Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[46])
34	100	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
35	113.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
36	122.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	112.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	104.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	92.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	117.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	109.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	106.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	118.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	105.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	106	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	102	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	112.9	109.7559	101.9707	117.541	0.2143	0.9746	0.1861	0.9746
48	116.5	123.6956	115.2694	132.1219	0.0471	0.994	0.6184	1
49	114.8	116.4475	106.9297	125.9653	0.3672	0.4957	0.7919	0.9985
50	100.5	105.9866	94.0195	117.9536	0.1844	0.0744	0.6151	0.7431
51	85.4	98.8857	86.2721	111.4992	0.0181	0.401	0.8395	0.3142
52	114.6	118.4577	104.3718	132.5436	0.2957	1	0.5695	0.989
53	109.9	111.753	96.1345	127.3715	0.4081	0.3604	0.6209	0.8895
54	100.7	111.3982	94.8976	127.8988	0.1019	0.5706	0.7354	0.8679
55	115.5	119.5596	101.6042	137.5151	0.3288	0.9802	0.533	0.9724
56	100.7	112.9559	93.8391	132.0727	0.1045	0.3971	0.7838	0.8693
57	99	112.9058	92.7507	133.0608	0.0881	0.8824	0.7491	0.8556
58	102.3	111.4393	90.0486	132.8299	0.2012	0.8728	0.8065	0.8065

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
47	0.0362	0.0286	0	9.8856	0	0
48	0.0348	-0.0582	0.0434	51.7772	30.8314	5.5526
49	0.0417	-0.0141	0.0337	2.7142	21.459	4.6324
50	0.0576	-0.0518	0.0382	30.1024	23.6199	4.86
51	0.0651	-0.1364	0.0578	181.8635	55.2686	7.4343
52	0.0607	-0.0326	0.0536	14.8821	48.5375	6.9669
53	0.0713	-0.0166	0.0483	3.4336	42.0941	6.488
54	0.0756	-0.096	0.0543	114.4513	51.1387	7.1511
55	0.0766	-0.034	0.052	16.4808	47.2879	6.8766
56	0.0863	-0.1085	0.0577	150.2066	57.5797	7.5881
57	0.0911	-0.1232	0.0636	193.3701	69.9243	8.3621
58	0.0979	-0.082	0.0652	83.5264	71.0578	8.4296