| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.9761 | -0.0794 | 0.057 | -0.7975 | 0.0545 | 0.0206 | -0.7083 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0.6951 ) | (0.7023 ) | (0 ) | (0.9453 ) | (0.9642 ) | (0.4567 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.9738 | -0.079 | 0.0579 | -0.7958 | 0.024 | 0 | -0.6725 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0.6954 ) | (0.6954 ) | (0 ) | (0.9466 ) | (NA ) | (0.1092 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.9704 | -0.0749 | 0.0563 | -0.7938 | 0 | 0 | -0.6495 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0.6947 ) | (0.6993 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0037 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0.9935 | -0.0376 | 0 | -0.8152 | 0 | 0 | -0.6378 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0.8166 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0027 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0.954 | 0 | 0 | -0.8035 | 0 | 0 | -0.6558 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0014 ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 0.188999600970890 |
| -0.000127511330870686 |
| -10.1004350065454 |
| -22.8030659082565 |
| -25.56253759958 |
| 24.1140212945812 |
| 34.1405337866493 |
| 4.45524471064276 |
| 1.43682939460702 |
| 44.0641931231076 |
| 15.1557935424959 |
| -39.9170431495348 |
| -15.5796055402953 |
| 39.4578220422775 |
| 0.273629884666397 |
| -20.5988476991078 |
| -31.0026564734737 |
| -37.6324324107737 |
| -23.6394984836252 |
| 22.2819102300604 |
| -0.752415537375013 |
| -17.7192352777495 |
| 6.0276604956866 |
| -20.7685026036412 |
| 23.6054164997769 |
| -7.0084553324554 |
| -15.2235300954010 |
| -5.75261859206398 |
| 20.1380513867908 |
| -30.0509422579471 |
| 8.13092798982818 |
| -23.0317181585405 |
| -6.20733639901611 |
| 21.5486596725180 |
| 23.4843148020203 |
| 5.0642898676328 |
| 12.2524915804739 |
| 15.9933526512207 |
| -47.2039710491413 |
| 16.8732558676662 |
| 1.28302110931282 |
| -10.2185344486943 |
| 80.1338872419998 |
| 6.22307505978263 |
| -13.7030089755191 |
| 14.6448648952428 |
| -13.8456150267523 |
| 13.1341382214414 |
| 41.0880999598667 |
| 18.5468186736008 |
| 16.7709325257104 |
| 66.7993147570317 |
| 12.5428632382861 |
| -11.5945748327766 |
| -36.7175532673636 |
| 21.9574323239293 |
| -12.0026150624261 |
| 67.4103067053702 |
| -20.1895861835733 |
| 5.68034002812862 |
| -30.5207267624982 |
