Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[45])
33119.57-------
34119.93-------
35120.03-------
36119.66-------
37119.46-------
38119.48-------
39119.56-------
40119.43-------
41119.57-------
42119.59-------
43119.5-------
44119.54-------
45119.56-------
46119.61119.58118.6459120.51410.47490.51670.23140.5167
47119.64119.6117.5113121.68870.4850.49630.34330.515
48119.6119.62116.125123.1150.49550.49550.49110.5134
49119.71119.64114.5238124.75620.48930.50610.52750.5122
50119.72119.66112.7326126.58740.49320.49440.52030.5113
51119.66119.68110.7693128.59070.49820.49650.51050.5105
52119.76119.7108.6477130.75230.49580.50280.51910.5099
53119.8119.72106.3785133.06150.49530.49770.50880.5094
54119.88119.74103.9707135.50930.49310.4970.50740.5089
55119.78119.76101.4318138.08820.49910.49490.51110.5085
56120.08119.7898.7681140.79190.48880.50.50890.5082
57120.22119.895.9853143.61470.48620.49080.50790.5079


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
460.0043e-0409e-0400
470.00893e-043e-040.00160.00130.0354
480.0149-2e-043e-044e-040.0010.0311
490.02186e-043e-040.00490.0020.0442
500.02955e-044e-040.00360.00230.0477
510.038-2e-043e-044e-040.0020.0443
520.04715e-044e-040.00360.00220.0469
530.05697e-044e-040.00640.00270.0522
540.06720.00125e-040.01960.00460.0678
550.07812e-045e-044e-040.00420.0647
560.08950.00256e-040.090.0120.1095
570.10140.00359e-040.17640.02570.1603