Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[46])
34111.85-------
35112.12-------
36112.15-------
37112.17-------
38112.67-------
39112.8-------
40113.44-------
41113.53-------
42114.53-------
43114.51-------
44115.05-------
45116.67-------
46117.07-------
47116.92117.2761116.6701117.8820.12470.747510.7475
48117117.4581116.6012118.31490.14740.890810.8126
49117.02117.4423116.3929118.49180.21510.795610.7566
50117.35117.8645116.6536119.07550.20250.914210.9008
51117.36117.9577116.6043119.3110.19340.810610.9007
52117.82118.5215117.0394120.00370.17680.937710.9725
53117.88118.5832116.9826120.18370.19460.82510.9681
54118.24119.2079117.4971120.91870.13370.935910.9928
55118.5119.303117.4886121.11740.19290.874610.9921
56118.8119.7711117.8587121.68350.15980.903710.9972
57119.76121.3618119.3562123.36730.05870.993911
58120.09121.6292119.5346123.72380.07490.959911


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
470.0026-0.00300.126800
480.0037-0.00390.00350.20980.16830.4102
490.0046-0.00360.00350.17840.17160.4143
500.0052-0.00440.00370.26470.19490.4415
510.0059-0.00510.0040.35720.22740.4768
520.0064-0.00590.00430.49220.27150.5211
530.0069-0.00590.00450.49440.30340.5508
540.0073-0.00810.0050.93680.38250.6185
550.0078-0.00670.00520.64480.41170.6416
560.0081-0.00810.00550.9430.46480.6818
570.0084-0.01320.00622.56570.65580.8098
580.0088-0.01270.00672.36920.79860.8936