| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 100.4 | NA | NA | 2.97723765432099 | NA |
| 2 | 97.7 | NA | NA | 1.38603395061728 | NA |
| 3 | 97 | NA | NA | 1.28973765432098 | NA |
| 4 | 96.5 | NA | NA | -2.20702160493827 | NA |
| 5 | 98.4 | NA | NA | -3.28572530864197 | NA |
| 6 | 106.3 | NA | NA | -2.94405864197531 | NA |
| 7 | 103.1 | 101.32862654321 | 100.041666666667 | 1.2869598765432 | 1.77137345679013 |
| 8 | 102.4 | 101.205015432099 | 99.9833333333333 | 1.22168209876543 | 1.19498456790126 |
| 9 | 95 | 96.9675154320988 | 100.008333333333 | -3.04081790123457 | -1.96751543209878 |
| 10 | 98.1 | 99.9735339506173 | 100.15 | -0.17646604938271 | -1.8735339506173 |
| 11 | 106.1 | 102.976774691358 | 100.1375 | 2.83927469135803 | 3.12322530864198 |
| 12 | 99.1 | 100.357330246914 | 99.7041666666667 | 0.653163580246918 | -1.25733024691357 |
| 13 | 101.2 | 102.060570987654 | 99.0833333333333 | 2.97723765432099 | -0.860570987654313 |
| 14 | 95.5 | 100.181867283951 | 98.7958333333333 | 1.38603395061728 | -4.68186728395062 |
| 15 | 99.8 | 99.9939043209876 | 98.7041666666667 | 1.28973765432098 | -0.193904320987642 |
| 16 | 97.1 | 96.526311728395 | 98.7333333333333 | -2.20702160493827 | 0.573688271604908 |
| 17 | 97.5 | 95.2851080246914 | 98.5708333333333 | -3.28572530864197 | 2.21489197530863 |
| 18 | 96.8 | 95.3184413580247 | 98.2625 | -2.94405864197531 | 1.48155864197533 |
| 19 | 97.7 | 99.3786265432099 | 98.0916666666667 | 1.2869598765432 | -1.67862654320986 |
| 20 | 100.9 | 99.4591820987654 | 98.2375 | 1.22168209876543 | 1.44081790123458 |
| 21 | 94.3 | 95.5300154320988 | 98.5708333333333 | -3.04081790123457 | -1.23001543209875 |
| 22 | 99.5 | 98.4943672839506 | 98.6708333333333 | -0.17646604938271 | 1.00563271604939 |
| 23 | 100.8 | 101.243441358025 | 98.4041666666667 | 2.83927469135803 | -0.443441358024685 |
| 24 | 97 | 98.8281635802469 | 98.175 | 0.653163580246918 | -1.82816358024689 |
| 25 | 99.2 | 101.102237654321 | 98.125 | 2.97723765432099 | -1.90223765432098 |
| 26 | 101 | 99.4110339506173 | 98.025 | 1.38603395061728 | 1.58896604938272 |
| 27 | 102.3 | 99.302237654321 | 98.0125 | 1.28973765432098 | 2.99776234567902 |
| 28 | 97 | 95.951311728395 | 98.1583333333333 | -2.20702160493827 | 1.04868827160495 |
| 29 | 91.2 | 95.1934413580247 | 98.4791666666667 | -3.28572530864197 | -3.99344135802468 |
| 30 | 97.6 | 95.789274691358 | 98.7333333333333 | -2.94405864197531 | 1.81072530864198 |
| 31 | 95.7 | 100.157793209877 | 98.8708333333333 | 1.2869598765432 | -4.45779320987654 |
| 32 | 100.5 | 100.096682098765 | 98.875 | 1.22168209876543 | 0.403317901234587 |
| 33 | 94.4 | 96.0008487654321 | 99.0416666666667 | -3.04081790123457 | -1.60084876543209 |
| 34 | 102.9 | 99.3360339506173 | 99.5125 | -0.17646604938271 | 3.56396604938274 |
| 35 | 105.1 | 103.030941358025 | 100.191666666667 | 2.83927469135803 | 2.06905864197532 |
| 36 | 98.8 | 101.490663580247 | 100.8375 | 0.653163580246918 | -2.69066358024689 |
| 37 | 100.7 | 104.643904320988 | 101.666666666667 | 2.97723765432099 | -3.94390432098763 |
| 38 | 99.6 | 104.056867283951 | 102.670833333333 | 1.38603395061728 | -4.45686728395061 |
| 39 | 107.7 | 104.343904320988 | 103.054166666667 | 1.28973765432098 | 3.35609567901233 |
| 40 | 102.9 | 100.826311728395 | 103.033333333333 | -2.20702160493827 | 2.07368827160494 |
| 41 | 101.6 | 99.726774691358 | 103.0125 | -3.28572530864197 | 1.87322530864198 |
