| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 97 | NA | NA | 0.986147503752455 | NA |
| 2 | 100.7 | NA | NA | 0.996202677715282 | NA |
| 3 | 101.4 | NA | NA | 0.998625060712167 | NA |
| 4 | 101.5 | NA | NA | 0.995219215413027 | NA |
| 5 | 101.8 | NA | NA | 1.01267669230203 | NA |
| 6 | 101.5 | NA | NA | 1.00190558733225 | NA |
| 7 | 102.2 | 101.030275125606 | 100.054166666667 | 1.00975580019762 | 1.01157796386222 |
| 8 | 101.8 | 101.310655960317 | 100.0625 | 1.01247376350098 | 1.00483013395821 |
| 9 | 98.5 | 100.923485556894 | 99.9333333333333 | 1.00990812765404 | 0.975986901923561 |
| 10 | 98.4 | 99.4550568043595 | 99.65 | 0.998043721067331 | 0.989391622324092 |
| 11 | 97.5 | 98.3260135486921 | 99.2458333333333 | 0.990731905272518 | 0.991599236876587 |
| 12 | 97.7 | 97.6614944063518 | 98.8166666666667 | 0.988309945080302 | 1.00039427610526 |
| 13 | 98.3 | 97.0492412130385 | 98.4125 | 0.986147503752455 | 1.01288787806404 |
| 14 | 99.6 | 97.752387750812 | 98.125 | 0.996202677715282 | 1.01890094238821 |
| 15 | 99.4 | 97.8527731365335 | 97.9875 | 0.998625060712167 | 1.01581178349752 |
| 16 | 96.7 | 97.3448795075867 | 97.8125 | 0.995219215413027 | 0.99337531146118 |
| 17 | 96.9 | 98.7275385270116 | 97.4916666666667 | 1.01267669230203 | 0.981489070280916 |
| 18 | 96.1 | 97.2432864638225 | 97.0583333333333 | 1.00190558733225 | 0.988243029360718 |
| 19 | 97.9 | 97.3572884023871 | 96.4166666666667 | 1.00975580019762 | 1.00557443214082 |
| 20 | 99.2 | 96.923269651813 | 95.7291666666667 | 1.01247376350098 | 1.02349002831174 |
| 21 | 97.8 | 96.050678840963 | 95.1083333333333 | 1.00990812765404 | 1.01821248095428 |
| 22 | 94.9 | 94.4149360129695 | 94.6 | 0.998043721067331 | 1.00513757682327 |
| 23 | 93.3 | 93.4301467168037 | 94.3041666666666 | 0.990731905272518 | 0.998607015814733 |
| 24 | 91.5 | 92.9629042091158 | 94.0625 | 0.988309945080302 | 0.98426357027503 |
| 25 | 89.1 | 92.4061300495373 | 93.7041666666667 | 0.986147503752455 | 0.964221745378094 |
| 26 | 92.3 | 92.8419387185738 | 93.1958333333333 | 0.996202677715282 | 0.994162781108907 |
| 27 | 91.8 | 92.5434165637471 | 92.6708333333333 | 0.998625060712167 | 0.991966834688505 |
| 28 | 92.1 | 91.7799453947356 | 92.2208333333333 | 0.995219215413027 | 1.00348719542039 |
| 29 | 94.4 | 92.9257449773646 | 91.7625 | 1.01267669230203 | 1.01586487171014 |
| 30 | 92.8 | 91.5324246160287 | 91.3583333333333 | 1.00190558733225 | 1.01384837547228 |
| 31 | 92.6 | 91.9719241346665 | 91.0833333333333 | 1.00975580019762 | 1.00682899560103 |
| 32 | 92.3 | 91.9663668513393 | 90.8333333333333 | 1.01247376350098 | 1.00362777350115 |
| 33 | 92.1 | 91.539755870775 | 90.6416666666667 | 1.00990812765404 | 1.00612022747817 |
| 34 | 89.8 | 90.19820129146 | 90.375 | 0.998043721067331 | 0.995585263500174 |
| 35 | 87.4 | 89.0131336391304 | 89.8458333333333 | 0.990731905272518 | 0.981877577238543 |
| 36 | 87.7 | 88.1325393525359 | 89.175 | 0.988309945080302 | 0.995092171907067 |
| 37 | 86.3 | 87.4219762076551 | 88.65 | 0.986147503752455 | 0.987165970659482 |
| 38 | 89.1 | 87.9979031981832 | 88.3333333333333 | 0.996202677715282 | 1.01252412570939 |
| 39 | 90.4 | 87.9206147202004 | 88.0416666666667 | 0.998625060712167 | 1.02820027234443 |
| 40 | 87.1 | 87.3636601263402 | 87.7833333333333 | 0.995219215413027 | 0.99698203891688 |
| 41 | 86.7 | 88.735795162965 | 87.625 | 1.01267669230203 | 0.977057790948667 |
