Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	40	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	63	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	45	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	59	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	55	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	40	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	64	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	27	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	28	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	45	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	57	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	45	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	69	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	60	47.9992	30.6342	65.3643	0.0878	0.0089	0.0452	0.0089
50	56	54.9584	37.5052	72.4116	0.4534	0.2856	0.8683	0.0574
51	58	68.1548	50.492	85.8176	0.1299	0.9113	0.8452	0.4626
52	50	50.2012	32.4607	67.9418	0.4911	0.1944	0.298	0.0189
53	51	52.7406	34.997	70.4842	0.4238	0.619	0.9203	0.0362
54	53	60.1697	42.4176	77.9218	0.2143	0.8443	0.3362	0.1648
55	37	41.5708	23.8183	59.3234	0.3069	0.1035	0.9462	0.0012
56	22	30.6531	12.9006	48.4056	0.1697	0.2417	0.6152	0
57	55	56.4795	38.727	74.232	0.4351	0.9999	0.8975	0.0834
58	70	61.2704	43.5214	79.0193	0.1675	0.7557	0.6814	0.1967
59	62	44.4344	26.6948	62.174	0.0261	0.0024	0.4751	0.0033
60	58	52.2401	34.5044	69.9758	0.2622	0.1404	0.032	0.032
61	39	51.1531	33.783	68.5232	0.0851	0.2199	0.1591	0.022
62	49	51.4042	34.0339	68.7746	0.3931	0.9192	0.302	0.0235
63	58	67.918	50.547	85.2889	0.1316	0.9836	0.8684	0.4514
64	47	50.6413	33.2701	68.0125	0.3406	0.2032	0.5288	0.0192
65	42	51.1908	33.8196	68.562	0.1499	0.6818	0.5086	0.0222
66	62	60.7018	43.3306	78.073	0.4418	0.9826	0.8076	0.1746
67	39	39.3961	22.0249	56.7673	0.4822	0.0054	0.6066	4e-04
68	40	30.2026	12.8316	47.5735	0.1345	0.1604	0.8227	0
69	72	54.7419	37.3711	72.1127	0.0258	0.9519	0.4884	0.0538
70	70	60.6333	43.265	78.0016	0.1452	0.0998	0.1452	0.1725
71	54	44.4764	27.1149	61.8379	0.1412	0.002	0.0239	0.0028
72	65	54.668	37.3093	72.0267	0.1217	0.5301	0.3534	0.0528

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.1846	0.25	0	144.0187	0	0
50	0.162	0.019	0.1345	1.0849	72.5518	8.5177
51	0.1322	-0.149	0.1393	103.1198	82.7411	9.0962
52	0.1803	-0.004	0.1055	0.0405	62.066	7.8782
53	0.1716	-0.033	0.091	3.0297	50.2587	7.0893
54	0.1505	-0.1192	0.0957	51.4041	50.4496	7.1028
55	0.2179	-0.11	0.0977	20.8927	46.2272	6.7991
56	0.2955	-0.2823	0.1208	74.8761	49.8083	7.0575
57	0.1604	-0.0262	0.1103	2.189	44.5173	6.6721
58	0.1478	0.1425	0.1135	76.2068	47.6862	6.9055
59	0.2037	0.3953	0.1391	308.5515	71.4012	8.4499
60	0.1732	0.1103	0.1367	33.1764	68.2158	8.2593
61	0.1733	-0.2376	0.1445	147.6983	74.3299	8.6215
62	0.1724	-0.0468	0.1375	5.7804	69.4335	8.3327
63	0.1305	-0.146	0.1381	98.3661	71.3623	8.4476
64	0.175	-0.0719	0.1339	13.259	67.7309	8.2299
65	0.1731	-0.1795	0.1366	84.4712	68.7156	8.2895
66	0.146	0.0214	0.1302	1.6852	64.9917	8.0617
67	0.225	-0.0101	0.1239	0.1569	61.5793	7.8473
68	0.2934	0.3244	0.1339	95.99	63.2999	7.9561
69	0.1619	0.3153	0.1426	297.8414	74.4685	8.6295
70	0.1461	0.1545	0.1431	87.7355	75.0716	8.6644
71	0.1992	0.2141	0.1462	90.6994	75.751	8.7035
72	0.162	0.189	0.148	106.7504	77.0427	8.7774