| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
| Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
| Seasonal | 1291 | 0 | 130 |
| Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
| Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
| 1 | 43880 | 45398.2253761791 | 565.162393948622 | 41796.6122298723 | 1518.22537617906 |
| 2 | 43110 | 42650.217150441 | 2406.41000253197 | 41163.3728470271 | -459.782849559037 |
| 3 | 44496 | 46132.3013518628 | 2329.56518395538 | 40530.1334641818 | 1636.3013518628 |
| 4 | 44164 | 44929.4304379143 | 3481.37680251592 | 39917.1927595698 | 765.430437914278 |
| 5 | 40399 | 38855.1958710383 | 2638.55207400388 | 39304.2520549578 | -1543.80412896167 |
| 6 | 36763 | 33397.9127653378 | 1434.82475455427 | 38693.2624801079 | -3365.08723466217 |
| 7 | 37903 | 36758.3583051494 | 965.36878959264 | 38082.272905258 | -1144.64169485064 |
| 8 | 35532 | 34612.6275534629 | -1010.04445140361 | 37461.4168979408 | -919.372446537149 |
| 9 | 35533 | 37506.9890136243 | -3281.54990424777 | 36840.5608906235 | 1973.98901362425 |
| 10 | 32110 | 32763.612065269 | -4915.51222722281 | 36371.9001619538 | 653.612065268971 |
| 11 | 33374 | 33882.4602454398 | -3037.69967872393 | 35903.2394332842 | 508.460245439768 |
| 12 | 35462 | 36774.3855331665 | -1576.45361920564 | 35726.0680860391 | 1312.38553316653 |
| 13 | 33508 | 30901.9408672573 | 565.162393948622 | 35548.8967387940 | -2606.05913274267 |
| 14 | 36080 | 34155.3109959581 | 2406.41000253197 | 35598.2790015099 | -1924.68900404190 |
| 15 | 34560 | 31142.7735518188 | 2329.56518395538 | 35647.6612642258 | -3417.22644818121 |
| 16 | 38737 | 37919.2169475540 | 3481.37680251592 | 36073.4062499300 | -817.783052445964 |
| 17 | 38144 | 37150.2966903619 | 2638.55207400388 | 36499.1512356343 | -993.703309638142 |
| 18 | 37594 | 36359.6993439904 | 1434.82475455427 | 37393.4759014553 | -1234.30065600961 |
| 19 | 36424 | 33594.8306431309 | 965.36878959264 | 38287.8005672764 | -2829.16935686907 |
| 20 | 36843 | 35328.9723570352 | -1010.04445140361 | 39367.0720943684 | -1514.02764296484 |
| 21 | 37246 | 37327.2062827873 | -3281.54990424777 | 40446.3436214605 | 81.206282787316 |
| 22 | 38661 | 40806.1100118354 | -4915.51222722281 | 41431.4022153874 | 2145.11001183542 |
| 23 | 40454 | 41529.2388694096 | -3037.69967872393 | 42416.4608093143 | 1075.2388694096 |
| 24 | 44928 | 48221.1368150217 | -1576.45361920564 | 43211.3168041840 | 3293.13681502168 |
| 25 | 48441 | 52310.6648069978 | 565.162393948622 | 44006.1727990536 | 3869.66480699780 |
| 26 | 48140 | 49363.0336811536 | 2406.41000253197 | 44510.5563163144 | 1223.03368115362 |
| 27 | 45998 | 44651.4949824694 | 2329.56518395538 | 45014.9398335752 | -1346.50501753063 |
| 28 | 47369 | 46124.2442495221 | 3481.37680251592 | 45132.378947962 | -1244.75575047790 |
| 29 | 49554 | 51219.6298636474 | 2638.55207400388 | 45249.8180623487 | 1665.62986364741 |
| 30 | 47510 | 48461.9775891391 | 1434.82475455427 | 45123.1976563066 | 951.977589139147 |