| 42 | 84.4 | 87.5623737262246 | 87.3958333333333 | 1.00190558733225 | 0.96388433077303 |
| 43 | 88.4 | 88.118022830579 | 87.2666666666667 | 1.00975580019762 | 1.00319999428452 |
| 44 | 88.9 | 88.2624003331982 | 87.175 | 1.01247376350098 | 1.00722391034455 |
| 45 | 88.5 | 87.7694321941999 | 86.9083333333333 | 1.00990812765404 | 1.00832371575771 |
| 46 | 87.2 | 86.6010853801132 | 86.7708333333333 | 0.998043721067331 | 1.00691578653152 |
| 47 | 86.2 | 86.0037854768651 | 86.8083333333333 | 0.990731905272518 | 1.00228146379891 |
| 48 | 83.4 | 85.9047240180007 | 86.9208333333333 | 0.988309945080302 | 0.970843000235053 |
| 49 | 87.5 | 85.7496343992083 | 86.9541666666667 | 0.986147503752455 | 1.02041251386149 |
| 50 | 85.7 | 86.5160517150817 | 86.8458333333333 | 0.996202677715282 | 0.990567626481971 |
| 51 | 87.4 | 86.576631825992 | 86.6958333333333 | 0.998625060712167 | 1.00951028189296 |
| 52 | 86.8 | 86.1693970678446 | 86.5833333333333 | 0.995219215413027 | 1.00731817737635 |
| 53 | 87.9 | 87.6345092600865 | 86.5375 | 1.01267669230203 | 1.00302952275485 |
| 54 | 85.9 | 86.8693890283198 | 86.7041666666667 | 1.00190558733225 | 0.988840844408336 |
| 55 | 87.7 | 87.6468034571534 | 86.8 | 1.00975580019762 | 1.00060694219011 |
| 56 | 87 | 87.941783641423 | 86.8583333333333 | 1.01247376350098 | 0.989290828518296 |
| 57 | 86.8 | 87.9545820176031 | 87.0916666666667 | 1.00990812765404 | 0.986872974765862 |
| 58 | 86.2 | 87.212387159267 | 87.3833333333333 | 0.998043721067331 | 0.988391704524518 |
| 59 | 86.1 | 87.0646942254278 | 87.8791666666667 | 0.990731905272518 | 0.988919799994588 |
| 60 | 87.5 | 87.4901378882337 | 88.525 | 0.988309945080302 | 1.0001127225537 |
| 61 | 85.7 | 88.0095557619743 | 89.2458333333333 | 0.986147503752455 | 0.973757897742143 |
| 62 | 88.9 | 89.6623918388658 | 90.0041666666667 | 0.996202677715282 | 0.99149708341223 |
| 63 | 89.8 | 90.6668336371588 | 90.7916666666667 | 0.998625060712167 | 0.990439352491035 |
| 64 | 91.4 | 91.0957321841391 | 91.5333333333333 | 0.995219215413027 | 1.00334008859214 |
| 65 | 95.2 | 93.360352057811 | 92.1916666666667 | 1.01267669230203 | 1.01970480939328 |
| 66 | 94.1 | 93.0686798499381 | 92.8916666666667 | 1.00190558733225 | 1.01108128053094 |
| 67 | 96.8 | 94.5005209509947 | 93.5875 | 1.00975580019762 | 1.02433297748906 |
| 68 | 96.1 | 95.3370607556614 | 94.1625 | 1.01247376350098 | 1.00800254631611 |
| 69 | 96.6 | 95.5793883813911 | 94.6416666666667 | 1.00990812765404 | 1.01067815599046 |
| 70 | 94.2 | 94.7892024083698 | 94.975 | 0.998043721067331 | 0.993784076736595 |
| 71 | 93.9 | 94.2763968858907 | 95.1583333333333 | 0.990731905272518 | 0.996007517275546 |
| 72 | 96.5 | 94.2353532634067 | 95.35 | 0.988309945080302 | 1.02403181670326 |
| 73 | 93.4 | 94.1236702852395 | 95.4458333333333 | 0.986147503752455 | 0.992311495258882 |
| 74 | 95 | 95.0709422099617 | 95.4333333333333 | 0.996202677715282 | 0.999253797129674 |
| 75 | 95.2 | 95.3395667337412 | 95.4708333333333 | 0.998625060712167 | 0.998536108999415 |
| 76 | 94 | 95.1056362729074 | 95.5625 | 0.995219215413027 | 0.98837465037577 |
| 77 | 97 | 96.9426958568293 | 95.7291666666667 | 1.01267669230203 | 1.00059111357142 |
| 78 | 96.9 | 95.9575076267461 | 95.775 | 1.00190558733225 | 1.00982197637854 |
| 79 | 96.3 | 96.7009471322587 | 95.7666666666667 | 1.00975580019762 | 0.99585374141465 |
