Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.994202437987405
betaFALSE
gammaFALSE


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
21.35821.3866-0.0284
31.33321.35836465076116-0.0251646507611578
41.35951.333345893623310.0261541063766868
51.36171.359348369946400.00235163005360284
61.36841.361686366278930.0067136337210667
71.33941.36836107729217-0.0289610772921725
81.32621.33956790364155-0.0133679036415528
91.31731.32627750125034-0.00897750125034036
101.30851.31735204762022-0.00885204762021696
111.3271.308551320295020.0184486797049832
121.31821.32689304263536-0.00869304263535975
131.2931.31825039845376-0.0252503984537567
141.2911.29314639075088-0.0021463907508783
151.29841.291012443833480.00738755616651865
161.27951.29835717018500-0.0188571701850031
171.2991.279609325613530.0193906743864702
181.31741.298887581362780.0185124186372216
191.3261.317292673104950.0087073268950526
201.31111.32594951873236-0.0148495187323621
211.28161.31118609100571-0.029586091005708
221.2761.28177152719732-0.005771527197316
231.28491.276033460786830.00886653921316616
241.28181.28484859568907-0.00304859568907445
251.28291.281817674422560.00108232557744103
261.27961.28289372515035-0.00329372515034687
271.30081.279619095575810.0211809044241884
281.29671.30067720239312-0.00397720239311794
291.29381.29672305807751-0.00292305807751059
301.28331.29381694661047-0.0105169466104706
311.28231.28336097265016-0.00106097265015737
321.27651.28230615105473-0.00580615105473292
331.26341.27653366152079-0.0131336615207942
341.25961.26347614321712-0.00387614321711927
351.27051.259622472180670.0108775278193289
361.25911.27043693685792-0.0113369368579235
371.27981.259165726594470.0206342734055334
381.27631.27968037152035-0.00338037152034665
391.27951.276319597913510.00318040208648518
401.27821.27948156142168-0.00128156142167879
411.26441.27820742993182-0.0138074299318152
421.25961.26448004943126-0.00488004943126419
431.26151.259628292389200.00187170761079769
441.25551.26148914865906-0.00598914865905686
451.25551.25553472246075-3.47224607535335e-05
461.26581.255500201305620.0102997986943805
471.25651.26574028627835-0.00924028627835227
481.27831.256553571132710.0217464288672871
491.27861.278173923730090.000426076269910647
501.27821.27859752979640-0.000397529796402951
511.29051.278202304703650.0122976952963534
521.30421.290428703348910.0137712966510926
531.29421.30412016005367-0.00992016005367136
541.3131.294257512743090.0187424872569140
551.36711.312891339267860.0542086607321424
561.35491.36678572192779-0.0118857219277857
571.35581.354968908209940.000831091790059135
581.35071.35579518169381-0.00509518169380896
591.34941.35072953963184-0.00132953963183535
601.36071.349407708088460.0112922919115364
611.32951.36063453223738-0.0311345322373786
621.31931.32968050438138-0.0103805043813794
631.33081.319360181617870.0114398183821269
641.32461.33073367694352-0.00613367694351674
651.33921.324635560372450.0145644396275546
661.34251.339115561758080.00338443824191947
671.34961.342480378509410.00711962149058532
681.32551.34955872355290-0.0240587235529022
691.32311.32563948194174-0.00253948194174169
701.32731.323114722804040.00418527719596296
711.32761.327275735595920.000324264404083507
721.31731.32759812005701-0.0102981200570089
731.31961.317359703989640.00224029601035647
741.30581.31958701174495-0.0137870117449534
751.29661.30587993105556-0.0092799310555598
761.29321.29665380097577-0.00345380097576720
771.29471.293220023625340.00147997637466379
781.3051.294691419745190.0103085802548093
791.32321.304940235366710.0182597646332892
801.31251.32309413788220-0.0105941378822030
811.29921.31256142017134-0.0133614201713421
821.32661.299277463662020.0273225363379803
831.32751.326441595901240.00105840409876068
