1402017922812 | 115.054166666667 | 0.809533496184677 | 1.00171567384055 |
75 | 121.9 | 110.803783933349 | 115.775 | 0.957061403008848 | 1.1001429344085 |
76 | 100.9 | 108.521156458057 | 116.379166666667 | 0.932479236330016 | 0.929772620318485 |
77 | 107.7 | 110.215386074647 | 117.420833333333 | 0.938635699865698 | 0.977177541500937 |
78 | 130 | 121.677796467702 | 118.0625 | 1.03062188643898 | 1.06839541620486 |
79 | 123.2 | 126.873402235492 | 118.458333333333 | 1.07103821795702 | 0.971046711361346 |
80 | 116.1 | 112.675786758748 | 119.358333333333 | 0.94401273553374 | 1.03038996522459 |
81 | 105.3 | 104.942390317581 | 119.945833333333 | 0.874914846153449 | 1.00340767616725 |
82 | 107.7 | 109.360492949178 | 120.4 | 0.908309742102811 | 0.98481633628014 |
83 | 123.9 | 120.310298050482 | 121.454166666667 | 0.990581890703476 | 1.02983702981113 |
84 | 205.2 | 219.365492331829 | 121.858333333333 | 1.80016816520683 | 0.93542515652188 |
85 | 90.3 | 90.8406715494286 | 122.320833333333 | 0.742642680514456 | 0.994048133504446 |
86 | 106.9 | 99.663692549036 | 123.1125 | 0.809533496184677 | 1.07260725812867 |
87 | 122.4 | 118.16119346898 | 123.4625 | 0.957061403008848 | 1.03587308494927 |
88 | 111.3 | 115.872201104459 | 124.2625 | 0.932479236330016 | 0.960541000681114 |
89 | 122.6 | 117.036138827004 | 124.6875 | 0.938635699865698 | 1.0475396849961 |
90 | 124.8 | 128.960857798537 | 125.129166666667 | 1.03062188643898 | 0.967735498432885 |
91 | 139.5 | 135.129321832244 | 126.166666666667 | 1.07103821795702 | 1.03234440984749 |
92 | 118.8 | 119.460878295397 | 126.545833333333 | 0.94401273553374 | 0.994467826582 |
93 | 111 | 110.319471142899 | 126.091666666667 | 0.874914846153449 | 1.00616871029249 |
94 | 121.2 | 115.033644213396 | 126.645833333333 | 0.908309742102811 | 1.05360480256685 |
95 | 120.6 | 126.427141225576 | 127.629166666667 | 0.990581890703476 | 0.953909096028845 |
96 | 219.1 | 230.706551772632 | 128.158333333333 | 1.80016816520683 | 0.949691278017669 |
97 | 101.3 | 95.9061134994376 | 129.141666666667 | 0.742642680514456 | 1.05624132084754 |
98 | 105 | 105.060582523601 | 129.779166666667 | 0.809533496184677 | 0.999423356294575 |
99 | 113.4 | 124.697125300361 | 130.291666666667 | 0.957061403008848 | 0.909403482452788 |
100 | 133.6 | 122.279110524076 | 131.133333333333 | 0.932479236330016 | 1.09258236690964 |
101 | 123.9 | 123.696541313968 | 131.783333333333 | 0.938635699865698 | 1.00164482113947 |
102 | 136.2 | 136.647579368228 | 132.5875 | 1.03062188643898 | 0.99672457155628 |
103 | 151.7 | NA | NA | 1.07103821795702 | NA |
104 | 121.9 | NA | NA | 0.94401273553374 | NA |
105 | 120.2 | NA | NA | 0.874914846153449 | NA |
106 | 132.2 | NA | NA | 0.908309742102811 | NA |
107 | 125.2 | NA | NA | 0.990581890703476 | NA |
108 | 233.8 | NA | NA | 1.80016816520683 | NA |