| 31 | 44873 | 43784.0539601429 | 965.36878959264 | 44996.5772502645 | -1088.94603985710 |
| 32 | 45344 | 46951.666095669 | -1010.04445140361 | 44746.3783557346 | 1607.66609566900 |
| 33 | 42413 | 43611.370443043 | -3281.54990424777 | 44496.1794612047 | 1198.37044304302 |
| 34 | 36912 | 34576.0454038416 | -4915.51222722281 | 44163.4668233812 | -2335.95459615839 |
| 35 | 43452 | 46110.9454931663 | -3037.69967872393 | 43830.7541855577 | 2658.94549316628 |
| 36 | 42142 | 42431.0240343136 | -1576.45361920564 | 43429.429584892 | 289.024034313603 |
| 37 | 44382 | 45170.732621825 | 565.162393948622 | 43028.1049842264 | 788.732621824973 |
| 38 | 43636 | 42284.9071779789 | 2406.41000253197 | 42580.6828194892 | -1351.09282202114 |
| 39 | 44167 | 43871.1741612927 | 2329.56518395538 | 42133.2606547519 | -295.825838707315 |
| 40 | 44423 | 43740.6038801212 | 3481.37680251592 | 41624.0193173629 | -682.39611987878 |
| 41 | 42868 | 41982.6699460223 | 2638.55207400388 | 41114.7779799738 | -885.330053977683 |
| 42 | 43908 | 45731.9209198414 | 1434.82475455427 | 40649.2543256043 | 1823.92091984140 |
| 43 | 42013 | 42876.9005391725 | 965.36878959264 | 40183.7306712349 | 863.900539172493 |
| 44 | 38846 | 38774.2067627404 | -1010.04445140361 | 39927.8376886632 | -71.7932372595606 |
| 45 | 35087 | 33783.6051981563 | -3281.54990424777 | 39671.9447060915 | -1303.3948018437 |
| 46 | 33026 | 31424.222705689 | -4915.51222722281 | 39543.2895215338 | -1601.77729431103 |
| 47 | 34646 | 32915.0653417477 | -3037.69967872393 | 39414.6343369762 | -1730.93465825228 |
| 48 | 37135 | 36573.5594417916 | -1576.45361920564 | 39272.894177414 | -561.440558208393 |
| 49 | 37985 | 36273.6835881996 | 565.162393948622 | 39131.1540178518 | -1711.31641180045 |
| 50 | 43121 | 44925.8739406645 | 2406.41000253197 | 38909.7160568036 | 1804.87394066445 |
| 51 | 43722 | 46426.1567202893 | 2329.56518395538 | 38688.2780957553 | 2704.15672028928 |
| 52 | 43630 | 45468.9760226983 | 3481.37680251592 | 38309.6471747858 | 1838.97602269827 |
| 53 | 42234 | 43898.4316721798 | 2638.55207400388 | 37931.0162538163 | 1664.43167217982 |
| 54 | 39351 | 39932.2955640705 | 1434.82475455427 | 37334.8796813752 | 581.295564070548 |
| 55 | 39327 | 40949.8881014733 | 965.36878959264 | 36738.7431089341 | 1622.88810147329 |
| 56 | 35704 | 36427.9053284092 | -1010.04445140361 | 35990.1391229944 | 723.905328409171 |
| 57 | 30466 | 28972.0147671930 | -3281.54990424777 | 35241.5351370548 | -1493.98523280703 |
| 58 | 28155 | 26793.6557490498 | -4915.51222722281 | 34431.856478173 | -1361.34425095021 |
| 59 | 29257 | 27929.5218594327 | -3037.69967872393 | 33622.1778192912 | -1327.47814056731 |
| 60 | 29998 | 28741.4483617811 | -1576.45361920564 | 32831.0052574245 | -1256.55163821885 |
| 61 | 32529 | 32453.0049104936 | 565.162393948622 | 32039.8326955577 | -75.995089506363 |
| 62 | 34787 | 35891.4258313809 | 2406.41000253197 | 31276.1641660871 | 1104.42583138088 |
| 63 | 33855 | 34867.9391794281 | 2329.56518395538 | 30512.4956366166 | 1012.93917942806 |