841.32231.32749386383660-0.00519386383660292
851.34031.322330111747680.0179698882523223
861.33221.34019581845850-0.00799581845849784
871.33631.332246356253350.00405364374664541
881.34251.336276498749000.00622350125099813
891.35741.342463918865560.0149360811344381
901.36831.357313407143400.0109865928566022
911.36231.36823630454661-0.00593630454660676
921.35631.36233441609373-0.00603441609373467
931.35181.35633498490151-0.00453498490151349
941.34941.35182629185619-0.00242629185619259
951.36121.349414066577500.011785933422503
961.3691.361131670320110.00786832967989337
971.37711.368954382870750.00814561712925466
981.39721.377052775279560.0201472247204377
991.4011.397083195215300.00391680478469847
1001.39081.40097729208137-0.0101772920813694
1011.39011.39085900348196-0.000759003481962228
1021.38561.39010440036975-0.0045044003697543
1031.40981.385626114540470.0241738854595268
1041.4221.409659850399960.0123401496000370
1051.42381.421928457217450.00187154278255086
1061.42071.42378914961466-0.00308914961465878
1071.40951.42071790953646-0.0112179095364573
1081.41771.409565036526190.0081349634738106
1091.38661.41765283704479-0.0310528370447902
1101.39591.386780030748430.00911996925156577
1111.41021.395847126412710.0143528735872889
1121.39691.41011678832532-0.0132167883253187
1131.40041.396976625149920.00342337485007671
1141.3851.40038015277201-0.0153801527720143
1151.3891.385089167389460.00391083261054104
1161.3841.38897732670542-0.00497732670541962
1171.3921.384028856360230.00797114363976847
1181.39321.391953786800440.00124621319956297
1191.38581.39319277500169-0.00739277500169466
1201.39781.385842860071520.0119571399284826
1211.40291.397730677739770.0051693222602287
1221.3941.40287003053363-0.00887003053363333
1231.40961.394051424552070.0155485754479276
1241.40581.40950985616963-0.00370985616963315
1251.41341.40582150812120.00757849187879889
1261.40961.41335606322337-0.00375606322337085
1271.40491.40962177600946-0.00472177600946067
1281.40091.40492737478922-0.00402737478922433
1291.38971.40092334895509-0.0112233489550886
1301.40191.389765068061560.0121349319384438
1311.39011.40182964697957-0.0117296469795682
1321.3991.390168003355750.00883199664425027
1331.39011.39894879595176-0.00884879595176002
1341.39751.390151301443270.00734869855673304
1351.39911.397457395464410.00164260453559462
1361.40891.399090476898340.00980952310165728
1371.4131.408843128681500.00415687131849585
1381.4091.41297590028075-0.00397590028075268
1391.42171.409023050528430.0126769494715664
1401.42231.421626504599310.000673495400691948
1411.41911.42229609536865-0.00319609536864918
1421.42291.419118529561100.00378147043890209
1431.42271.42287807669063-0.000178076690631634
1441.42691.422701032410660.00419896758934302
1451.42291.42687565622501-0.00397565622501195
1461.41041.42292304911351-0.0125230491135053
1471.40531.41047260315382-0.0051726031538224
1481.41381.405329988487550.0084700115124492
1491.43031.413750894583010.0165491054169908
1501.43841.430204055535090.00819594446490801
1511.4411.438352483503710.00264751649628714
1521.4371.44098465085893-0.0039846508589334
1531.43571.43702310126045-0.00132310126045332
1541.42021.43570767076161-0.0155076707616064
1551.41661.42028990668291-0.00368990668291125
1561.4171.416621392462820.000378607537184994
1571.42931.416997804999320.0123021950006752
1581.42941.429228677261590.000171322738407476
1591.40721.4293990067458-0.0221990067458
1601.41011.407328700118230.00277129988177305
1611.41121.410083933217080.0011160667829202
1621.42431.411193529533620.0131064704663841
1631.4331.424224014424700.00877598557529535
1641.43231.43294912067941-0.000649120679405701
1651.43241.432303763317399.62366826073868e-05
1661.4271.43239944206186-0.0053994420618646
1671.42681.42703130360019-0.000231303600187083