| 80 | 96.3 | 97.0498288722505 | 95.8541666666667 | 1.01247376350098 | 0.992273774400596 |
| 81 | 97.3 | 96.8838530462776 | 95.9333333333333 | 1.00990812765404 | 1.00429531795689 |
| 82 | 95.7 | 95.7997216759505 | 95.9875 | 0.998043721067331 | 0.99895906090116 |
| 83 | 96.4 | 95.1639275510306 | 96.0541666666667 | 0.990731905272518 | 1.01298887594048 |
| 84 | 95.1 | 94.943642057381 | 96.0666666666667 | 0.988309945080302 | 1.00164685006 |
| 85 | 94.6 | 94.5222382346728 | 95.85 | 0.986147503752455 | 1.00082268222568 |
| 86 | 95.9 | 95.2411268340714 | 95.6041666666667 | 0.996202677715282 | 1.0069179480318 |
| 87 | 96.2 | 95.2937964184585 | 95.425 | 0.998625060712167 | 1.00950957581291 |
| 88 | 94.3 | 94.902445683094 | 95.3583333333333 | 0.995219215413027 | 0.993651947757957 |
| 89 | 98.3 | 96.6557707940104 | 95.4458333333333 | 1.01267669230203 | 1.01701118507961 |
| 90 | 95.9 | 95.7195550497547 | 95.5375 | 1.00190558733225 | 1.00188514196657 |
| 91 | 92.1 | 96.6210081314097 | 95.6875 | 1.00975580019762 | 0.953208849515823 |
| 92 | 94.6 | 96.9865492620317 | 95.7916666666667 | 1.01247376350098 | 0.975392987169964 |
| 93 | 94.7 | 96.669247569151 | 95.7208333333333 | 1.00990812765404 | 0.979629017307263 |
| 94 | 96.7 | 95.674966210817 | 95.8625 | 0.998043721067331 | 1.01071370944542 |
| 95 | 97.5 | 95.3084092872162 | 96.2 | 0.990731905272518 | 1.02299472553549 |
| 96 | 96.2 | 95.4254431556076 | 96.5541666666667 | 0.988309945080302 | 1.00811687972074 |
| 97 | 97.1 | 95.804229989551 | 97.15 | 0.986147503752455 | 1.01352518579389 |
| 98 | 95.9 | 97.4286218805545 | 97.8 | 0.996202677715282 | 0.984310340728943 |
| 99 | 94.5 | 98.297993476101 | 98.4333333333333 | 0.998625060712167 | 0.961362451645319 |
| 100 | 99.4 | 98.547436059544 | 99.0208333333333 | 0.995219215413027 | 1.00865130514345 |
| 101 | 101.3 | 100.668502187257 | 99.4083333333333 | 1.01267669230203 | 1.00627304269977 |
| 102 | 101.4 | 99.9901776157584 | 99.8 | 1.00190558733225 | 1.01409960876017 |
| 103 | 100.9 | 101.303750654826 | 100.325 | 1.00975580019762 | 0.996014455020507 |
| 104 | 101.4 | 102.107979049074 | 100.85 | 1.01247376350098 | 0.993066368998118 |
| 105 | 103.1 | 102.375228490396 | 101.370833333333 | 1.00990812765404 | 1.00707955938454 |
| 106 | 102.4 | 101.555107134105 | 101.754166666667 | 0.998043721067331 | 1.00831955073199 |
| 107 | 101.1 | 100.906044552006 | 101.85 | 0.990731905272518 | 1.00192213904385 |
| 108 | 102 | 100.721137277996 | 101.9125 | 0.988309945080302 | 1.01269706395862 |
| 109 | 103.9 | 100.669224341396 | 102.083333333333 | 0.986147503752455 | 1.03209298253503 |
| 110 | 101.7 | 101.79531028454 | 102.183333333333 | 0.996202677715282 | 0.999063706527605 |
| 111 | 101.2 | 102.030354640513 | 102.170833333333 | 0.998625060712167 | 0.99186169014664 |
| 112 | 101.9 | 101.694816828288 | 102.183333333333 | 0.995219215413027 | 1.00201763647462 |
| 113 | 101.1 | 103.567289218972 | 102.270833333333 | 1.01267669230203 | 0.97617694508007 |
| 114 | 103.1 | 102.536687650228 | 102.341666666667 | 1.00190558733225 | 1.00549376386815 |
| 115 | 103.3 | NA | NA | 1.00975580019762 | NA |
| 116 | 101.4 | NA | NA | 1.01247376350098 | NA |
| 117 | 102.8 | NA | NA | 1.00990812765404 | NA |
| 118 | 103 | NA | NA | 0.998043721067331 | NA |
| 119 | 102.6 | NA | NA | 0.990731905272518 | NA |
| 120 | 102.2 | NA | NA | 0.988309945080302 | NA |
