Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[357])
356146.87-------
357145.67-------
358151.95145.4238125.0868167.62570.28230.49130.49130.4913
359150.23145.3732114.3292180.99230.39460.35870.35870.4935
360155.86145.3628106.4579191.7460.32870.41850.41850.4948
361154.4145.3607100.1937200.94920.3750.35560.35560.4956
362156.36145.360294.9384209.15470.36770.39060.39060.4962
363162.13145.360190.3786216.66640.32240.38120.38120.4966
364171.06145.360186.3325223.66420.260.33730.33730.4969
365174.01145.360182.6848230.26310.25420.27650.27650.4971
366193.52145.360179.3576236.54080.15030.2690.2690.4973
367205.26145.360176.2952242.55310.11350.16570.16570.4975
368212.8145.360173.4563248.34110.09960.12710.12710.4976
369222.1145.360170.8093253.93650.0830.11170.11170.4978


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
3580.07790.0449042.590700
3590.1250.03340.039123.588233.08945.7523
3600.16280.07220.0502110.190758.78997.6675
3610.19510.06220.053281.709364.51978.0324
3620.22390.07570.0577120.994775.81478.7072
3630.25030.11540.0673281.2279110.050210.4905
3640.27480.17680.0829660.4833188.683513.7362
3650.2980.19710.0972820.8152267.716.3615
3660.320.33130.12322319.3734495.663722.2635
3670.34110.41210.15213587.9949804.896828.3707
3680.36150.4640.18054548.13661145.191333.8407
3690.38110.52790.20945889.00821540.509439.2493