| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 103.6 | NA | NA | -14.4693497474747 | NA |
| 2 | 103.5 | NA | NA | -13.4644255050505 | NA |
| 3 | 110.9 | NA | NA | 3.31246843434344 | NA |
| 4 | 115.8 | NA | NA | -5.90760732323232 | NA |
| 5 | 117.8 | NA | NA | 2.66133207070707 | NA |
| 6 | 121.1 | NA | NA | 6.32951388888889 | NA |
| 7 | 128.7 | 120.24466540404 | 115.570833333333 | 4.67383207070706 | 8.4553345959596 |
| 8 | 112.7 | 116.262089646465 | 115.241666666667 | 1.02042297979798 | -3.56208964646464 |
| 9 | 111.3 | 111.453756313131 | 115.858333333333 | -4.40457702020203 | -0.153756313131296 |
| 10 | 116.2 | 113.291256313131 | 115.8875 | -2.59624368686869 | 2.9087436868687 |
| 11 | 109.8 | 113.140877525253 | 115.058333333333 | -1.91745580808081 | -3.34087752525252 |
| 12 | 137.9 | 139.699589646465 | 114.9375 | 24.7620896464646 | -1.79958964646464 |
| 13 | 98.7 | 100.347316919192 | 114.816666666667 | -14.4693497474747 | -1.64731691919192 |
| 14 | 100.5 | 101.427241161616 | 114.891666666667 | -13.4644255050505 | -0.92724116161618 |
| 15 | 128.7 | 118.549968434343 | 115.2375 | 3.31246843434344 | 10.1500315656565 |
| 16 | 98.7 | 109.384059343434 | 115.291666666667 | -5.90760732323232 | -10.6840593434343 |
| 17 | 115 | 118.098832070707 | 115.4375 | 2.66133207070707 | -3.09883207070706 |
| 18 | 121 | 122.329513888889 | 116 | 6.32951388888889 | -1.32951388888885 |
| 19 | 125.9 | 121.115498737374 | 116.441666666667 | 4.67383207070706 | 4.78450126262631 |
| 20 | 117.3 | 117.853756313131 | 116.833333333333 | 1.02042297979798 | -0.553756313131288 |
| 21 | 115 | 112.182922979798 | 116.5875 | -4.40457702020203 | 2.81707702020203 |
| 22 | 113.8 | 114.141256313131 | 116.7375 | -2.59624368686869 | -0.341256313131311 |
| 23 | 115.7 | 115.795044191919 | 117.7125 | -1.91745580808081 | -0.0950441919192002 |
| 24 | 145.5 | 142.762089646465 | 118 | 24.7620896464646 | 2.73791035353534 |
| 25 | 101.7 | 103.113983585859 | 117.583333333333 | -14.4693497474747 | -1.41398358585857 |
| 26 | 106.9 | 103.714741161616 | 117.179166666667 | -13.4644255050505 | 3.18525883838385 |
| 27 | 116.4 | 120.449968434343 | 117.1375 | 3.31246843434344 | -4.04996843434343 |
| 28 | 114.6 | 111.104892676768 | 117.0125 | -5.90760732323232 | 3.49510732323235 |
| 29 | 122.5 | 119.665498737374 | 117.004166666667 | 2.66133207070707 | 2.83450126262629 |
| 30 | 120.4 | 123.254513888889 | 116.925 | 6.32951388888889 | -2.85451388888886 |
| 31 | 116.5 | 121.46966540404 | 116.795833333333 | 4.67383207070706 | -4.96966540404038 |
| 32 | 117 | 117.724589646465 | 116.704166666667 | 1.02042297979798 | -0.724589646464622 |
| 33 | 114.3 | 112.312089646465 | 116.716666666667 | -4.40457702020203 | 1.98791035353538 |
| 34 | 111.5 | 114.220422979798 | 116.816666666667 | -2.59624368686869 | -2.72042297979796 |
| 35 | 117.8 | 114.828377525253 | 116.745833333333 | -1.91745580808081 | 2.97162247474746 |
| 36 | 141.5 | 141.624589646465 | 116.8625 | 24.7620896464646 | -0.124589646464628 |
| 37 | 102.6 | 102.797316919192 | 117.266666666667 | -14.4693497474747 | -0.197316919191934 |
