Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[49])
37	506	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	502	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	516	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	528	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	533	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	536	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	537	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	524	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	536	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	587	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	597	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	581	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	564	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	558	561.502	545.0985	577.9054	0.3378	0.3827	1	0.3827
51	575	574.6054	551.4323	597.7785	0.4867	0.9199	1	0.8151
52	580	585.0116	554.8546	615.1687	0.3723	0.7424	0.9999	0.914
53	575	590.4148	550.985	629.8446	0.2218	0.6977	0.9978	0.9054
54	563	592.7949	545.6199	639.97	0.1079	0.7701	0.9909	0.8842
55	552	593.2741	538.3738	648.1744	0.0703	0.8601	0.9777	0.852
56	537	580.3148	517.5399	643.0897	0.0881	0.8117	0.9607	0.6948
57	545	591.9906	521.9737	662.0075	0.0942	0.9381	0.9415	0.7833
58	601	642.8044	565.7194	719.8893	0.1439	0.9936	0.922	0.9774
59	604	652.762	568.8221	736.7019	0.1274	0.8866	0.9035	0.9809
60	586	636.6079	546.1727	727.0432	0.1364	0.7601	0.8859	0.9422
61	564	619.5313	522.814	716.2486	0.1302	0.7516	0.8698	0.8698

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
50	0.0149	-0.0062	0	12.2637	0	0
51	0.0206	7e-04	0.0035	0.1557	6.2097	2.4919
52	0.0263	-0.0086	0.0052	25.1164	12.5119	3.5372
53	0.0341	-0.0261	0.0104	237.6163	68.788	8.2939
54	0.0406	-0.0503	0.0184	887.7389	232.5782	15.2505
55	0.0472	-0.0696	0.0269	1703.5531	477.7407	21.8573
56	0.0552	-0.0746	0.0337	1876.1721	677.5166	26.0291
57	0.0603	-0.0794	0.0394	2208.1137	868.8412	29.4761
58	0.0612	-0.065	0.0423	1747.6047	966.4816	31.0883
59	0.0656	-0.0747	0.0455	2377.7325	1107.6067	33.2807
60	0.0725	-0.0795	0.0486	2561.1638	1239.7483	35.2101
61	0.0796	-0.0896	0.052	3083.7234	1393.4129	37.3284