Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[44])
32	0.78	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
33	0.73	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
34	0.68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
35	0.65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
36	0.62	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	0.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	0.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	0.59	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	0.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	0.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	0.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	0.59	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	0.58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	0.56	0.5748	0.5461	0.6036	0.1556	0.3626	0	0.3626
46	0.55	0.5707	0.5222	0.6192	0.201	0.6677	0	0.3538
47	0.54	0.5674	0.4997	0.6352	0.2137	0.6929	0.0084	0.358
48	0.55	0.5648	0.4782	0.6514	0.3689	0.7126	0.1056	0.3652
49	0.55	0.5627	0.4578	0.6675	0.4064	0.5936	0.2427	0.373
50	0.54	0.561	0.4384	0.6835	0.3687	0.5697	0.2663	0.3805
51	0.54	0.5596	0.42	0.6992	0.3915	0.6085	0.3349	0.3874
52	0.54	0.5585	0.4026	0.7145	0.4079	0.5921	0.3011	0.3937
53	0.53	0.5577	0.386	0.7293	0.376	0.5799	0.3144	0.3994
54	0.53	0.557	0.3703	0.7437	0.3885	0.6115	0.3257	0.4045
55	0.53	0.5564	0.3553	0.7576	0.3984	0.6016	0.3717	0.4091
56	0.53	0.556	0.341	0.771	0.4064	0.5936	0.4133	0.4133

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
45	0.0255	-0.0258	0.0022	2e-04	0	0.0043
46	0.0433	-0.0363	0.003	4e-04	0	0.006
47	0.0609	-0.0483	0.004	8e-04	1e-04	0.0079
48	0.0782	-0.0262	0.0022	2e-04	0	0.0043
49	0.0951	-0.0225	0.0019	2e-04	0	0.0037
50	0.1115	-0.0374	0.0031	4e-04	0	0.0061
51	0.1273	-0.0351	0.0029	4e-04	0	0.0057
52	0.1425	-0.0332	0.0028	3e-04	0	0.0054
53	0.157	-0.0496	0.0041	8e-04	1e-04	0.008
54	0.171	-0.0484	0.004	7e-04	1e-04	0.0078
55	0.1844	-0.0475	0.004	7e-04	1e-04	0.0076
56	0.1973	-0.0467	0.0039	7e-04	1e-04	0.0075