| 42 | 102.7 | 100.210108024691 | 103.154166666667 | -2.94405864197531 | 2.48989197530867 |
| 43 | 110.5 | 104.87862654321 | 103.591666666667 | 1.2869598765432 | 5.62137345679012 |
| 44 | 109.8 | 105.134182098765 | 103.9125 | 1.22168209876543 | 4.66581790123456 |
| 45 | 94.3 | 100.559182098765 | 103.6 | -3.04081790123457 | -6.25918209876542 |
| 46 | 102.5 | 102.752700617284 | 102.929166666667 | -0.17646604938271 | -0.252700617283949 |
| 47 | 105 | 105.276774691358 | 102.4375 | 2.83927469135803 | -0.276774691358028 |
| 48 | 102.3 | 102.66149691358 | 102.008333333333 | 0.653163580246918 | -0.361496913580254 |
| 49 | 107.7 | 104.189737654321 | 101.2125 | 2.97723765432099 | 3.510262345679 |
| 50 | 100.3 | 101.927700617284 | 100.541666666667 | 1.38603395061728 | -1.62770061728396 |
| 51 | 99.5 | 101.764737654321 | 100.475 | 1.28973765432098 | -2.26473765432098 |
| 52 | 95 | 98.4971450617284 | 100.704166666667 | -2.20702160493827 | -3.49714506172838 |
| 53 | 97.7 | 97.976774691358 | 101.2625 | -3.28572530864197 | -0.276774691358014 |
| 54 | 96.3 | 99.1226080246913 | 102.066666666667 | -2.94405864197531 | -2.82260802469135 |
| 55 | 97.8 | 104.307793209877 | 103.020833333333 | 1.2869598765432 | -6.50779320987654 |
| 56 | 106.4 | 105.521682098765 | 104.3 | 1.22168209876543 | 0.878317901234567 |
| 57 | 96.1 | 102.646682098765 | 105.6875 | -3.04081790123457 | -6.54668209876546 |
| 58 | 106.2 | 106.977700617284 | 107.154166666667 | -0.17646604938271 | -0.777700617283955 |
| 59 | 114.7 | 111.289274691358 | 108.45 | 2.83927469135803 | 3.41072530864196 |
| 60 | 111.9 | 110.08649691358 | 109.433333333333 | 0.653163580246918 | 1.81350308641974 |
| 61 | 121 | 113.335570987654 | 110.358333333333 | 2.97723765432099 | 7.66442901234568 |
| 62 | 117.7 | 111.873533950617 | 110.4875 | 1.38603395061728 | 5.82646604938273 |
| 63 | 115.4 | 111.685570987654 | 110.395833333333 | 1.28973765432098 | 3.71442901234569 |
| 64 | 114.3 | 108.063811728395 | 110.270833333333 | -2.20702160493827 | 6.23618827160495 |
| 65 | 109.5 | 105.847608024691 | 109.133333333333 | -3.28572530864197 | 3.65239197530865 |
| 66 | 108.1 | 104.805941358025 | 107.75 | -2.94405864197531 | 3.2940586419753 |
| 67 | 108.2 | 107.50362654321 | 106.216666666667 | 1.2869598765432 | 0.696373456790113 |
| 68 | 99.1 | 105.696682098765 | 104.475 | 1.22168209876543 | -6.59668209876543 |
| 69 | 101.2 | 99.8175154320988 | 102.858333333333 | -3.04081790123457 | 1.38248456790126 |
| 70 | 98.1 | 101.086033950617 | 101.2625 | -0.17646604938271 | -2.9860339506173 |
| 71 | 95.5 | 102.701774691358 | 99.8625 | 2.83927469135803 | -7.20177469135804 |
| 72 | 97.9 | 99.4031635802469 | 98.75 | 0.653163580246918 | -1.50316358024689 |
| 73 | 98.2 | 101.039737654321 | 98.0625 | 2.97723765432099 | -2.83973765432098 |
| 74 | 98.7 | 99.4610339506173 | 98.075 | 1.38603395061728 | -0.761033950617275 |
| 75 | 95.6 | 99.7189043209876 | 98.4291666666667 | 1.28973765432098 | -4.11890432098765 |
| 76 | 95.8 | 96.5346450617284 | 98.7416666666667 | -2.20702160493827 | -0.734645061728386 |
| 77 | 94.4 | 95.976774691358 | 99.2625 | -3.28572530864197 | -1.57677469135801 |
| 78 | 96.5 | 96.8809413580247 | 99.825 | -2.94405864197531 | -0.380941358024671 |
| 79 | 103.3 | 101.495293209877 | 100.208333333333 | 1.2869598765432 | 1.80470679012346 |
| 80 | 104.3 | 101.913348765432 | 100.691666666667 | 1.22168209876543 | 2.38665123456791 |
