| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 132.1 | NA | NA | 32.9709104938272 | NA |
| 2 | 125 | NA | NA | 21.6454475308642 | NA |
| 3 | 127.1 | NA | NA | 21.5135030864198 | NA |
| 4 | 101.5 | NA | NA | -2.8059413580247 | NA |
| 5 | 85.7 | NA | NA | -14.5652006172839 | NA |
| 6 | 79.3 | NA | NA | -25.3786265432099 | NA |
| 7 | 70.9 | 69.010725308642 | 101.954166666667 | -32.9434413580247 | 1.88927469135803 |
| 8 | 77.1 | 75.8042438271605 | 102.845833333333 | -27.0415895061728 | 1.2957561728395 |
| 9 | 83.9 | 84.5510030864197 | 103.6125 | -19.0614969135802 | -0.651003086419749 |
| 10 | 96.2 | 105.498225308642 | 104.125 | 1.37322530864197 | -9.29822530864197 |
| 11 | 111.7 | 120.244984567901 | 104.3125 | 15.9324845679012 | -8.54498456790121 |
| 12 | 127.2 | 132.506558641975 | 104.145833333333 | 28.360725308642 | -5.3065586419753 |
| 13 | 143.6 | 136.783410493827 | 103.8125 | 32.9709104938272 | 6.81658950617283 |
| 14 | 134.9 | 125.166280864198 | 103.520833333333 | 21.6454475308642 | 9.73371913580246 |
| 15 | 135.6 | 124.655169753086 | 103.141666666667 | 21.5135030864198 | 10.9448302469136 |
| 16 | 105.3 | 100.194058641975 | 103 | -2.8059413580247 | 5.10594135802469 |
| 17 | 86.4 | 88.8056327160494 | 103.370833333333 | -14.5652006172839 | -2.40563271604938 |
| 18 | 74.6 | 78.6838734567901 | 104.0625 | -25.3786265432099 | -4.08387345679012 |
| 19 | 67.6 | 71.285725308642 | 104.229166666667 | -32.9434413580247 | -3.68572530864196 |
| 20 | 73.4 | 76.1459104938271 | 103.1875 | -27.0415895061728 | -2.74591049382714 |
| 21 | 78.5 | 82.6426697530864 | 101.704166666667 | -19.0614969135802 | -4.14266975308641 |
| 22 | 98.2 | 102.114891975309 | 100.741666666667 | 1.37322530864197 | -3.91489197530865 |
| 23 | 118.6 | 116.303317901235 | 100.370833333333 | 15.9324845679012 | 2.29668209876544 |
| 24 | 136.9 | 128.598225308642 | 100.2375 | 28.360725308642 | 8.30177469135803 |
| 25 | 137.9 | 132.875077160494 | 99.9041666666667 | 32.9709104938272 | 5.02492283950617 |
| 26 | 115.6 | 121.099614197531 | 99.4541666666667 | 21.6454475308642 | -5.49961419753087 |
| 27 | 119.3 | 120.780169753086 | 99.2666666666667 | 21.5135030864198 | -1.48016975308643 |
| 28 | 98.5 | 97.0898919753086 | 99.8958333333333 | -2.8059413580247 | 1.41010802469135 |
| 29 | 84.3 | 86.3056327160494 | 100.870833333333 | -14.5652006172839 | -2.00563271604939 |
| 30 | 73.5 | 75.7380401234568 | 101.116666666667 | -25.3786265432099 | -2.23804012345678 |
| 31 | 60.7 | 67.7898919753086 | 100.733333333333 | -32.9434413580247 | -7.08989197530863 |
| 32 | 69.5 | 73.2792438271605 | 100.320833333333 | -27.0415895061728 | -3.77924382716049 |
| 33 | 77.9 | 80.7676697530864 | 99.8291666666667 | -19.0614969135802 | -2.86766975308642 |
| 34 | 113.9 | 100.494058641975 | 99.1208333333334 | 1.37322530864197 | 13.4059413580247 |
| 35 | 126.3 | 114.778317901235 | 98.8458333333333 | 15.9324845679012 | 11.5216820987654 |
| 36 | 135.1 | 127.210725308642 | 98.85 | 28.360725308642 | 7.88927469135801 |
| 37 | 130.5 | 131.945910493827 | 98.975 | 32.9709104938272 | -1.44591049382717 |
| 38 | 113.1 | 120.691280864198 | 99.0458333333333 | 21.6454475308642 | -7.59128086419754 |
| 39 | 110 | 120.46350308642 | 98.95 | 21.5135030864198 | -10.4635030864198 |
| 40 | 90.8 | 95.7815586419753 | 98.5875 | -2.8059413580247 | -4.98155864197531 |