1681.43641.426801340996970.00959865900303392
1691.42721.43634435117919-0.00914435117919199
1701.43141.427253014943030.00414698505697375
1711.4221.43137595759697-0.00937595759696697
1721.43351.422054357695600.0114456423044043
1731.42621.43343364317897-0.00723364317896635
1741.4331.426241937494910.00675806250509314
1751.44731.432960819713540.0143391802864583
1761.45221.447216867713080.00498313228692049
1771.45451.452171109981550.00232889001845038
1781.45941.454486498115700.00491350188430251
1791.45611.45937151366813-0.00327151366812695
1801.46111.456118966803370.00498103319663401
1811.46711.461071122151160.0060288778488442
1821.47121.467065047206800.00413495279319509
1831.47051.47117602735476-0.000676027354762354
1841.46581.47050391931051-0.00470391931051140
1851.4781.465827271263900.0121727287360951
1861.47831.477929427850290.000370572149710036
1871.47681.47829785158498-0.00149785158498195
1881.4671.47680868388745-0.00980868388744938
1891.4651.4670568664531-0.00205686645309933
1901.45491.46501192481081-0.0101119248108135
1911.46431.454958624511160.0093413754888425
1921.45391.46424584279632-0.0103458427963206
1931.45371.45395998066518-0.000259980665184179
1941.46161.453701507254030.00789849274597154
1951.47221.46155420799850.0106457920015008
1961.46941.47213828036070-0.00273828036069812
1971.47631.46941587535020.00688412464980082
1981.4751.47626008886044-0.00126008886044016
1991.47651.475007305443310.00149269455668999
2001.48641.476491346010740.00990865398925833
2011.48811.486342553964040.00175744603596417
2021.48641.48808981109762-0.00168981109762267
2031.48691.486409796784630.000490203215372187
2041.49181.486897158016460.00490284198353974
2051.49711.491771575469560.00532842453043769
2061.49211.49706910812836-0.00496910812835538
2071.51.492128808712520.00787119128747849
2081.5021.499954366280400.00204563371960220
2091.50191.50198814031166-8.81403116554935e-05
2101.48741.50190051099892-0.0145005109989227
2111.47851.48748406761173-0.00898406761173076
2121.47881.478552085689100.000247914310895547
2131.481.478798562701410.00120143729859135
2141.47721.47999303459276-0.00279303459275715
2151.46581.47721619279125-0.0114161927912548
2161.47611.465866186085650.0102338139143450
2171.48671.476040668829210.0106593311707937
2181.48621.48663820186652-0.000438201866524546
2191.49841.486202540502500.0121974594975047
2201.49661.49832928447217-0.00172928447216703
2211.50371.496610025633960.00708997436603531
2221.49221.50365889543395-0.0114588954339452
2231.48681.49226643365687-0.00546643365687416
2241.49651.486831691988110.00966830801188667
2251.48751.49644394738474-0.00894394738474413
2261.49571.48755185308960.00814814691039945
2271.48631.495652760613-0.00935276061299928
2281.48151.48635422320964-0.00485422320964268
2291.49681.481528142660080.0152718573399191
2301.49691.496711460460020.000188539539975663
2311.50831.496898906930330.0114010930696749
2321.50711.50823390145592-0.00113390145591707
2331.49181.50710657386401-0.0153065738640070
2341.50231.491888740811180.0104112591888230
2351.50741.502239640079220.00516035992077657
2361.5091.507370082493350.00162991750664787
2371.5121.508990550452180.00300944954782034
2381.50681.51198255252962-0.00518255252962274
2391.47871.50683004616967-0.0281300461696741
2401.47741.47886308568709-0.00146308568708564
2411.47681.47740848233-0.00060848233000077
2421.4731.47680352771404-0.00380352771404158
2431.47571.473022051187790.00267794881221106
2441.46471.47568447442569-0.0109844744256948
2451.45411.46476368317166-0.0106636831716587
2461.4561.454161823364470.00183817663552976
2471.43431.45598934305697-0.0216893430569656
2481.43371.43442574531139-0.00072574531138514
2491.43681.433704207553450.00309579244655200
