| Goodness of Fit | |
| Correlation | 0.6752 |
| R-squared | 0.4559 |
| RMSE | 0.5751 |
| Actuals, Predictions, and Residuals | |||
| # | Actuals | Forecasts | Residuals |
| 1 | 3 | 2.75862068965517 | 0.241379310344827 |
| 2 | 3 | 2.75862068965517 | 0.241379310344827 |
| 3 | 4 | 3.55 | 0.45 |
| 4 | 3 | 2.75862068965517 | 0.241379310344827 |
| 5 | 3 | 2.72727272727273 | 0.272727272727273 |
| 6 | 3 | 2.75862068965517 | 0.241379310344827 |
| 7 | 3 | 3.55 | -0.55 |
| 8 | 2 | 1.81481481481481 | 0.185185185185185 |
| 9 | 3 | 2.75862068965517 | 0.241379310344827 |
| 10 | 3 | 3.175 | -0.175 |
| 11 | 3 | 2.75862068965517 | 0.241379310344827 |
| 12 | 3 | 2.75862068965517 | 0.241379310344827 |
| 13 | 3 | 3.175 | -0.175 |
| 14 | 2 | 1.81481481481481 | 0.185185185185185 |
| 15 | 3 | 2.72727272727273 | 0.272727272727273 |
| 16 | 3 | 2.75862068965517 | 0.241379310344827 |
| 17 | 2 | 2.72727272727273 | -0.727272727272727 |
| 18 | 3 | 3.175 | -0.175 |
| 19 | 2 | 1.81481481481481 | 0.185185185185185 |
| 20 | 1 | 1.81481481481481 | -0.814814814814815 |
| 21 | 2 | 2.75862068965517 | -0.758620689655173 |
| 22 | 3 | 3.55 | -0.55 |
| 23 | 3 | 2.72727272727273 | 0.272727272727273 |
| 24 | 3 | 2.75862068965517 | 0.241379310344827 |
| 25 | 3 | 2.75862068965517 | 0.241379310344827 |
| 26 | 3 | 3.175 | -0.175 |
| 27 | 2 | 2.75862068965517 | -0.758620689655173 |
| 28 | 3 | 2.75862068965517 | 0.241379310344827 |
| 29 | 3 | 3.175 | -0.175 |
| 30 | 4 | 3.175 | 0.825 |
| 31 | 3 | 3.175 | -0.175 |
| 32 | 3 | 2.75862068965517 | 0.241379310344827 |
| 33 | 3 | 3.55 | -0.55 |
| 34 | 3 | 2.75862068965517 | 0.241379310344827 |
| 35 | 2 | 1.81481481481481 | 0.185185185185185 |
| 36 | 3 | 3.175 | -0.175 |
| 37 | 3 | 2.75862068965517 | 0.241379310344827 |
| 38 | 3 | 2.72727272727273 | 0.272727272727273 |
| 39 | 3 | 3.175 | -0.175 |
| 40 | 4 | 3.55 | 0.45 |
| 41 | 3 | 3.175 | -0.175 |
| 42 | 3 | 3.175 | -0.175 |
| 43 | 1 | 1.81481481481481 | -0.814814814814815 |
| 44 | 2 | 1.81481481481481 | 0.185185185185185 |
| 45 | 3 | 2.75862068965517 | 0.241379310344827 |
| 46 | 4 | 3.55 | 0.45 |
| 47 | 4 | 3.175 | 0.825 |
| 48 | 2 | 1.81481481481481 | 0.185185185185185 |
| 49 | 1 | 2.75862068965517 | -1.75862068965517 |
| 50 | 3 | 2.75862068965517 | 0.241379310344827 |
| 51 | 3 | 2.72727272727273 | 0.272727272727273 |
| 52 | 1 | 2.72727272727273 | -1.72727272727273 |
| 53 | 3 | 2.75862068965517 | 0.241379310344827 |
| 54 | 2 | 1.81481481481481 | 0.185185185185185 |
| 55 | 3 | 3.175 | -0.175 |
| 56 | 3 | 2.75862068965517 | 0.241379310344827 |
| 57 | 2 | 2.75862068965517 | -0.758620689655173 |
| 58 | 4 | 3.175 | 0.825 |
| 59 | 1 | 1.81481481481481 | -0.814814814814815 |
| 60 | 3 | 3.55 | -0.55 |
| 61 | 2 | 1.81481481481481 | 0.185185185185185 |
| 62 | 4 | 3.175 | 0.825 |
| 63 | 3 | 3.55 | -0.55 |
| 64 | 4 | 3.55 | 0.45 |
| 65 | 3 | 1.81481481481481 | 1.18518518518519 |
| 66 | 3 | 3.175 | -0.175 |
| 67 | 3 | 2.72727272727273 | 0.272727272727273 |
| 68 | 3 | 3.175 | -0.175 |
| 69 | 3 | 3.175 | -0.175 |
| 70 | 1 | 1.81481481481481 | -0.814814814814815 |
| 71 | 3 | 3.175 | -0.175 |
| 72 | 3 | 3.175 | -0.175 |
| 73 | 3 | 2.75862068965517 | 0.241379310344827 |
| 74 | 2 | 2.75862068965517 | -0.758620689655173 |
| 75 | 3 | 2.75862068965517 | 0.241379310344827 |
| 76 | 3 | 2.75862068965517 | 0.241379310344827 |
