Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[48])
3686.5-------
370.54-------
3814-------
394.8-------
4028-------
4116-------
425.8-------
4316-------
449.1-------
456-------
4617-------
4726-------
4899.6-------
494113.6968-10.962838.35640.01500.85220
507214-16.196344.19631e-040.03980.50
51234.8-25.396334.99630.118700.50
524228-2.196358.19630.18170.62720.50
534016-14.196346.19630.05960.04570.50
54185.8-24.396335.99630.21420.01320.50
554516-14.196346.19630.02990.44840.50
56189.1-21.096339.29630.28170.00990.50
5726-24.196336.19630.39760.2180.50
581017-13.196347.19630.32480.83490.50
5913.626-4.196356.19630.21040.85050.50
6016099.669.4037129.7963010.50.5


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
490.91861.99340745.465700
501.10044.14293.068133642054.732845.3292
513.20963.79173.3093331.241480.235238.4738
520.55020.52.6071961159.176434.0467
530.96291.52.38565761042.541132.2884
542.65632.10342.3386148.84893.590929.893
550.96291.81252.2634841886.07829.7671
561.6930.9782.102779.21785.219528.0218
572.5677-0.66671.943216699.750626.4528
580.9063-0.41181.7949634.675625.1928
590.5925-0.47691.6707153.76590.95624.3096
600.15470.60641.5823648.16845.72329.0813