Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 43.8 | NA | NA | 0.071863425925925 | NA |
2 | 43.4 | NA | NA | 0.196724537037038 | NA |
3 | 43.3 | NA | NA | 0.162835648148149 | NA |
4 | 42.8 | NA | NA | 0.156863425925926 | NA |
5 | 41.6 | NA | NA | 0.266724537037039 | NA |
6 | 41.5 | NA | NA | -0.256192129629629 | NA |
7 | 40.7 | 41.1049189814815 | 41.175 | -0.07008101851852 | -0.40491898148148 |
8 | 40.6 | 40.691724537037 | 40.825 | -0.133275462962963 | -0.091724537037031 |
9 | 39.9 | 40.2456134259259 | 40.4916666666667 | -0.246053240740741 | -0.345613425925926 |
10 | 39.7 | 40.0470023148148 | 40.1704166666667 | -0.123414351851853 | -0.347002314814809 |
11 | 39.6 | 39.8301967592593 | 39.9033333333333 | -0.073136574074074 | -0.230196759259258 |
12 | 39.4 | 39.725474537037 | 39.6783333333333 | 0.0471412037037034 | -0.325474537037039 |
13 | 39.4 | 39.5585300925926 | 39.4866666666667 | 0.071863425925925 | -0.158530092592592 |
14 | 39.4 | 39.5250578703704 | 39.3283333333333 | 0.196724537037038 | -0.12505787037037 |
15 | 39.3 | 39.3578356481481 | 39.195 | 0.162835648148149 | -0.057835648148135 |
16 | 39.09 | 39.2435300925926 | 39.0866666666667 | 0.156863425925926 | -0.153530092592582 |
17 | 38.9 | 39.249224537037 | 38.9825 | 0.266724537037039 | -0.349224537037038 |
18 | 38.8 | 38.6346412037037 | 38.8908333333333 | -0.256192129629629 | 0.165358796296296 |
19 | 38.8 | 38.7124189814815 | 38.7825 | -0.07008101851852 | 0.0875810185185202 |
20 | 38.7 | 38.511724537037 | 38.645 | -0.133275462962963 | 0.188275462962963 |
21 | 38.6 | 38.2614467592593 | 38.5075 | -0.246053240740741 | 0.338553240740737 |
22 | 38.4 | 38.2511689814815 | 38.3745833333333 | -0.123414351851853 | 0.148831018518521 |
23 | 38.4 | 38.1768634259259 | 38.25 | -0.073136574074074 | 0.223136574074076 |
24 | 38.4 | 38.184224537037 | 38.1370833333333 | 0.0471412037037034 | 0.215775462962966 |
25 | 37.8 | 38.0918634259259 | 38.02 | 0.071863425925925 | -0.291863425925925 |
26 | 37.7 | 38.091724537037 | 37.895 | 0.196724537037038 | -0.391724537037028 |
27 | 37.7 | 37.9328356481481 | 37.77 | 0.162835648148149 | -0.232835648148146 |
28 | 37.5 | 37.8101967592593 | 37.6533333333333 | 0.156863425925926 | -0.310196759259263 |
29 | 37.5 | 37.8000578703704 | 37.5333333333333 | 0.266724537037039 | -0.300057870370381 |
30 | 37.49 | 37.1421412037037 | 37.3983333333333 | -0.256192129629629 | 0.3478587962963 |
31 | 37.3 | 37.2132523148148 | 37.2833333333333 | -0.07008101851852 | 0.0867476851851805 |
32 | 37.2 | 37.0583912037037 | 37.1916666666667 | -0.133275462962963 | 0.141608796296296 |
33 | 37.1 | 36.8539467592593 | 37.1 | -0.246053240740741 | 0.246053240740743 |
34 | 37.1 | 36.8807523148148 | 37.0041666666667 | -0.123414351851853 | 0.219247685185181 |
35 | 36.82 | 36.8268634259259 | 36.9 | -0.073136574074074 | -0.00686342592592837 |
36 | 36.74 | 36.826724537037 | 36.7795833333333 | 0.0471412037037034 | -0.0867245370370426 |
37 | 36.7 | 36.7268634259259 | 36.655 | 0.071863425925925 | -0.0268634259259315 |
38 | 36.6 | 36.7183912037037 | 36.5216666666667 | 0.196724537037038 | -0.118391203703702 |
39 | 36.6 | 36.5095023148148 | 36.3466666666667 | 0.162835648148149 | 0.0904976851851842 |
40 | 36.3 | 36.3035300925926 | 36.1466666666667 | 0.156863425925926 | -0.00353009259259807 |
41 | 36.2 | 36.2121412037037 | 35.9454166666667 | 0.266724537037039 | -0.012141203703699 |
42 | 35.9 | 35.4863078703704 | 35.7425 | -0.256192129629629 | 0.413692129629631 |
