Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[56])
44	99.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	116.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	115.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	99.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	94.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	91	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	93.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
51	103.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
52	94.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
53	91.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
54	102.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
55	82.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
56	89.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	104.5	104.3227	95.4883	113.1571	0.4843	0.9996	0.0028	0.9996
58	105.1	107.1734	98.2511	116.0957	0.3244	0.7215	0.0305	1
59	95.1	94.8436	84.7362	104.951	0.4802	0.0234	0.1885	0.8673
60	88.7	87.6305	75.1938	100.0673	0.4331	0.1196	0.1466	0.4084
61	86.3	89.1867	76.3605	102.0129	0.3296	0.5296	0.3909	0.5053
62	91.8	90.4628	76.0801	104.8456	0.4277	0.7147	0.3546	0.5737
63	111.5	98.4817	82.7989	114.1646	0.0519	0.7982	0.2819	0.8795
64	99.7	92.9491	76.5771	109.3212	0.2095	0.0132	0.4452	0.6775
65	97.5	90.3316	72.5785	108.0846	0.2143	0.1505	0.4356	0.5541
66	111.7	100.0103	81.3046	118.7159	0.1103	0.6037	0.389	0.8735
67	86.2	78.1833	58.6315	97.7352	0.2108	4e-04	0.329	0.1369
68	95.4	85.532	64.8534	106.2107	0.1748	0.4748	0.3676	0.3676

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
57	0.0432	0.0017	0	0.0314	0	0
58	0.0425	-0.0193	0.0105	4.299	2.1652	1.4715
59	0.0544	0.0027	0.0079	0.0657	1.4654	1.2105
60	0.0724	0.0122	0.009	1.1437	1.385	1.1769
61	0.0734	-0.0324	0.0137	8.3331	2.7746	1.6657
62	0.0811	0.0148	0.0139	1.788	2.6102	1.6156
63	0.0812	0.1322	0.0308	169.4756	26.4481	5.1428
64	0.0899	0.0726	0.036	45.5745	28.8389	5.3702
65	0.1003	0.0794	0.0408	51.3864	31.3442	5.5986
66	0.0954	0.1169	0.0484	136.65	41.8748	6.4711
67	0.1276	0.1025	0.0533	64.267	43.9104	6.6265
68	0.1233	0.1154	0.0585	97.3769	48.366	6.9546