| 41 | 85.4 | 82.8639660493827 | 97.4291666666667 | -14.5652006172839 | 2.53603395061729 |
| 42 | 72.5 | 70.6547067901235 | 96.0333333333333 | -25.3786265432099 | 1.84529320987654 |
| 43 | 64.7 | 62.1065586419753 | 95.05 | -32.9434413580247 | 2.59344135802469 |
| 44 | 67.2 | 67.4084104938272 | 94.45 | -27.0415895061728 | -0.208410493827159 |
| 45 | 77.9 | 74.9885030864197 | 94.05 | -19.0614969135802 | 2.91149691358025 |
| 46 | 105.2 | 94.8440586419753 | 93.4708333333333 | 1.37322530864197 | 10.3559413580247 |
| 47 | 107.2 | 108.436651234568 | 92.5041666666667 | 15.9324845679012 | -1.23665123456789 |
| 48 | 120.7 | 119.973225308642 | 91.6125 | 28.360725308642 | 0.726774691358031 |
| 49 | 121.3 | 123.95424382716 | 90.9833333333333 | 32.9709104938272 | -2.6542438271605 |
| 50 | 107.9 | 112.099614197531 | 90.4541666666667 | 21.6454475308642 | -4.19961419753086 |
| 51 | 105.6 | 111.421836419753 | 89.9083333333333 | 21.5135030864198 | -5.82183641975308 |
| 52 | 81.3 | 86.0940586419753 | 88.9 | -2.8059413580247 | -4.79405864197531 |
| 53 | 71.7 | 73.634799382716 | 88.2 | -14.5652006172839 | -1.93479938271604 |
| 54 | 64.8 | 62.3880401234568 | 87.7666666666667 | -25.3786265432099 | 2.41195987654321 |
| 55 | 57.3 | 54.1065586419753 | 87.05 | -32.9434413580247 | 3.19344135802469 |
| 56 | 61.9 | 59.7125771604938 | 86.7541666666667 | -27.0415895061728 | 2.18742283950618 |
| 57 | 70.1 | 67.9426697530864 | 87.0041666666667 | -19.0614969135802 | 2.15733024691356 |
| 58 | 88.8 | 88.8523919753086 | 87.4791666666667 | 1.37322530864197 | -0.0523919753086517 |
| 59 | 106.8 | 103.919984567901 | 87.9875 | 15.9324845679012 | 2.88001543209877 |
| 60 | 110.7 | 116.760725308642 | 88.4 | 28.360725308642 | -6.06072530864199 |
| 61 | 114.1 | 121.504243827161 | 88.5333333333333 | 32.9709104938272 | -7.40424382716051 |
| 62 | 108 | 110.320447530864 | 88.675 | 21.6454475308642 | -2.3204475308642 |
| 63 | 111.5 | 110.46350308642 | 88.95 | 21.5135030864198 | 1.03649691358025 |
| 64 | 86.8 | 86.2690586419753 | 89.075 | -2.8059413580247 | 0.530941358024691 |
| 65 | 78.4 | 74.272299382716 | 88.8375 | -14.5652006172839 | 4.12770061728396 |
| 66 | 68 | 63.7380401234568 | 89.1166666666667 | -25.3786265432099 | 4.26195987654322 |
| 67 | 57.3 | 57.2023919753086 | 90.1458333333333 | -32.9434413580247 | 0.097608024691354 |
| 68 | 65.3 | 63.8792438271605 | 90.9208333333333 | -27.0415895061728 | 1.4207561728395 |
| 69 | 73.3 | 72.6635030864198 | 91.725 | -19.0614969135802 | 0.636496913580245 |
| 70 | 88.6 | 93.9190586419753 | 92.5458333333333 | 1.37322530864197 | -5.3190586419753 |
| 71 | 101.3 | 108.699151234568 | 92.7666666666667 | 15.9324845679012 | -7.3991512345679 |
| 72 | 122.9 | 121.014891975309 | 92.6541666666667 | 28.360725308642 | 1.88510802469136 |
| 73 | 126.6 | 125.587577160494 | 92.6166666666666 | 32.9709104938272 | 1.01242283950619 |
| 74 | 114.1 | 114.220447530864 | 92.575 | 21.6454475308642 | -0.120447530864183 |
| 75 | 124.7 | 113.709336419753 | 92.1958333333333 | 21.5135030864198 | 10.9906635802469 |
| 76 | 93.3 | 88.9273919753086 | 91.7333333333333 | -2.8059413580247 | 4.37260802469137 |
| 77 | 77.2 | 77.0056327160494 | 91.5708333333333 | -14.5652006172839 | 0.194367283950626 |
| 78 | 66.5 | 65.4463734567901 | 90.825 | -25.3786265432099 | 1.0536265432099 |
| 79 | 57.9 | 56.9148919753087 | 89.8583333333333 | -32.9434413580247 | 0.985108024691328 |