| 81 | 104.5 | 98.2383487654321 | 101.279166666667 | -3.04081790123457 | 6.26165123456789 |
| 82 | 102.3 | 101.298533950617 | 101.475 | -0.17646604938271 | 1.00146604938273 |
| 83 | 103.8 | 104.580941358025 | 101.741666666667 | 2.83927469135803 | -0.780941358024691 |
| 84 | 103.1 | 102.990663580247 | 102.3375 | 0.653163580246918 | 0.109336419753106 |
| 85 | 102.2 | 105.710570987654 | 102.733333333333 | 2.97723765432099 | -3.5105709876543 |
| 86 | 106.3 | 104.411033950617 | 103.025 | 1.38603395061728 | 1.88896604938272 |
| 87 | 102.1 | 104.664737654321 | 103.375 | 1.28973765432098 | -2.56473765432101 |
| 88 | 94 | 101.517978395062 | 103.725 | -2.20702160493827 | -7.51797839506175 |
| 89 | 102.6 | 100.810108024691 | 104.095833333333 | -3.28572530864197 | 1.78989197530865 |
| 90 | 102.6 | 101.597608024691 | 104.541666666667 | -2.94405864197531 | 1.00239197530867 |
| 91 | 106.7 | 106.449459876543 | 105.1625 | 1.2869598765432 | 0.250540123456801 |
| 92 | 107.9 | 106.925848765432 | 105.704166666667 | 1.22168209876543 | 0.974151234567913 |
| 93 | 109.3 | 103.100848765432 | 106.141666666667 | -3.04081790123457 | 6.19915123456792 |
| 94 | 105.9 | 106.861033950617 | 107.0375 | -0.17646604938271 | -0.961033950617278 |
| 95 | 109.1 | 110.726774691358 | 107.8875 | 2.83927469135803 | -1.62677469135802 |
| 96 | 108.5 | 108.93649691358 | 108.283333333333 | 0.653163580246918 | -0.436496913580257 |
| 97 | 111.7 | 111.843904320988 | 108.866666666667 | 2.97723765432099 | -0.143904320987659 |
| 98 | 109.8 | 110.765200617284 | 109.379166666667 | 1.38603395061728 | -0.965200617283955 |
| 99 | 109.1 | 110.993904320988 | 109.704166666667 | 1.28973765432098 | -1.89390432098766 |
| 100 | 108.5 | 108.159645061728 | 110.366666666667 | -2.20702160493827 | 0.340354938271602 |
| 101 | 108.5 | 107.918441358025 | 111.204166666667 | -3.28572530864197 | 0.581558641975292 |
| 102 | 106.2 | 109.201774691358 | 112.145833333333 | -2.94405864197531 | -3.00177469135801 |
| 103 | 117.1 | 114.24112654321 | 112.954166666667 | 1.2869598765432 | 2.85887345679011 |
| 104 | 109.8 | 114.788348765432 | 113.566666666667 | 1.22168209876543 | -4.98834876543211 |
| 105 | 115.2 | 111.080015432099 | 114.120833333333 | -3.04081790123457 | 4.11998456790126 |
| 106 | 115.9 | 114.261033950617 | 114.4375 | -0.17646604938271 | 1.63896604938274 |
| 107 | 119.2 | 117.114274691358 | 114.275 | 2.83927469135803 | 2.08572530864201 |
| 108 | 121 | 114.48649691358 | 113.833333333333 | 0.653163580246918 | 6.51350308641979 |
| 109 | 118.6 | 116.214737654321 | 113.2375 | 2.97723765432099 | 2.38526234567902 |
| 110 | 117.6 | 114.052700617284 | 112.666666666667 | 1.38603395061728 | 3.54729938271605 |
| 111 | 114.6 | 113.273070987654 | 111.983333333333 | 1.28973765432098 | 1.32692901234569 |
| 112 | 110.6 | 108.763811728395 | 110.970833333333 | -2.20702160493827 | 1.83618827160495 |
| 113 | 102.5 | 106.405941358025 | 109.691666666667 | -3.28572530864197 | -3.90594135802468 |
| 114 | 101.6 | 105.114274691358 | 108.058333333333 | -2.94405864197531 | -3.51427469135804 |
| 115 | 107.4 | NA | NA | 1.2869598765432 | NA |
| 116 | 105.8 | NA | NA | 1.22168209876543 | NA |
| 117 | 102.8 | NA | NA | -3.04081790123457 | NA |
| 118 | 104 | NA | NA | -0.17646604938271 | NA |
| 119 | 100.4 | NA | NA | 2.83927469135803 | NA |
| 120 | 100.6 | NA | NA | 0.653163580246918 | NA |