| 64 | 34556 | 35777.3320689887 | 3481.37680251592 | 29853.2911284954 | 1221.33206898872 |
| 65 | 31348 | 30863.3613056219 | 2638.55207400388 | 29194.0866203742 | -484.638694378056 |
| 66 | 30805 | 31549.2675103639 | 1434.82475455427 | 28625.9077350818 | 744.26751036389 |
| 67 | 28353 | 27682.9023606179 | 965.36878959264 | 28057.7288497895 | -670.097639382133 |
| 68 | 24514 | 22429.0120633024 | -1010.04445140361 | 27609.0323881012 | -2084.9879366976 |
| 69 | 21106 | 18333.2139778349 | -3281.54990424777 | 27160.3359264129 | -2772.78602216515 |
| 70 | 21346 | 20754.8169119485 | -4915.51222722281 | 26852.6953152743 | -591.183088051468 |
| 71 | 23335 | 23162.6449745883 | -3037.69967872393 | 26545.0547041356 | -172.355025411704 |
| 72 | 24379 | 23937.6115385072 | -1576.45361920564 | 26396.8420806985 | -441.388461492843 |
| 73 | 26290 | 25766.2081487901 | 565.162393948622 | 26248.6294572613 | -523.791851209946 |
| 74 | 30084 | 31576.5992082358 | 2406.41000253197 | 26184.9907892322 | 1492.59920823583 |
| 75 | 29429 | 30407.0826948415 | 2329.56518395538 | 26121.3521212031 | 978.082694841534 |
| 76 | 30632 | 31827.2182251666 | 3481.37680251592 | 25955.4049723175 | 1195.21822516656 |
| 77 | 27349 | 26269.9901025642 | 2638.55207400388 | 25789.4578234320 | -1079.00989743585 |
| 78 | 27264 | 27671.8478745181 | 1434.82475455427 | 25421.3273709277 | 407.847874518073 |
| 79 | 27474 | 28929.434291984 | 965.36878959264 | 25053.1969184233 | 1455.43429198402 |
| 80 | 24482 | 25394.5623424477 | -1010.04445140361 | 24579.4821089559 | 912.562342447687 |
| 81 | 21453 | 22081.7826047593 | -3281.54990424777 | 24105.7672994885 | 628.782604759268 |
| 82 | 18788 | 18836.3503142824 | -4915.51222722281 | 23655.1619129405 | 48.3503142823538 |
| 83 | 19282 | 18397.1431523315 | -3037.69967872393 | 23204.5565263924 | -884.856847668481 |
| 84 | 19713 | 18105.2262028436 | -1576.45361920564 | 22897.2274163620 | -1607.77379715639 |
| 85 | 21917 | 20678.9392997197 | 565.162393948622 | 22589.8983063317 | -1238.06070028028 |
| 86 | 23812 | 22720.8660693984 | 2406.41000253197 | 22496.7239280696 | -1091.13393060161 |
| 87 | 23785 | 22836.885266237 | 2329.56518395538 | 22403.5495498076 | -948.11473376300 |
| 88 | 24696 | 23408.8895136677 | 3481.37680251592 | 22501.7336838164 | -1287.11048633228 |
| 89 | 24562 | 23885.530108171 | 2638.55207400388 | 22599.9178178251 | -676.469891828994 |
| 90 | 23580 | 22970.8702462377 | 1434.82475455427 | 22754.304999208 | -609.129753762252 |
| 91 | 24939 | 26003.9390298165 | 965.36878959264 | 22908.6921805908 | 1064.93902981652 |
| 92 | 23899 | 25776.5166593114 | -1010.04445140361 | 23031.5277920922 | 1877.51665931136 |
| 93 | 21454 | 23035.1865006541 | -3281.54990424777 | 23154.3634035937 | 1581.18650065411 |
| 94 | 19761 | 21178.231317399 | -4915.51222722281 | 23259.2809098238 | 1417.23131739902 |
| 95 | 19815 | 19303.50126267 | -3037.69967872393 | 23364.1984160539 | -511.498737329992 |
| 96 | 20780 | 19664.1499276312 | -1576.45361920564 | 23472.3036915744 | -1115.85007236876 |