2501.42791.43678205195131-0.00888205195131309
2511.42761.42795149424699-0.000351494246986883
2521.43981.427602037809690.0121979621903061
2531.44051.439729281557770.000770718442225427
2541.44331.440495531712040.0028044682879631
2551.43381.44328374092119-0.00948374092118831
2561.44061.433854982576100.0067450174238981
2571.43891.44056089534321-0.0016608953432089
2581.44421.438909629143750.00529037085625128
2591.4351.44416932874689-0.00916932874689103
2601.43041.43505315975202-0.00465315975202407
2611.42731.43042697698222-0.00312697698221664
2621.45281.427318128842970.0254818711570337
2631.44811.45265226727177-0.00455226727177038
2641.45631.448126392051810.008173607948194
2651.44861.45625261300105-0.00765261300105347
2661.43741.44864436649843-0.0112443664984321
2671.43691.43746518991207-0.000565189912066888
2681.42791.43690327672356-0.00900327672356416
2691.41321.42795219705512-0.0147521970551214
2701.40641.41328552677725-0.00688552677724896
2711.41351.406439919268480.00706008073151931
2721.41511.413459068744150.00164093125585496
2731.40851.41509048659929-0.00659048659928563
2741.40721.40853820875475-0.00133820875475266
2751.39991.40720775834824-0.00730775834824149
2761.39661.39994236718220-0.00334236718219683
2771.39131.39661937758101-0.00531937758100764
2781.39371.391330839421390.00236916057860559
2791.39841.393686264644630.00471373535537234
2801.38471.39837267182697-0.0136726718269664
2811.36911.38477926816279-0.0156792681627949
2821.36751.36919090152949-0.00169090152948592
2831.3761.367509803106470.0084901968935256
2841.3741.37595077755701-0.00195077755701045
2851.37181.37401130975386-0.00221130975385986
2861.35721.37181282020543-0.0146128202054270
2871.36071.357284718731320.00341528126868029
2881.36491.360680199695050.00421980030494562
2891.37261.364875535446050.0077244645539487
2901.35671.37255521693773-0.0158552169377344
2911.35191.35679192160342-0.00489192160341956
2921.36261.351928361218860.0106716387811434
2931.35771.36253813051239-0.00483813051239035
2941.35471.35772804936167-0.00302804936167056
2951.34891.35471755530395-0.00581755530395145
2961.3571.348933727637640.00806627236236368
2971.35251.35695323528577-0.00445323528576869
2981.35481.352525817907730.00227418209227404
2991.36411.354786815288290.00931318471170806
3001.36681.36404600623410.00275399376590091
3011.35821.36678403355036-0.00858403355035975
3021.36621.358249766466830.00795023353317359
3031.35571.36615390802808-0.010453908028077
3041.3611.355760607180070.00523939281993324
3051.36571.360969624295220.00473037570478185
3061.37651.365672575353510.0108274246464914
3071.37051.37643722733418-0.00593722733417534
3081.37231.370534421443650.00176557855634729
3091.37561.372289763948830.00331023605116831
3101.3661.37558080870122-0.0095808087012168
3111.35481.36605554533258-0.0112555453325762
3121.34711.35486525472205-0.00776525472205125
3131.35191.347145019545790.00475498045420553
3141.33381.35187243270595-0.0180724327059480
3151.33561.333904776049330.00169522395066868
3161.33531.33559017183402-0.000290171834020692
3171.34711.335301682289200.0117983177107981
3181.34821.347031598521430.00116840147857267
3191.34791.34819322611997-0.000293226119972401
3201.34681.34790169999661-0.00110169999661425
3211.33961.34680638717405-0.00720638717404976
3221.3341.33964177947653-0.00564177947652822
3231.32961.33403270856638-0.00443270856637668
3241.33841.329625698902800.00877430109720279
3251.35851.338349130445270.0201508695547281
3261.35831.35838317408415-8.31740841487072e-05
3271.36151.358300482206910.00319951779308925
3281.35441.36148145059718-0.00708145059718412
3291.35351.35444105514898-0.000941055148976355
3301.34321.35350545582558-0.0103054558255835
3311.34861.343259746519220.00534025348078315
3321.33731.34856903954928-0.0112690395492823