| 38 | 103.8 | 104.18557449495 | 117.65 | -13.4644255050505 | -0.385574494949509 |
| 39 | 119.8 | 120.974968434343 | 117.6625 | 3.31246843434344 | -1.17496843434344 |
| 40 | 113.6 | 111.896559343434 | 117.804166666667 | -5.90760732323232 | 1.70344065656566 |
| 41 | 121.8 | 120.865498737374 | 118.204166666667 | 2.66133207070707 | 0.93450126262627 |
| 42 | 123.9 | 124.771180555556 | 118.441666666667 | 6.32951388888889 | -0.871180555555512 |
| 43 | 122.7 | 123.39466540404 | 118.720833333333 | 4.67383207070706 | -0.694665404040393 |
| 44 | 120 | 120.091256313131 | 119.070833333333 | 1.02042297979798 | -0.0912563131312965 |
| 45 | 111.6 | 115.103756313131 | 119.508333333333 | -4.40457702020203 | -3.50375631313129 |
| 46 | 117.6 | 117.099589646465 | 119.695833333333 | -2.59624368686869 | 0.500410353535372 |
| 47 | 121.3 | 117.945044191919 | 119.8625 | -1.91745580808081 | 3.3549558080808 |
| 48 | 143.7 | 144.920422979798 | 120.158333333333 | 24.7620896464646 | -1.22042297979797 |
| 49 | 107.1 | 105.701483585859 | 120.170833333333 | -14.4693497474747 | 1.39851641414141 |
| 50 | 107.7 | 106.881407828283 | 120.345833333333 | -13.4644255050505 | 0.818592171717185 |
| 51 | 126.4 | 123.958301767677 | 120.645833333333 | 3.31246843434344 | 2.44169823232325 |
| 52 | 111.5 | 114.967392676768 | 120.875 | -5.90760732323232 | -3.46739267676766 |
| 53 | 127.9 | 123.752998737374 | 121.091666666667 | 2.66133207070707 | 4.14700126262629 |
| 54 | 124.9 | 127.496180555556 | 121.166666666667 | 6.32951388888889 | -2.59618055555553 |
| 55 | 122 | 125.83216540404 | 121.158333333333 | 4.67383207070706 | -3.8321654040404 |
| 56 | 124.9 | 122.128756313131 | 121.108333333333 | 1.02042297979798 | 2.7712436868687 |
| 57 | 113.9 | 116.162089646465 | 120.566666666667 | -4.40457702020203 | -2.26208964646464 |
| 58 | 120.8 | 117.924589646465 | 120.520833333333 | -2.59624368686869 | 2.87541035353537 |
| 59 | 123.3 | 118.728377525253 | 120.645833333333 | -1.91745580808081 | 4.57162247474746 |
| 60 | 143.5 | 145.012089646465 | 120.25 | 24.7620896464646 | -1.51208964646464 |
| 61 | 107.1 | 105.918150252525 | 120.3875 | -14.4693497474747 | 1.18184974747476 |
| 62 | 106.5 | 106.868907828283 | 120.333333333333 | -13.4644255050505 | -0.368907828282829 |
| 63 | 114.6 | 123.470801767677 | 120.158333333333 | 3.31246843434344 | -8.87080176767678 |
| 64 | 122.2 | 114.334059343434 | 120.241666666667 | -5.90760732323232 | 7.86594065656567 |
| 65 | 120.2 | 122.577998737374 | 119.916666666667 | 2.66133207070707 | -2.37799873737373 |
| 66 | 123.1 | 126.054513888889 | 119.725 | 6.32951388888889 | -2.95451388888888 |
| 67 | 127.1 | 124.561332070707 | 119.8875 | 4.67383207070706 | 2.53866792929294 |
| 68 | 118.5 | 120.949589646465 | 119.929166666667 | 1.02042297979798 | -2.44958964646462 |
| 69 | 116.1 | 115.845422979798 | 120.25 | -4.40457702020203 | 0.254577020202007 |
| 70 | 120.6 | 117.703756313131 | 120.3 | -2.59624368686869 | 2.89624368686869 |
| 71 | 115.7 | 117.924210858586 | 119.841666666667 | -1.91745580808081 | -2.22421085858583 |
| 72 | 146.5 | 144.470422979798 | 119.708333333333 | 24.7620896464646 | 2.02957702020203 |
