Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[60])
4869-------
4960-------
5056-------
5158-------
5250-------
5351-------
5453-------
5537-------
5622-------
5755-------
5870-------
5962-------
6058-------
613953.477136.062770.89140.05160.30540.23140.3054
624952.031534.591869.47120.36670.92850.32780.2512
635863.139245.678180.60020.2820.94380.7180.718
644750.484433.018567.95030.34790.19950.52170.1995
654250.559933.089668.03020.16840.65520.48030.2019
666257.693440.218975.16780.31450.96080.70070.4863
673939.742222.263757.22070.46680.00630.62080.0203
684030.872913.390448.35540.15310.18110.84010.0012
697253.749936.263471.23640.02040.93840.44430.3169
707060.874843.384278.36530.15330.10630.15330.6263
715448.77931.283866.27410.27930.00870.06930.1508
726554.756537.256672.25630.12560.53380.35820.3582


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
610.1661-0.27070209.585200
620.171-0.05830.16459.1899109.387510.4588
630.1411-0.08140.136826.411181.72879.0404
640.1765-0.0690.119812.141264.33188.0207
650.1763-0.16930.129773.272166.11998.1314
660.15450.07460.120618.547258.19117.6283
670.2244-0.01870.1060.550849.95687.068
680.28890.29560.129783.30454.12527.357
690.1660.33950.153333.066685.11879.226
700.14660.14990.152783.269884.93389.216
710.1830.1070.148627.25979.69068.927
720.16310.18710.1518104.930181.79399.044