3331.33391.33736533295561-0.00346533295560914
3341.33111.33392009048270-0.00282009048270448
3351.33211.331116349649450.000983650350545595
3361.3291.33209429722609-0.00309429722609411
3371.32451.32901793938005-0.00451793938005363
3381.32561.324526193033730.00107380696627479
3391.33151.325593774537520.00590622546247666
3401.32381.33146575829162-0.00766575829162064
3411.30891.32384444270907-0.0149444427090695
3421.29241.30898664133335-0.0165866413333495
3431.27271.29249616208171-0.0197961620817109
3441.27461.272814769477280.00178523052271995
3451.29691.274589650015340.0223103499846622
3461.26981.29677065436244-0.0269706543624411
3471.26861.26995636404119-0.00135636404118666
3481.25871.26860786360464-0.00990786360464035
3491.24921.25875744145366-0.0095574414536601
3501.23491.24925540985951-0.0143554098595093
3511.24281.234983226378880.00781677362112299
3521.2271.24275468177019-0.015754681770193
3531.23341.227091338744550.0063086612554486
3541.24971.233363425145160.0163365748548450
3551.2361.24960528769421-0.0136052876942057
3561.22231.23607887749911-0.0137788774991063
3571.23091.222379883896760.00852011610323511
3581.22551.23085060409854-0.00535060409853716
3591.23841.225531020459070.0128689795409338
3601.23071.23832539129307-0.0076253912930726
3611.21551.23074420867889-0.0152442086788918
3621.22181.215588379245150.00621162075485127
3631.22681.221763987743470.00503601225652495
3641.2061.22677080340665-0.0207708034066465
3651.19591.20612042002080-0.0102204200208014
3661.19421.19595925351887-0.0017592535188653
3671.2011.194210199381370.00678980061862866
3681.20451.200960635709860.00353936429013957
3691.21271.204479480316040.00822051968395732
3701.22491.212652341027360.0122476589726437
3711.22581.224828993437600.000971006562402899
3721.22771.225794370529240.00190562947076023
3731.23631.227688951994970.00861104800502965
3741.23721.236250076915200.000949923084802684
3751.23911.237194492762010.00190550723799143
3761.22581.23908895270362-0.0132889527036224
3771.22711.225877043527380.00122295647261850
3781.22621.22709290983401-0.000892909834011357
3791.22941.226205176700130.00319482329986576
3801.23391.22938147781380.0045185221862003
3811.21981.23387380358742-0.0140738035874202
3821.22711.219881593749050.00721840625094905
3831.23281.227058150842130.00574184915787179
3841.25481.232766711273440.0220332887265597
3851.25311.25467226064227-0.00157226064226612
3861.25791.253109115278570.00479088472142641
3871.25671.25787222454873-0.00117222454873245
3881.2661.256706796044510.00929320395548605
3891.26371.26594612207377-0.00224612207377239
3901.25721.26371302203201-0.00651302203201043
3911.25691.25723775964912-0.000337759649120084
3921.27031.256901958182510.0133980418174890
3931.28281.270222324021720.0125776759782841
3941.31.282727080143540.0172729198564585
3951.29571.29989985917599-0.00419985917599353
3961.28441.29572434894402-0.0113243489440171
3971.28171.28446565361526-0.00276565361525516
3981.2851.281716034048340.00328396595166014
3991.28971.284980961003750.00471903899625215
4001.29311.289672641078780.00342735892122037
4011.30331.293080129674110.0102198703258851
4021.29921.30324074966802-0.00404074966802503
4031.30691.299223426496780.00767657350322226
4041.30281.30685549458907-0.00405549458907073
4051.30731.302823511981370.0044764880186281
4061.32211.307274047283110.0148259527168868
4071.32061.32201404561973-0.00141404561972802
4081.31841.32060819801717-0.00220819801716909
4091.31761.31841280216494-0.000812802164940507
4101.32531.317604712270960.0076952877290446
4111.31331.32525538609219-0.0119553860921862
4121.30161.31336931209225-0.0117693120922537
4131.2791.3016682333167-0.0226682333167005
4141.27991.279131420488370.000768579511630563
4151.2821.279895544112620.00210445588738017
