Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 98.4 | NA | NA | -1.24506172839507 | NA |
2 | 96.5 | NA | NA | -1.65987654320988 | NA |
3 | 97.4 | NA | NA | -0.821913580246914 | NA |
4 | 99.2 | NA | NA | -0.9733024691358 | NA |
5 | 100.8 | NA | NA | 0.798456790123467 | NA |
6 | 101.8 | NA | NA | 0.728549382716051 | NA |
7 | 102.7 | 101.980864197531 | 100.075 | 1.90586419753087 | 0.71913580246914 |
8 | 100 | 102.207253086420 | 100.345833333333 | 1.86141975308642 | -2.20725308641973 |
9 | 100.8 | 100.712345679012 | 100.629166666667 | 0.0831790123456801 | 0.0876543209876388 |
10 | 101.7 | 100.373456790123 | 100.783333333333 | -0.409876543209883 | 1.32654320987656 |
11 | 99 | 101.287345679012 | 100.845833333333 | 0.441512345679011 | -2.28734567901235 |
12 | 101.7 | 100.036882716049 | 100.745833333333 | -0.708950617283948 | 1.66311728395064 |
13 | 100.2 | 99.267438271605 | 100.5125 | -1.24506172839507 | 0.932561728395072 |
14 | 101.2 | 98.7609567901235 | 100.420833333333 | -1.65987654320988 | 2.43904320987654 |
15 | 99.5 | 99.4947530864197 | 100.316666666667 | -0.821913580246914 | 0.0052469135802653 |
16 | 100.8 | 99.0433641975308 | 100.016666666667 | -0.9733024691358 | 1.75663580246916 |
17 | 100.7 | 100.615123456790 | 99.8166666666666 | 0.798456790123467 | 0.0848765432098872 |
18 | 99.5 | 100.236882716049 | 99.5083333333333 | 0.728549382716051 | -0.73688271604938 |
19 | 99.4 | 100.993364197531 | 99.0875 | 1.90586419753087 | -1.59336419753086 |
20 | 101.1 | 100.469753086420 | 98.6083333333333 | 1.86141975308642 | 0.630246913580251 |
21 | 97.2 | 98.2581790123457 | 98.175 | 0.0831790123456801 | -1.05817901234568 |
22 | 98.1 | 97.4109567901234 | 97.8208333333333 | -0.409876543209883 | 0.689043209876544 |
23 | 97.8 | 97.8998456790123 | 97.4583333333333 | 0.441512345679011 | -0.0998456790123328 |
24 | 95.5 | 96.4993827160494 | 97.2083333333333 | -0.708950617283948 | -0.999382716049368 |
25 | 96.3 | 95.7841049382716 | 97.0291666666667 | -1.24506172839507 | 0.515895061728415 |
26 | 93.6 | 95.1567901234568 | 96.8166666666666 | -1.65987654320988 | -1.55679012345678 |
27 | 96.7 | 95.828086419753 | 96.65 | -0.821913580246914 | 0.87191358024694 |
28 | 95.1 | 95.4850308641975 | 96.4583333333333 | -0.9733024691358 | -0.385030864197518 |
29 | 97.7 | 96.9817901234568 | 96.1833333333333 | 0.798456790123467 | 0.718209876543227 |
30 | 96.5 | 96.7827160493827 | 96.0541666666667 | 0.728549382716051 | -0.282716049382714 |
31 | 98.1 | 97.8725308641975 | 95.9666666666667 | 1.90586419753087 | 0.227469135802480 |
32 | 97.3 | 97.815586419753 | 95.9541666666667 | 1.86141975308642 | -0.515586419753078 |
33 | 97 | 95.9456790123457 | 95.8625 | 0.0831790123456801 | 1.05432098765432 |
34 | 93.7 | 95.1984567901234 | 95.6083333333333 | -0.409876543209883 | -1.49845679012344 |
35 | 95.6 | 95.8498456790123 | 95.4083333333333 | 0.441512345679011 | -0.249845679012353 |
36 | 94.6 | 94.691049382716 | 95.4 | -0.708950617283948 | -0.0910493827160366 |
37 | 95.1 | 94.2257716049383 | 95.4708333333333 | -1.24506172839507 | 0.874228395061735 |
38 | 94.5 | 93.7692901234568 | 95.4291666666666 | -1.65987654320988 | 0.73070987654323 |
39 | 93.6 | 94.4405864197531 | 95.2625 | -0.821913580246914 | -0.840586419753095 |
40 | 92.1 | 94.2225308641975 | 95.1958333333333 | -0.9733024691358 | -2.12253086419753 |
41 | 95.9 | 95.9567901234568 | 95.1583333333333 | 0.798456790123467 | -0.0567901234567785 |
