Goodness of Fit | |
Correlation | 0.994 |
R-squared | 0.988 |
RMSE | 1810.3897 |
Actuals, Predictions, and Residuals | |||
# | Actuals | Forecasts | Residuals |
1 | 33024 | 33156.4285714286 | -132.428571428572 |
2 | 32526 | 33156.4285714286 | -630.428571428572 |
3 | 31455 | 33156.4285714286 | -1701.42857142857 |
4 | 31524 | 33156.4285714286 | -1632.42857142857 |
5 | 31856 | 33156.4285714286 | -1300.42857142857 |
6 | 32696 | 33156.4285714286 | -460.428571428572 |
7 | 32584 | 33156.4285714286 | -572.428571428572 |
8 | 33498 | 33156.4285714286 | 341.571428571428 |
9 | 34175 | 33156.4285714286 | 1018.57142857143 |
10 | 34172 | 33156.4285714286 | 1015.57142857143 |
11 | 34379 | 33156.4285714286 | 1222.57142857143 |
12 | 34988 | 33156.4285714286 | 1831.57142857143 |
13 | 36158 | 36439.2352941177 | -281.23529411765 |
14 | 37411 | 36439.2352941177 | 971.76470588235 |
15 | 38015 | 36439.2352941177 | 1575.76470588235 |
16 | 37577 | 36439.2352941177 | 1137.76470588235 |
17 | 36354 | 36439.2352941177 | -85.2352941176505 |
18 | 36030 | 36439.2352941177 | -409.23529411765 |
19 | 35636 | 36439.2352941177 | -803.23529411765 |
20 | 35669 | 36439.2352941177 | -770.23529411765 |
21 | 34635 | 33156.4285714286 | 1478.57142857143 |
22 | 35496 | 36439.2352941177 | -943.23529411765 |
23 | 36376 | 36439.2352941177 | -63.2352941176505 |
24 | 37635 | 36439.2352941177 | 1195.76470588235 |
25 | 38875 | 40097.625 | -1222.625 |
26 | 38372 | 40097.625 | -1725.625 |
27 | 38897 | 40097.625 | -1200.625 |
28 | 38018 | 40097.625 | -2079.625 |
29 | 37325 | 36439.2352941177 | 885.76470588235 |
30 | 36893 | 36439.2352941177 | 453.76470588235 |
31 | 36117 | 36439.2352941177 | -322.23529411765 |
32 | 37599 | 36439.2352941177 | 1159.76470588235 |
33 | 39037 | 40097.625 | -1060.625 |
34 | 40809 | 40097.625 | 711.375 |
35 | 42508 | 40097.625 | 2410.375 |
36 | 44021 | 47061.1875 | -3040.1875 |
37 | 44088 | 47061.1875 | -2973.1875 |
38 | 44510 | 47061.1875 | -2551.1875 |
39 | 45786 | 47061.1875 | -1275.1875 |
40 | 47349 | 47061.1875 | 287.8125 |
41 | 48696 | 47061.1875 | 1634.8125 |
42 | 50598 | 47061.1875 | 3536.8125 |
43 | 50066 | 47061.1875 | 3004.8125 |
44 | 49367 | 47061.1875 | 2305.8125 |
45 | 48784 | 47061.1875 | 1722.8125 |
46 | 47841 | 47061.1875 | 779.8125 |
47 | 48300 | 47061.1875 | 1238.8125 |
48 | 47518 | 47061.1875 | 456.8125 |
49 | 46504 | 47061.1875 | -557.1875 |
50 | 45147 | 47061.1875 | -1914.1875 |
51 | 44404 | 47061.1875 | -2657.1875 |
52 | 43455 | 40097.625 | 3357.375 |
53 | 42299 | 40097.625 | 2201.375 |
54 | 42105 | 40097.625 | 2007.375 |
55 | 40152 | 40097.625 | 54.375 |
56 | 39519 | 40097.625 | -578.625 |
57 | 39633 | 40097.625 | -464.625 |
58 | 39376 | 40097.625 | -721.625 |
59 | 38850 | 40097.625 | -1247.625 |
60 | 39657 | 40097.625 | -440.625 |
61 | 34804 | 36439.2352941177 | -1635.23529411765 |
62 | 34372 | 36439.2352941177 | -2067.23529411765 |
63 | 32678 | 33156.4285714286 | -478.428571428572 |
64 | 28420 | 26704.5 | 1715.5 |
65 | 25420 | 26704.5 | -1284.5 |
66 | 27683 | 26704.5 | 978.5 |
67 | 29904 | 26704.5 | 3199.5 |
68 | 30546 | 26704.5 | 3841.5 |
69 | 29142 | 26704.5 | 2437.5 |
70 | 27724 | 26704.5 | 1019.5 |
71 | 27069 | 26704.5 | 364.5 |
72 | 26665 | 26704.5 | -39.5 |
73 | 26004 | 26704.5 | -700.5 |
74 | 25767 | 26704.5 | -937.5 |
75 | 24915 | 26704.5 | -1789.5 |
76 | 23689 | 26704.5 | -3015.5 |
77 | 20915 | 26704.5 | -5789.5 |
78 | 19414 | 13769.6666666667 | 5644.33333333333 |
79 | 17824 | 13769.6666666667 | 4054.33333333333 |
80 | 16348 | 13769.6666666667 | 2578.33333333333 |
81 | 15571 | 13769.6666666667 | 1801.33333333333 |
82 | 13929 | 13769.6666666667 | 159.333333333334 |
83 | 12480 | 13769.6666666667 | -1289.66666666667 |
84 | 10837 | 13769.6666666667 | -2932.66666666667 |
85 | 9473 | 13769.6666666667 | -4296.66666666667 |
86 | 8051 | 13769.6666666667 | -5718.66666666667 |
87 | 5278 | 2651 | 2627 |
88 | 3008 | 2651 | 357 |
89 | 2404 | 2651 | -247 |
90 | 2298 | 2651 | -353 |
91 | 2260 | 2651 | -391 |
92 | 1938 | 2651 | -713 |
93 | 1371 | 2651 | -1280 |
94 | 1009 | 163.944444444444 | 845.055555555556 |
95 | 686 | 163.944444444444 | 522.055555555556 |
96 | 493 | 163.944444444444 | 329.055555555556 |
97 | 285 | 163.944444444444 | 121.055555555556 |
98 | 192 | 163.944444444444 | 28.0555555555555 |
99 | 129 | 163.944444444444 | -34.9444444444445 |
100 | 60 | 163.944444444444 | -103.944444444444 |
101 | 54 | 163.944444444444 | -109.944444444444 |
102 | 26 | 163.944444444444 | -137.944444444444 |
103 | 11 | 163.944444444444 | -152.944444444444 |
104 | 3 | 163.944444444444 | -160.944444444444 |
105 | 0 | 163.944444444444 | -163.944444444444 |
106 | 2 | 163.944444444444 | -161.944444444444 |
107 | 1 | 163.944444444444 | -162.944444444444 |
108 | 0 | 163.944444444444 | -163.944444444444 |
109 | 0 | 163.944444444444 | -163.944444444444 |
110 | 0 | 163.944444444444 | -163.944444444444 |
111 | 0 | 163.944444444444 | -163.944444444444 |