| 73 | 108 | 105.072316919192 | 119.541666666667 | -14.4693497474747 | 2.92768308080808 |
| 74 | 106.6 | 105.860574494949 | 119.325 | -13.4644255050505 | 0.739425505050505 |
| 75 | 122.2 | 122.545801767677 | 119.233333333333 | 3.31246843434344 | -0.345801767676775 |
| 76 | 115.8 | 112.925726010101 | 118.833333333333 | -5.90760732323232 | 2.87427398989898 |
| 77 | 115.6 | 121.16966540404 | 118.508333333333 | 2.66133207070707 | -5.5696654040404 |
| 78 | 124.5 | 124.704513888889 | 118.375 | 6.32951388888889 | -0.204513888888869 |
| 79 | 121.7 | 122.648832070707 | 117.975 | 4.67383207070706 | -0.948832070707056 |
| 80 | 118.7 | 118.570422979798 | 117.55 | 1.02042297979798 | 0.129577020202021 |
| 81 | 113.7 | 112.982922979798 | 117.3875 | -4.40457702020203 | 0.717077020202012 |
| 82 | 113.4 | 114.599589646465 | 117.195833333333 | -2.59624368686869 | -1.19958964646464 |
| 83 | 115.1 | 115.190877525253 | 117.108333333333 | -1.91745580808081 | -0.0908775252525231 |
| 84 | 143.9 | 141.937089646465 | 117.175 | 24.7620896464646 | 1.96291035353538 |
| 85 | 101 | 102.709816919192 | 117.179166666667 | -14.4693497474747 | -1.70981691919191 |
| 86 | 103.4 | 103.768907828283 | 117.233333333333 | -13.4644255050505 | -0.368907828282815 |
| 87 | 121.5 | 120.64163510101 | 117.329166666667 | 3.31246843434344 | 0.858364898989905 |
| 88 | 111.9 | 111.425726010101 | 117.333333333333 | -5.90760732323232 | 0.474273989899018 |
| 89 | 117.4 | 119.952998737374 | 117.291666666667 | 2.66133207070707 | -2.55299873737374 |
| 90 | 124.3 | 123.575347222222 | 117.245833333333 | 6.32951388888889 | 0.724652777777763 |
| 91 | 122 | 121.99466540404 | 117.320833333333 | 4.67383207070706 | 0.00533459595959584 |
| 92 | 119.7 | 118.549589646465 | 117.529166666667 | 1.02042297979798 | 1.15041035353536 |
| 93 | 115 | 113.324589646465 | 117.729166666667 | -4.40457702020203 | 1.67541035353536 |
| 94 | 112.2 | 115.337089646465 | 117.933333333333 | -2.59624368686869 | -3.13708964646463 |
| 95 | 115.3 | 116.407544191919 | 118.325 | -1.91745580808081 | -1.10754419191919 |
| 96 | 142.6 | 143.707922979798 | 118.945833333333 | 24.7620896464646 | -1.10792297979796 |
| 97 | 104.1 | 104.938983585859 | 119.408333333333 | -14.4693497474747 | -0.838983585858585 |
| 98 | 105.3 | 106.314741161616 | 119.779166666667 | -13.4644255050505 | -1.01474116161616 |
| 99 | 124.4 | 123.508301767677 | 120.195833333333 | 3.31246843434344 | 0.891698232323236 |
| 100 | 113.9 | 114.646559343434 | 120.554166666667 | -5.90760732323232 | -0.746559343434342 |
| 101 | 124.8 | 123.573832070707 | 120.9125 | 2.66133207070707 | 1.22616792929291 |
| 102 | 131.8 | 127.667013888889 | 121.3375 | 6.32951388888889 | 4.13298611111111 |
| 103 | 125.6 | 126.452998737374 | 121.779166666667 | 4.67383207070706 | -0.852998737373767 |
| 104 | 125 | 123.182922979798 | 122.1625 | 1.02042297979798 | 1.81707702020202 |
| 105 | 119.7 | 118.374589646465 | 122.779166666667 | -4.40457702020203 | 1.32541035353536 |
| 106 | 116.1 | 120.670422979798 | 123.266666666667 | -2.59624368686869 | -4.570422979798 |
| 107 | 120 | 121.565877525253 | 123.483333333333 | -1.91745580808081 | -1.56587752525253 |