| 77 | 3 | 2.75862068965517 | 0.241379310344827 |
| 78 | 2 | 2.75862068965517 | -0.758620689655173 |
| 79 | 3 | 3.175 | -0.175 |
| 80 | 2 | 1.81481481481481 | 0.185185185185185 |
| 81 | 2 | 2.75862068965517 | -0.758620689655173 |
| 82 | 3 | 3.175 | -0.175 |
| 83 | 3 | 2.75862068965517 | 0.241379310344827 |
| 84 | 2 | 2.75862068965517 | -0.758620689655173 |
| 85 | 2 | 3.175 | -1.175 |
| 86 | 3 | 2.75862068965517 | 0.241379310344827 |
| 87 | 2 | 1.81481481481481 | 0.185185185185185 |
| 88 | 3 | 2.75862068965517 | 0.241379310344827 |
| 89 | 4 | 3.55 | 0.45 |
| 90 | 2 | 2.75862068965517 | -0.758620689655173 |
| 91 | 3 | 3.175 | -0.175 |
| 92 | 2 | 2.75862068965517 | -0.758620689655173 |
| 93 | 4 | 3.55 | 0.45 |
| 94 | 3 | 3.175 | -0.175 |
| 95 | 3 | 2.75862068965517 | 0.241379310344827 |
| 96 | 3 | 1.81481481481481 | 1.18518518518519 |
| 97 | 3 | 2.72727272727273 | 0.272727272727273 |
| 98 | 2 | 1.81481481481481 | 0.185185185185185 |
| 99 | 3 | 2.72727272727273 | 0.272727272727273 |
| 100 | 4 | 2.75862068965517 | 1.24137931034483 |
| 101 | 4 | 3.55 | 0.45 |
| 102 | 4 | 3.55 | 0.45 |
| 103 | 3 | 2.75862068965517 | 0.241379310344827 |
| 104 | 3 | 2.75862068965517 | 0.241379310344827 |
| 105 | 1 | 1.81481481481481 | -0.814814814814815 |
| 106 | 4 | 2.75862068965517 | 1.24137931034483 |
| 107 | 1 | 2.75862068965517 | -1.75862068965517 |
| 108 | 3 | 3.55 | -0.55 |
| 109 | 2 | 1.81481481481481 | 0.185185185185185 |
| 110 | 2 | 1.81481481481481 | 0.185185185185185 |
| 111 | 3 | 2.75862068965517 | 0.241379310344827 |
| 112 | 3 | 2.75862068965517 | 0.241379310344827 |
| 113 | 2 | 2.75862068965517 | -0.758620689655173 |
| 114 | 3 | 3.175 | -0.175 |
| 115 | 3 | 3.55 | -0.55 |
| 116 | 4 | 3.175 | 0.825 |
| 117 | 4 | 3.175 | 0.825 |
| 118 | 3 | 2.72727272727273 | 0.272727272727273 |
| 119 | 3 | 2.75862068965517 | 0.241379310344827 |
| 120 | 3 | 3.175 | -0.175 |
| 121 | 3 | 2.75862068965517 | 0.241379310344827 |
| 122 | 3 | 3.175 | -0.175 |
| 123 | 1 | 1.81481481481481 | -0.814814814814815 |
| 124 | 2 | 3.55 | -1.55 |
| 125 | 4 | 3.175 | 0.825 |
| 126 | 3 | 2.75862068965517 | 0.241379310344827 |
| 127 | 4 | 3.55 | 0.45 |
| 128 | 3 | 2.75862068965517 | 0.241379310344827 |
| 129 | 2 | 2.75862068965517 | -0.758620689655173 |
| 130 | 1 | 1.81481481481481 | -0.814814814814815 |
| 131 | 4 | 3.55 | 0.45 |
| 132 | 3 | 3.175 | -0.175 |
| 133 | 3 | 1.81481481481481 | 1.18518518518519 |
| 134 | 3 | 2.75862068965517 | 0.241379310344827 |
| 135 | 4 | 3.175 | 0.825 |
| 136 | 3 | 2.75862068965517 | 0.241379310344827 |
| 137 | 3 | 3.175 | -0.175 |
| 138 | 1 | 1.81481481481481 | -0.814814814814815 |
| 139 | 4 | 3.175 | 0.825 |
| 140 | 2 | 2.75862068965517 | -0.758620689655173 |
| 141 | 2 | 3.175 | -1.175 |
| 142 | 3 | 2.75862068965517 | 0.241379310344827 |
| 143 | 3 | 3.175 | -0.175 |
| 144 | 2 | 1.81481481481481 | 0.185185185185185 |
| 145 | 3 | 2.75862068965517 | 0.241379310344827 |
| 146 | 3 | 2.75862068965517 | 0.241379310344827 |
| 147 | 2 | 1.81481481481481 | 0.185185185185185 |
| 148 | 2 | 2.75862068965517 | -0.758620689655173 |
| 149 | 3 | 3.175 | -0.175 |
| 150 | 4 | 3.55 | 0.45 |
| 151 | 4 | 2.75862068965517 | 1.24137931034483 |
| 152 | 4 | 3.55 | 0.45 |
| 153 | 2 | 1.81481481481481 | 0.185185185185185 |
| 154 | 3 | 3.175 | -0.175 |
| 155 | 3 | 3.175 | -0.175 |
| 156 | 3 | 2.75862068965517 | 0.241379310344827 |