| 97 | 23462 | 22778.4286389565 | 565.162393948622 | 23580.4089670949 | -683.571361043501 |
| 98 | 25005 | 23874.9859239606 | 2406.41000253197 | 23728.6040735074 | -1130.01407603937 |
| 99 | 24725 | 23243.6356361247 | 2329.56518395538 | 23876.7991799199 | -1481.36436387531 |
| 100 | 26198 | 24774.5571705647 | 3481.37680251592 | 24140.0660269194 | -1423.44282943533 |
| 101 | 27543 | 28044.1150520772 | 2638.55207400388 | 24403.3328739189 | 501.115052077213 |
| 102 | 26471 | 26722.1802702177 | 1434.82475455427 | 24784.994975228 | 251.180270217705 |
| 103 | 26558 | 26983.9741338702 | 965.36878959264 | 25166.6570765371 | 425.974133870222 |
| 104 | 25317 | 26017.8394556152 | -1010.04445140361 | 25626.2049957884 | 700.839455615194 |
| 105 | 22896 | 22987.7969892081 | -3281.54990424777 | 26085.7529150397 | 91.7969892080837 |
| 106 | 22248 | 22816.3828792208 | -4915.51222722281 | 26595.129348002 | 568.382879220833 |
| 107 | 23406 | 22745.1938977597 | -3037.69967872393 | 27104.5057809643 | -660.806102240334 |
| 108 | 25073 | 24094.8507432366 | -1576.45361920564 | 27627.602875969 | -978.149256763358 |
| 109 | 27691 | 26666.1376350777 | 565.162393948622 | 28150.6999709737 | -1024.86236492234 |
| 110 | 30599 | 30086.6328031676 | 2406.41000253197 | 28704.9571943004 | -512.367196832369 |
| 111 | 31948 | 32307.2203984175 | 2329.56518395538 | 29259.2144176271 | 359.220398417547 |
| 112 | 32946 | 32544.8241345996 | 3481.37680251592 | 29865.7990628845 | -401.175865400437 |
| 113 | 34012 | 34913.0642178541 | 2638.55207400388 | 30472.383708142 | 901.06421785415 |
| 114 | 32936 | 33367.7000631151 | 1434.82475455427 | 31069.4751823306 | 431.700063115088 |
| 115 | 32974 | 33316.0645538881 | 965.36878959264 | 31666.5666565193 | 342.064553888056 |
| 116 | 30951 | 30793.8542473738 | -1010.04445140361 | 32118.1902040298 | -157.145752626195 |
| 117 | 29812 | 30335.7361527075 | -3281.54990424777 | 32569.8137515403 | 523.736152707468 |
| 118 | 29010 | 30112.9042836908 | -4915.51222722281 | 32822.607943532 | 1102.90428369080 |
| 119 | 31068 | 32098.2975432002 | -3037.69967872393 | 33075.4021355237 | 1030.29754320020 |
| 120 | 32447 | 33397.6089587999 | -1576.45361920564 | 33072.8446604058 | 950.608958799858 |
| 121 | 34844 | 36052.5504207636 | 565.162393948622 | 33070.2871852878 | 1208.55042076356 |
| 122 | 35676 | 36023.9376888411 | 2406.41000253197 | 32921.6523086269 | 347.937688841092 |
| 123 | 35387 | 35671.4173840786 | 2329.56518395538 | 32773.0174319661 | 284.417384078559 |
| 124 | 36488 | 36888.8775672022 | 3481.37680251592 | 32605.7456302819 | 400.877567202209 |
| 125 | 35652 | 36226.9740973984 | 2638.55207400388 | 32438.4738285977 | 574.97409739843 |
| 126 | 33488 | 33294.1980306474 | 1434.82475455427 | 32246.9772147984 | -193.801969352626 |
| 127 | 32914 | 32807.1506094083 | 965.36878959264 | 32055.480600999 | -106.849390591655 |
| 128 | 29781 | 28733.6026953683 | -1010.04445140361 | 31838.4417560353 | -1047.39730463173 |
| 129 | 27951 | 27562.1469931761 | -3281.54990424777 | 31621.4029110717 | -388.853006823898 |
