Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[45])
33	295.55	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
34	237.38	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
35	226.85	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
36	220.14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	239.36	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	224.69	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	230.98	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	233.47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	256.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	253.41	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	224.95	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	210.37	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	191.09	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	198.85	138.975	62.3402	215.6099	0.0628	0.0913	0.0059	0.0913
47	211.04	128.445	2.2019	254.6882	0.0999	0.1372	0.0633	0.1654
48	206.25	121.735	-39.5156	282.9857	0.1521	0.1388	0.1158	0.1996
49	201.19	140.955	-48.956	330.8661	0.2671	0.2502	0.1549	0.3024
50	194.37	126.285	-88.4954	341.0655	0.2672	0.2471	0.1846	0.2771
51	191.08	132.575	-104.4799	369.63	0.3143	0.3047	0.2079	0.3143
52	192.87	135.065	-122.3442	392.4742	0.3299	0.3349	0.2268	0.3348
53	181.61	158.295	-117.9728	434.5629	0.4343	0.4031	0.2425	0.408
54	157.67	155.005	-138.9139	448.924	0.4929	0.4296	0.2558	0.4049
55	196.14	126.545	-184.0235	437.1136	0.3303	0.4221	0.2673	0.3419
56	246.35	111.965	-214.4047	438.3348	0.2098	0.3066	0.2773	0.3173
57	271.9	92.685	-248.7555	434.1256	0.1518	0.1889	0.2861	0.2861

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
46	0.2813	0.4308	0	3585.011	0	0
47	0.5015	0.643	0.5369	6821.9277	5203.4693	72.1351
48	0.6758	0.6943	0.5894	7142.7787	5849.9058	76.4847
49	0.6874	0.4273	0.5489	3628.2506	5294.492	72.7633
50	0.8677	0.5391	0.5469	4635.562	5162.706	71.852
51	0.9123	0.4413	0.5293	3422.8305	4872.7268	69.8049
52	0.9724	0.428	0.5148	3341.4136	4653.9677	68.22
53	0.8904	0.1473	0.4689	543.5874	4140.1702	64.3442
54	0.9674	0.0172	0.4187	7.102	3680.9404	60.6708
55	1.2521	0.55	0.4318	4843.4587	3797.1922	61.6214
56	1.4872	1.2002	0.5017	18059.3179	5093.7491	71.3705
57	1.8795	1.9336	0.621	32118.0024	7345.7702	85.7075