4161.2861.281987799286490.00401220071350994
4171.2881.285976739017560.00202326098244354
4181.28361.28798827001899-0.00438827001898656
4191.27111.28362544126756-0.0125254412675633
4201.27041.27117261702248-0.000772617022483768
4211.26111.2704044792951-0.00930447929509981
4221.26131.261153943295710.000146056704291686
4231.26931.26129915322720.00800084677280055
4241.27131.269253614594680.00204638540531854
4251.271.27128813595371-0.00128813595371113
4261.2681.27000746804807-0.00200746804807239
4271.281.268011638420500.0119883615795031
4281.28181.279930496730310.00186950326968649
4291.28341.281789161438860.00161083856113886
4301.28741.283390661063550.00400933893645039
4311.27441.28737675560889-0.0129767556088864
4321.26971.27447523354536-0.0047752335453648
4331.27151.269727684712600.00177231528739608
4341.27251.271489724892220.00101027510778451
4351.28011.272494142867410.00760585713258721
4361.2851.280055904571610.00494409542838503
4371.29891.284971336300160.0139286636998424
4381.30781.298819247708450.0089807522915526
4391.3061.30774793353167-0.00174793353166991
4401.30741.306010133753040.00138986624695603
4411.3121.307391942164240.00460805783575613
4421.33641.311973284498940.0244267155010605
4431.33231.33625838460212-0.0039583846021185
4441.34121.33232294898020.00887705101979952
4451.34771.341148534746220.00655146525377615
4461.3461.34766201747392-0.0016620174739177
4471.36111.346009635649370.0150903643506288
4481.36481.361012512676880.0037874873231154
4491.37261.364778041807370.00782195819262776
4501.37051.37255465171232-0.00205465171231833
4511.3781.370511911970720.00748808802928336
4521.38561.377956587345290.00764341265470558
4531.3971.385555686841150.0114443131588535
4541.38741.39693365088477-0.0095336508847701
4551.39361.387455271932210.0061447280677891
4561.38331.39356437555798-0.0102643755579765
4571.39581.383359508353820.012440491646182
4581.41011.395727875478210.0143721245217858
4591.40891.41001667671683-0.00111667671683202
4601.38961.40890647400251-0.0193064740025140
4611.38591.38971193048027-0.00381193048027417
4621.38611.385922099903350.000177900096653083
4631.40161.386098968613160.0155010313868422
4641.39341.40151013180928-0.00811013180927556
4651.40311.393447018992090.00965298100790535
4661.39121.403044036244-0.0118440362440002
4671.38031.39126866653460-0.0109686665346038
4681.38571.380363591524430.00533640847557004
4691.38571.385669061840943.09381590617441e-05
4701.39261.385699820634100.00690017936589582
4711.40181.392559995782230.0092400042177716
4721.40141.40174643050255-0.000346430502550898
4731.42441.401402008452320.0229979915476786
4741.40841.42426666771784-0.0158666677178372
4751.39171.40849198799003-0.0167919879900276
4761.39451.391797352591690.00270264740831316
4771.3771.39448433123405-0.0174843312340522
4781.371.37710136649458-0.00710136649457804
4791.37111.370041170612630.00105882938737345
4801.36261.37109386137097-0.00849386137096597
4811.36121.36264924368802-0.00144924368802468
4821.34811.36120840208015-0.0131084020801526
4831.36471.348175996773950.0165240032260543
4841.36741.36460420106660.00279579893339932
4851.36471.36738379118231-0.00268379118230877
4861.34961.36471555944581-0.0151155594458083
4871.33391.34968763339324-0.0157876333932419
4881.33211.33399152978363-0.00189152978362950
4891.32251.33211096626122-0.00961096626121938
4901.31461.3225557201729-0.00795572017290036
4911.29981.31464612378106-0.0148461237810571


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
4921.299886071323271.279708864933651.32006327771289
4931.299886071323271.271433788524721.32833835412182
4941.299886071323271.265073068936111.33469907371042
4951.299886071323271.259706998736071.34006514391047
4961.299886071323271.254977602047121.34479454059942