| 108 | 148.1 | 148.699589646465 | 123.9375 | 24.7620896464646 | -0.599589646464651 |
| 109 | 109.2 | 109.747316919192 | 124.216666666667 | -14.4693497474747 | -0.547316919191914 |
| 110 | 109.4 | 110.977241161616 | 124.441666666667 | -13.4644255050505 | -1.57724116161614 |
| 111 | 135.1 | 128.00413510101 | 124.691666666667 | 3.31246843434344 | 7.0958648989899 |
| 112 | 114.9 | 119.229892676768 | 125.1375 | -5.90760732323232 | -4.32989267676766 |
| 113 | 129 | 128.536332070707 | 125.875 | 2.66133207070707 | 0.463667929292924 |
| 114 | 138.5 | 132.637847222222 | 126.308333333333 | 6.32951388888889 | 5.86215277777775 |
| 115 | 125.6 | 131.323832070707 | 126.65 | 4.67383207070706 | -5.72383207070709 |
| 116 | 130.4 | 128.278756313131 | 127.258333333333 | 1.02042297979798 | 2.1212436868687 |
| 117 | 120.3 | 123.082922979798 | 127.4875 | -4.40457702020203 | -2.78292297979799 |
| 118 | 126.2 | 125.137089646465 | 127.733333333333 | -2.59624368686869 | 1.06291035353534 |
| 119 | 127.6 | 126.540877525253 | 128.458333333333 | -1.91745580808081 | 1.05912247474748 |
| 120 | 150.9 | 153.474589646465 | 128.7125 | 24.7620896464646 | -2.57458964646464 |
| 121 | 114.6 | 114.630650252525 | 129.1 | -14.4693497474747 | -0.0306502525252483 |
| 122 | 118.6 | 116.118907828283 | 129.583333333333 | -13.4644255050505 | 2.48109217171719 |
| 123 | 131.4 | 133.149968434343 | 129.8375 | 3.31246843434344 | -1.7499684343434 |
| 124 | 124.5 | 124.292392676768 | 130.2 | -5.90760732323232 | 0.207607323232338 |
| 125 | 136.8 | 132.877998737374 | 130.216666666667 | 2.66133207070707 | 3.92200126262628 |
| 126 | 136.8 | 136.687847222222 | 130.358333333333 | 6.32951388888889 | 0.112152777777766 |
| 127 | 136.6 | 135.373832070707 | 130.7 | 4.67383207070706 | 1.22616792929293 |
| 128 | 131 | 131.620422979798 | 130.6 | 1.02042297979798 | -0.620422979798008 |
| 129 | 125.8 | 125.887089646465 | 130.291666666667 | -4.40457702020203 | -0.0870896464646478 |
| 130 | 129.4 | 127.687089646465 | 130.283333333333 | -2.59624368686869 | 1.71291035353534 |
| 131 | 124.8 | 128.345044191919 | 130.2625 | -1.91745580808081 | -3.54504419191919 |
| 132 | 157.1 | 154.903756313131 | 130.141666666667 | 24.7620896464646 | 2.19624368686868 |
| 133 | 116.6 | 115.734816919192 | 130.204166666667 | -14.4693497474747 | 0.865183080808094 |
| 134 | 114.2 | 116.793907828283 | 130.258333333333 | -13.4644255050505 | -2.59390782828282 |
| 135 | 128.4 | 133.658301767677 | 130.345833333333 | 3.31246843434344 | -5.25830176767677 |
| 136 | 127.3 | 124.704892676768 | 130.6125 | -5.90760732323232 | 2.5951073232323 |
| 137 | 133.5 | 133.440498737374 | 130.779166666667 | 2.66133207070707 | 0.0595012626262701 |
| 138 | 137.2 | 137.233680555556 | 130.904166666667 | 6.32951388888889 | -0.033680555555577 |
| 139 | 137.7 | NA | NA | 4.67383207070706 | NA |
| 140 | 131.2 | NA | NA | 1.02042297979798 | NA |
| 141 | 127.7 | NA | NA | -4.40457702020203 | NA |
| 142 | 133.9 | NA | NA | -2.59624368686869 | NA |
| 143 | 124.3 | NA | NA | -1.91745580808081 | NA |
| 144 | 160.6 | NA | NA | 24.7620896464646 | NA |