42 | 98.1 | 95.828549382716 | 95.1 | 0.728549382716051 | 2.27145061728395 |
43 | 98.2 | 96.9725308641975 | 95.0666666666667 | 1.90586419753087 | 1.22746913580248 |
44 | 96.2 | 96.8614197530864 | 95 | 1.86141975308642 | -0.661419753086406 |
45 | 94.1 | 95.1123456790123 | 95.0291666666667 | 0.0831790123456801 | -1.01234567901234 |
46 | 95 | 94.7984567901235 | 95.2083333333333 | -0.409876543209883 | 0.201543209876547 |
47 | 93.4 | 95.904012345679 | 95.4625 | 0.441512345679011 | -2.504012345679 |
48 | 95.4 | 94.9118827160494 | 95.6208333333333 | -0.708950617283948 | 0.488117283950615 |
49 | 93.5 | 94.4716049382716 | 95.7166666666667 | -1.24506172839507 | -0.97160493827161 |
50 | 94.5 | 94.2151234567901 | 95.875 | -1.65987654320988 | 0.284876543209876 |
51 | 94.3 | 95.3905864197531 | 96.2125 | -0.821913580246914 | -1.09058641975309 |
52 | 95.7 | 95.6391975308642 | 96.6125 | -0.9733024691358 | 0.0608024691358082 |
53 | 98.4 | 97.8067901234568 | 97.0083333333333 | 0.798456790123467 | 0.593209876543213 |
54 | 99.4 | 98.091049382716 | 97.3625 | 0.728549382716051 | 1.30895061728397 |
55 | 99.2 | 99.5100308641975 | 97.6041666666666 | 1.90586419753087 | -0.310030864197500 |
56 | 99 | 99.7447530864197 | 97.8833333333333 | 1.86141975308642 | -0.744753086419735 |
57 | 99.4 | 98.3831790123457 | 98.3 | 0.0831790123456801 | 1.01682098765434 |
58 | 99.3 | 98.3109567901234 | 98.7208333333333 | -0.409876543209883 | 0.98904320987657 |
59 | 98.6 | 99.4706790123457 | 99.0291666666667 | 0.441512345679011 | -0.870679012345676 |
60 | 98.7 | 98.5368827160494 | 99.2458333333333 | -0.708950617283948 | 0.163117283950641 |
61 | 96 | 98.279938271605 | 99.525 | -1.24506172839507 | -2.27993827160491 |
62 | 98.7 | 98.2692901234568 | 99.9291666666667 | -1.65987654320988 | 0.430709876543204 |
63 | 100.1 | 99.3864197530864 | 100.208333333333 | -0.821913580246914 | 0.71358024691358 |
64 | 100 | 99.5350308641975 | 100.508333333333 | -0.9733024691358 | 0.464969135802491 |
65 | 101.5 | 101.781790123457 | 100.983333333333 | 0.798456790123467 | -0.281790123456773 |
66 | 101.5 | 102.241049382716 | 101.5125 | 0.728549382716051 | -0.741049382716028 |
67 | 103.8 | 104.014197530864 | 102.108333333333 | 1.90586419753087 | -0.214197530864169 |
68 | 104.1 | 104.403086419753 | 102.541666666667 | 1.86141975308642 | -0.303086419753058 |
69 | 101 | 102.891512345679 | 102.808333333333 | 0.0831790123456801 | -1.89151234567899 |
70 | 104.9 | 102.590123456790 | 103 | -0.409876543209883 | 2.30987654320991 |
71 | 104.4 | 103.654012345679 | 103.2125 | 0.441512345679011 | 0.745987654320984 |
72 | 105.6 | 102.828549382716 | 103.5375 | -0.708950617283948 | 2.77145061728393 |
73 | 103.4 | 102.654938271605 | 103.9 | -1.24506172839507 | 0.745061728395058 |
74 | 101.7 | 102.710956790123 | 104.370833333333 | -1.65987654320988 | -1.01095679012347 |
75 | 103.5 | 104.203086419753 | 105.025 | -0.821913580246914 | -0.703086419753078 |
76 | 101.2 | 104.489197530864 | 105.4625 | -0.9733024691358 | -3.2891975308642 |
77 | 105.4 | 106.490123456790 | 105.691666666667 | 0.798456790123467 | -1.09012345679011 |
78 | 105.4 | 106.674382716049 | 105.945833333333 | 0.728549382716051 | -1.27438271604937 |
79 | 108.6 | 108.076697530864 | 106.170833333333 | 1.90586419753087 | 0.5233024691358 |
80 | 110.6 | 108.457253086420 | 106.595833333333 | 1.86141975308642 | 2.14274691358025 |