43 | 35.9 | 35.4707523148148 | 35.5408333333333 | -0.07008101851852 | 0.429247685185189 |
44 | 35.4 | 35.2075578703704 | 35.3408333333333 | -0.133275462962963 | 0.192442129629633 |
45 | 34.7 | 34.8614467592593 | 35.1075 | -0.246053240740741 | -0.161446759259249 |
46 | 34.7 | 34.7203356481481 | 34.84375 | -0.123414351851853 | -0.0203356481481407 |
47 | 34.39 | 34.5068634259259 | 34.58 | -0.073136574074074 | -0.116863425925914 |
48 | 34.3 | 34.3646412037037 | 34.3175 | 0.0471412037037034 | -0.064641203703701 |
49 | 34.3 | 34.1268634259259 | 34.055 | 0.071863425925925 | 0.173136574074071 |
50 | 34.2 | 33.976724537037 | 33.78 | 0.196724537037038 | 0.223275462962967 |
51 | 33.4 | 33.6803356481482 | 33.5175 | 0.162835648148149 | -0.280335648148153 |
52 | 33.17 | 33.4326967592593 | 33.2758333333333 | 0.156863425925926 | -0.262696759259264 |
53 | 33 | 33.3096412037037 | 33.0429166666667 | 0.266724537037039 | -0.309641203703706 |
54 | 32.8 | 32.5621412037037 | 32.8183333333333 | -0.256192129629629 | 0.237858796296294 |
55 | 32.7 | 32.4974189814815 | 32.5675 | -0.07008101851852 | 0.202581018518522 |
56 | 32 | 32.1500578703704 | 32.2833333333333 | -0.133275462962963 | -0.150057870370375 |
57 | 31.8 | 31.7664467592593 | 32.0125 | -0.246053240740741 | 0.0335532407407371 |
58 | 31.8 | 31.6445023148148 | 31.7679166666667 | -0.123414351851853 | 0.155497685185185 |
59 | 31.7 | 31.4560300925926 | 31.5291666666667 | -0.073136574074074 | 0.243969907407404 |
60 | 31.6 | 31.3238078703704 | 31.2766666666667 | 0.0471412037037034 | 0.276192129629631 |
61 | 30.98 | 31.0818634259259 | 31.01 | 0.071863425925925 | -0.101863425925924 |
62 | 30.7 | 30.9650578703704 | 30.7683333333333 | 0.196724537037038 | -0.265057870370367 |
63 | 30.4 | 30.7186689814815 | 30.5558333333333 | 0.162835648148149 | -0.31866898148148 |
64 | 30.3 | 30.5001967592593 | 30.3433333333333 | 0.156863425925926 | -0.200196759259256 |
65 | 30.14 | 30.3933912037037 | 30.1266666666667 | 0.266724537037039 | -0.253391203703703 |
66 | 29.6 | 29.6538078703704 | 29.91 | -0.256192129629629 | -0.0538078703703633 |
67 | 29.5 | 29.6490856481481 | 29.7191666666667 | -0.07008101851852 | -0.149085648148144 |
68 | 29.4 | 29.4283912037037 | 29.5616666666667 | -0.133275462962963 | -0.028391203703702 |
69 | 29.3 | 29.1589467592593 | 29.405 | -0.246053240740741 | 0.141053240740742 |
70 | 29.2 | 29.1040856481481 | 29.2275 | -0.123414351851853 | 0.095914351851853 |
71 | 29.1 | 28.9610300925926 | 29.0341666666667 | -0.073136574074074 | 0.138969907407411 |
72 | 29 | 28.762974537037 | 28.7158333333333 | 0.0471412037037034 | 0.237025462962968 |
73 | 29 | 28.3418634259259 | 28.27 | 0.071863425925925 | 0.658136574074074 |
74 | 28.9 | 27.9708912037037 | 27.7741666666667 | 0.196724537037038 | 0.92910879629629 |
75 | 28.44 | 27.3886689814815 | 27.2258333333333 | 0.162835648148149 | 1.05133101851852 |
76 | 28 | 26.8176967592593 | 26.6608333333333 | 0.156863425925926 | 1.18230324074074 |
77 | 27.8 | 26.3233912037037 | 26.0566666666667 | 0.266724537037039 | 1.4766087962963 |
78 | 24.3 | 25.1588078703704 | 25.415 | -0.256192129629629 | -0.85880787037037 |
79 | 24.1 | NA | NA | -0.07008101851852 | NA |
80 | 22.9 | NA | NA | -0.133275462962963 | NA |
81 | 22.64 | NA | NA | -0.246053240740741 | NA |
82 | 22.3 | NA | NA | -0.123414351851853 | NA |
83 | 21.5 | NA | NA | -0.073136574074074 | NA |
84 | 21.2 | NA | NA | 0.0471412037037034 | NA |