| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.274 | 0.1288 | 0.0514 | -0.4057 | 0.1734 | 0.01 | -0.9998 |
| (p-val) | (0.6878 ) | (0.3545 ) | (0.6946 ) | (0.5488 ) | (0.2186 ) | (0.9441 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.2786 | 0.1291 | 0.0514 | -0.4097 | 0.1712 | 0 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (0.6788 ) | (0.3512 ) | (0.6944 ) | (0.5395 ) | (0.2124 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.4582 | 0.158 | 0 | -0.5802 | 0.164 | 0 | -1.0003 |
| (p-val) | (0.3574 ) | (0.1767 ) | (NA ) | (0.244 ) | (0.2242 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | 0.0906 | 0 | -0.1219 | 0.1522 | 0 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.4169 ) | (NA ) | (0.2773 ) | (0.251 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.106 | 0.132 | 0 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.2964 ) | (0.3095 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0786 | 0 | 0 | -0.9977 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.4349 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.1818 ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0138 ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -147.826066664035 |
| 2238.51301587441 |
| 2359.87488859928 |
| -1449.98825688731 |
| 1861.04489242013 |
| 430.661875859848 |
| 3458.60132187513 |
| 646.058718254725 |
| 1739.66154886612 |
| 4006.68960282985 |
| -1719.28394427049 |
| -575.688104310958 |
| -2128.27136528936 |
| 3419.7122022473 |
| 308.502230727485 |
| -2119.13733238932 |
| 1016.25449524224 |
| -2481.26756718 |
| -3871.08871193406 |
| 3792.31988957272 |
| -3455.01063832915 |
| 922.25236794622 |
| -1465.69644888887 |
| 1815.46033699876 |
| -2017.776947633 |
| -869.475066941039 |
| 2633.89163739821 |
| -665.304593715183 |
| -2370.17782367784 |
| -2715.10912632117 |
| 169.824006908407 |
| -1355.7820732517 |
| 533.54294348963 |
| -319.157610151546 |
| 3987.11903163153 |
| 1739.12603052902 |
| -1689.18544767278 |
| -543.947906896667 |
| -1462.51857041602 |
| 884.841540137425 |
| -2134.23072354627 |
| -3450.92196349542 |
| -198.224297492632 |
| -1539.93552877989 |
| -1190.46562196346 |
| 1132.03584222754 |
| 619.631266813782 |
| -219.607443217678 |
| -719.221432596107 |
| -2050.41759723581 |
| 818.245098287702 |
| -1338.42067372119 |
| -2101.9167473642 |
| -1173.39928121353 |
| 2298.76099103561 |
| -253.353037476114 |
| -616.19720741604 |
| 385.619991890378 |
| 1867.38071184054 |
| 180.82415766734 |
| -95.037041589619 |
| -1763.04148708396 |
| 1113.67616542311 |
| 1369.37847419166 |
| -794.875847438821 |
| -563.278750583463 |
| -716.153028730001 |
| -1808.73698056266 |
| -1214.25219017791 |
| 542.993168269876 |
| -164.890498813239 |
| 597.944349092484 |
| -312.92262668824 |
| 1404.00911554973 |
| 354.697920515048 |
| 2214.01727128106 |
| 1220.43710184293 |
| 209.085020117811 |
| 344.826736677147 |
| -1902.62243696256 |
| -577.893285242029 |
| 955.100182166248 |
| -434.344551519133 |
| 257.988745478468 |
| 232.873053593415 |
| 2673.78611052383 |
| 340.654930753368 |
| 754.108963921352 |
| 792.42055361628 |
| 184.740334397793 |