81 | 110.2 | 107.224845679012 | 107.141666666667 | 0.0831790123456801 | 2.97515432098766 |
82 | 106.2 | 107.306790123457 | 107.716666666667 | -0.409876543209883 | -1.10679012345676 |
83 | 108.6 | 108.512345679012 | 108.070833333333 | 0.441512345679011 | 0.087654320987653 |
84 | 107.5 | 107.420216049383 | 108.129166666667 | -0.708950617283948 | 0.0797839506172977 |
85 | 106.9 | 106.771604938272 | 108.016666666667 | -1.24506172839507 | 0.128395061728412 |
86 | 108.4 | 105.96512345679 | 107.625 | -1.65987654320988 | 2.43487654320990 |
87 | 109.9 | 106.323919753086 | 107.145833333333 | -0.821913580246914 | 3.57608024691361 |
88 | 108.6 | 105.814197530864 | 106.7875 | -0.9733024691358 | 2.78580246913582 |
89 | 106.5 | 107.427623456790 | 106.629166666667 | 0.798456790123467 | -0.92762345679013 |
90 | 105.7 | 107.207716049383 | 106.479166666667 | 0.728549382716051 | -1.50771604938271 |
91 | 105.6 | 108.185030864198 | 106.279166666667 | 1.90586419753087 | -2.58503086419752 |
92 | 104.2 | 107.919753086420 | 106.058333333333 | 1.86141975308642 | -3.71975308641973 |
93 | 105.1 | 105.837345679012 | 105.754166666667 | 0.0831790123456801 | -0.73734567901235 |
94 | 102.7 | 105.298456790123 | 105.708333333333 | -0.409876543209883 | -2.59845679012344 |
95 | 108.3 | 106.466512345679 | 106.025 | 0.441512345679011 | 1.83348765432099 |
96 | 104.2 | 105.870216049383 | 106.579166666667 | -0.708950617283948 | -1.67021604938272 |
97 | 105.4 | 106.100771604938 | 107.345833333333 | -1.24506172839507 | -0.700771604938254 |
98 | 104.6 | 106.660956790123 | 108.320833333333 | -1.65987654320988 | -2.06095679012346 |
99 | 106.4 | 108.398919753086 | 109.220833333333 | -0.821913580246914 | -1.99891975308641 |
100 | 111 | 109.055864197531 | 110.029166666667 | -0.9733024691358 | 1.94413580246913 |
101 | 111.7 | 111.544290123457 | 110.745833333333 | 0.798456790123467 | 0.155709876543213 |
102 | 113.8 | 112.111882716049 | 111.383333333333 | 0.728549382716051 | 1.68811728395062 |
103 | 115.9 | 113.972530864198 | 112.066666666667 | 1.90586419753087 | 1.92746913580250 |
104 | 117.3 | 114.444753086420 | 112.583333333333 | 1.86141975308642 | 2.85524691358026 |
105 | 113.6 | 113.070679012346 | 112.9875 | 0.0831790123456801 | 0.529320987654316 |
106 | 113.6 | 112.719290123457 | 113.129166666667 | -0.409876543209883 | 0.880709876543207 |
107 | 114.6 | 113.570679012346 | 113.129166666667 | 0.441512345679011 | 1.02932098765433 |
108 | 113.2 | 112.357716049383 | 113.066666666667 | -0.708950617283948 | 0.8422839506173 |
109 | 112.8 | 111.596604938272 | 112.841666666667 | -1.24506172839507 | 1.20339506172841 |
110 | 109.6 | 110.844290123457 | 112.504166666667 | -1.65987654320988 | -1.24429012345679 |
111 | 111.1 | 111.186419753086 | 112.008333333333 | -0.821913580246914 | -0.0864197530864175 |
112 | 109.7 | 110.468364197531 | 111.441666666667 | -0.9733024691358 | -0.768364197530857 |
113 | 113 | 111.748456790123 | 110.95 | 0.798456790123467 | 1.25154320987654 |
114 | 111 | 111.278549382716 | 110.55 | 0.728549382716051 | -0.278549382716065 |
115 | 113.3 | 112.055864197531 | 110.15 | 1.90586419753087 | 1.24413580246915 |
116 | 111.8 | NA | NA | 1.86141975308642 | NA |
117 | 107.2 | NA | NA | 0.0831790123456801 | NA |
118 | 106.4 | NA | NA | -0.409876543209883 | NA |
119 | 110 | NA | NA | 0.441512345679011 | NA |
120 | 108.2 | NA | NA | -0.708950617283948 | NA |
121 | 108.2 | NA | NA | NA | NA |