Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	1428	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	1500	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	1950	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	1591	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	1613	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	1077	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	880	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	1128	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	1320	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	1692	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	1575	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	1478	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	1500	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	1368	1540.177	1234.9987	1845.3553	0.1344	0.6018	0.6018	0.6018
50	1563	1749.0587	1417.2284	2080.889	0.1359	0.9878	0.1176	0.9294
51	1424	1664.5294	1332.4344	1996.6243	0.0779	0.7255	0.6678	0.8342
52	1274	1516.4561	1174.3239	1858.5884	0.0824	0.7018	0.2901	0.5376
53	1047	1039.2795	696.8741	1381.6849	0.4824	0.0895	0.4145	0.0042
54	1049	956.2221	613.809	1298.6352	0.2977	0.3017	0.6687	9e-04
55	1069	1112.2897	769.2372	1455.3421	0.4023	0.6412	0.4642	0.0134
56	981	1594.9319	1251.8774	1937.9863	2e-04	0.9987	0.9419	0.7062
57	1540	1804.5246	1461.4696	2147.5797	0.0654	1	0.7399	0.9591
58	1559	1908.7666	1565.6771	2251.856	0.0229	0.9824	0.9717	0.9902
59	1459	1789.4093	1446.3175	2132.5011	0.0295	0.906	0.9624	0.9509
60	1559	1451.5868	1108.4944	1794.6791	0.2697	0.4831	0.3911	0.3911

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.1011	-0.1118	0	29644.9204	0	0
50	0.0968	-0.1064	0.1091	34617.8375	32131.3789	179.2523
51	0.1018	-0.1445	0.1209	57854.3762	40705.7114	201.7566
52	0.1151	-0.1599	0.1306	58784.9791	45225.5283	212.6629
53	0.1681	0.0074	0.106	59.6058	36192.3438	190.2429
54	0.1827	0.097	0.1045	8607.7325	31594.9086	177.7496
55	0.1574	-0.0389	0.0951	1873.9939	27349.0636	165.3755
56	0.1097	-0.3849	0.1314	376912.3226	71044.471	266.5417
57	0.097	-0.1466	0.133	69973.2757	70925.4493	266.3183
58	0.0917	-0.1832	0.1381	122336.6465	76066.569	275.8017
59	0.0978	-0.1846	0.1423	109170.2973	79075.9988	281.2045
60	0.1206	0.074	0.1366	11537.6054	73447.7994	271.0125