Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[56])
44	105	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	82	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	81	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	75	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	102	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	121	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	98	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
51	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
52	77	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
53	63	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
54	37	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
55	35	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
56	23	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	40	41.7442	-10.3469	93.8353	0.4738	0.7597	0.0649	0.7597
58	29	41.7442	-13.717	97.2053	0.3262	0.5246	0.0827	0.7461
59	37	41.7442	-16.8937	100.3821	0.437	0.6649	0.1332	0.7345
60	51	41.7442	-19.907	103.3953	0.3843	0.5599	0.0277	0.7244
61	20	41.7442	-22.7796	106.268	0.2545	0.3893	0.008	0.7155
62	28	41.7442	-25.5298	109.0181	0.3444	0.7368	0.0506	0.7075
63	13	41.7442	-28.1718	111.6601	0.2102	0.65	0.1684	0.7004
64	22	41.7442	-30.7176	114.2059	0.2967	0.7816	0.1701	0.6939
65	25	41.7442	-33.1769	116.6652	0.3307	0.6973	0.2891	0.6881
66	13	41.7442	-35.558	119.0463	0.2331	0.6644	0.5479	0.6827
67	16	41.7442	-37.8679	121.3562	0.2631	0.7604	0.5659	0.6778
68	13	41.7442	-40.1127	123.601	0.2456	0.7312	0.6732	0.6732
69	16	41.7442	-42.2975	125.7858	0.2741	0.7487	0.5162	0.669
70	17	41.7442	-44.427	127.9153	0.2868	0.7209	0.614	0.6651
71	9	41.7442	-46.505	129.9934	0.2335	0.7087	0.542	0.6614
72	17	41.7442	-48.5353	132.0236	0.2956	0.7614	0.4204	0.658
73	25	41.7442	-50.5209	134.0092	0.361	0.7004	0.6779	0.6548
74	14	41.7442	-52.4647	135.953	0.2819	0.6362	0.6125	0.6517
75	8	41.7442	-54.3691	137.8575	0.2457	0.7142	0.7211	0.6489
76	7	41.7442	-56.2366	139.7249	0.2435	0.7502	0.6536	0.6462
77	10	41.7442	-58.0691	141.5574	0.2665	0.7525	0.6288	0.6436
78	7	41.7442	-59.8685	143.3569	0.2514	0.7298	0.7104	0.6412
79	10	41.7442	-61.6367	145.125	0.2736	0.745	0.6873	0.6388
80	3	41.7442	-63.3751	146.8635	0.235	0.723	0.704	0.6366

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
57	0.6367	-0.0418	0	3.0421	0	0
58	0.6779	-0.3053	0.1735	162.4138	82.728	9.0955
59	0.7167	-0.1136	0.1536	22.5071	62.6544	7.9155
60	0.7535	0.2217	0.1706	85.6704	68.4084	8.2709
61	0.7886	-0.5209	0.2407	472.8089	149.2885	12.2184
62	0.8222	-0.3292	0.2554	188.9022	155.8908	12.4856
63	0.8545	-0.6886	0.3173	826.2272	251.6531	15.8636
64	0.8856	-0.473	0.3368	389.8322	268.9255	16.3989
65	0.9157	-0.4011	0.3439	280.3672	270.1968	16.4377
66	0.9448	-0.6886	0.3784	826.2272	325.7998	18.0499
67	0.973	-0.6167	0.4001	662.7622	356.4328	18.8794
68	1.0005	-0.6886	0.4241	826.2272	395.5823	19.8893
69	1.0272	-0.6167	0.4389	662.7622	416.1346	20.3994
70	1.0532	-0.5928	0.4499	612.2739	430.1446	20.7399
71	1.0786	-0.7844	0.4722	1072.1806	472.947	21.7473
72	1.1034	-0.5928	0.4797	612.2739	481.6549	21.9466
73	1.1277	-0.4011	0.4751	280.3672	469.8145	21.6752
74	1.1514	-0.6646	0.4856	769.7389	486.4769	22.0562
75	1.1747	-0.8084	0.5026	1138.6689	520.8028	22.8211
76	1.1975	-0.8323	0.5191	1207.1573	555.1205	23.561
77	1.2199	-0.7604	0.5306	1007.6923	576.6716	24.014
78	1.2419	-0.8323	0.5443	1207.1573	605.33	24.6035
79	1.2635	-0.7604	0.5537	1007.6923	622.824	24.9564
80	1.2848	-0.9281	0.5693	1501.1106	659.4193	25.6792