| 80 | 63.7 | 62.7417438271605 | 89.7833333333333 | -27.0415895061728 | 0.958256172839512 |
| 81 | 65.8 | 70.1010030864198 | 89.1625 | -19.0614969135802 | -4.30100308641977 |
| 82 | 85 | 89.4773919753086 | 88.1041666666667 | 1.37322530864197 | -4.47739197530865 |
| 83 | 101 | 103.869984567901 | 87.9375 | 15.9324845679012 | -2.86998456790124 |
| 84 | 105.3 | 116.356558641975 | 87.9958333333333 | 28.360725308642 | -11.0565586419753 |
| 85 | 121 | 121.050077160494 | 88.0791666666667 | 32.9709104938272 | -0.0500771604938137 |
| 86 | 117.9 | 110.024614197531 | 88.3791666666666 | 21.6454475308642 | 7.87538580246915 |
| 87 | 106 | 110.60100308642 | 89.0875 | 21.5135030864198 | -4.60100308641974 |
| 88 | 86.6 | 87.2648919753087 | 90.0708333333334 | -2.8059413580247 | -0.664891975308663 |
| 89 | 79.9 | 76.447299382716 | 91.0125 | -14.5652006172839 | 3.45270061728398 |
| 90 | 65.2 | 66.9338734567901 | 92.3125 | -25.3786265432099 | -1.73387345679012 |
| 91 | 61.2 | 60.2065586419753 | 93.15 | -32.9434413580247 | 0.993441358024683 |
| 92 | 67.6 | 65.8334104938272 | 92.875 | -27.0415895061728 | 1.76658950617283 |
| 93 | 78.9 | 73.8301697530864 | 92.8916666666667 | -19.0614969135802 | 5.06983024691358 |
| 94 | 95.5 | 94.8773919753086 | 93.5041666666666 | 1.37322530864197 | 0.622608024691374 |
| 95 | 113.1 | 109.532484567901 | 93.6 | 15.9324845679012 | 3.56751543209874 |
| 96 | 124.4 | 121.785725308642 | 93.425 | 28.360725308642 | 2.61427469135805 |
| 97 | 122 | 126.320910493827 | 93.35 | 32.9709104938272 | -4.32091049382714 |
| 98 | 110.3 | 114.753780864198 | 93.1083333333333 | 21.6454475308642 | -4.45378086419753 |
| 99 | 114 | 114.267669753086 | 92.7541666666666 | 21.5135030864198 | -0.267669753086395 |
| 100 | 93.3 | 89.5940586419753 | 92.4 | -2.8059413580247 | 3.70594135802469 |
| 101 | 75.5 | 77.422299382716 | 91.9875 | -14.5652006172839 | -1.92229938271606 |
| 102 | 65.4 | 66.2005401234568 | 91.5791666666667 | -25.3786265432099 | -0.800540123456784 |
| 103 | 59.2 | 58.7065586419753 | 91.65 | -32.9434413580247 | 0.493441358024697 |
| 104 | 63.8 | 65.2250771604938 | 92.2666666666667 | -27.0415895061728 | -1.42507716049384 |
| 105 | 74.2 | 73.5426697530864 | 92.6041666666667 | -19.0614969135802 | 0.657330246913588 |
| 106 | 91.7 | 93.5523919753087 | 92.1791666666667 | 1.37322530864197 | -1.85239197530865 |
| 107 | 107 | 107.744984567901 | 91.8125 | 15.9324845679012 | -0.744984567901241 |
| 108 | 120.7 | 120.223225308642 | 91.8625 | 28.360725308642 | 0.476774691358017 |
| 109 | 127.4 | 124.908410493827 | 91.9375 | 32.9709104938272 | 2.49158950617284 |
| 110 | 119.7 | 113.653780864198 | 92.0083333333333 | 21.6454475308642 | 6.04621913580246 |
| 111 | 112.7 | 113.567669753086 | 92.0541666666667 | 21.5135030864198 | -0.867669753086432 |
| 112 | 84.4 | 89.6148919753087 | 92.4208333333333 | -2.8059413580247 | -5.21489197530865 |
| 113 | 75.6 | 78.172299382716 | 92.7375 | -14.5652006172839 | -2.57229938271605 |
| 114 | 66.5 | 67.7463734567901 | 93.125 | -25.3786265432099 | -1.24637345679012 |
| 115 | 59.9 | NA | NA | -32.9434413580247 | NA |
| 116 | 64.8 | NA | NA | -27.0415895061728 | NA |
| 117 | 74.3 | NA | NA | -19.0614969135802 | NA |
| 118 | 100.4 | NA | NA | 1.37322530864197 | NA |
| 119 | 105.9 | NA | NA | 15.9324845679012 | NA |
| 120 | 131.1 | NA | NA | 28.360725308642 | NA |
