Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[46])
34	100	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
35	113.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
36	122.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	112.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	104.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	92.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	117.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	109.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	106.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	118.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	105.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	106	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	102	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	112.9	111.4948	104.6301	117.9607	0.3351	0.998	0.2921	0.998
48	116.5	122.7608	116.3946	128.8127	0.0213	0.9993	0.5465	1
49	114.8	118.4819	111.0492	125.4752	0.151	0.7107	0.9532	1
50	100.5	109.1785	98.8539	118.6076	0.0356	0.1213	0.8496	0.9322
51	85.4	103.2694	91.4961	113.8314	5e-04	0.6963	0.9772	0.5931
52	114.6	120.4788	109.4734	130.5599	0.1265	1	0.7381	0.9998
53	109.9	114.543	101.3093	126.3987	0.2214	0.4962	0.807	0.9809
54	100.7	115.555	101.4483	128.1177	0.0102	0.8112	0.9299	0.9828
55	115.5	120.8043	106.2053	133.82	0.2122	0.9988	0.6186	0.9977
56	100.7	116.4587	99.8538	130.975	0.0167	0.5515	0.934	0.9745
57	99	116.6148	98.9024	131.9711	0.0123	0.9789	0.9123	0.9689
58	102.3	114.5138	95.1619	131.0383	0.0737	0.9671	0.9311	0.9311

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
47	0.0296	0.0126	0	1.9746	0	0
48	0.0252	-0.051	0.0318	39.1977	20.5861	4.5372
49	0.0301	-0.0311	0.0316	13.5567	18.243	4.2712
50	0.0441	-0.0795	0.0435	75.3156	32.5111	5.7019
51	0.0522	-0.173	0.0694	319.3146	89.8718	9.4801
52	0.0427	-0.0488	0.066	34.5608	80.6533	8.9807
53	0.0528	-0.0405	0.0624	21.5578	72.2111	8.4977
54	0.0555	-0.1286	0.0706	220.6699	90.7685	9.5272
55	0.055	-0.0439	0.0677	28.1354	83.8092	9.1547
56	0.0636	-0.1353	0.0744	248.3358	100.2619	10.0131
57	0.0672	-0.1511	0.0814	310.2826	119.3547	10.925
58	0.0736	-0.1067	0.0835	149.1768	121.8399	11.0381