Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.00547273897852051
beta0
gamma0.283796808383624


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
134447.3857323232323-3.38573232323233
143638.5338697606428-2.53386976064281
157274.061669219504-2.06166921950393
164547.6753862420055-2.67538624200552
175659.4940778847696-3.49407788476964
185457.8916223752023-3.89162237520234
195341.120324541739911.8796754582601
203528.35200557133916.64799442866086
216160.22172164291120.778278357088801
225272.5593142905455-20.5593142905455
234752.1134651965227-5.11346519652266
245162.4604805362263-11.4604805362263
255246.23382549309995.76617450690009
266337.672481737383525.3275182626165
277473.48603491065420.513965089345817
284546.9406299672454-1.94062996724536
295158.5322722115789-7.53227221157892
306456.79551230551877.20448769448126
313644.5362894494873-8.53628944948731
323030.1796304171774-0.179630417177368
335560.3552905180826-5.35529051808256
346466.6369154458488-2.63691544584883
353950.64864398173-11.6486439817300
364059.1684891381623-19.1684891381623
376347.761764388398715.2382356116013
384544.77332405628750.226675943712529
395973.4460387434385-14.4460387434385
405546.12596770513888.87403229486119
414056.1985901865845-16.1985901865845
426458.57375887403045.42624112596959
432741.862069546533-14.862069546533
442829.8294052226966-1.82940522269663
454558.5352392738363-13.5352392738363
465765.5393416137178-8.53934161371778
474546.9752644441634-1.97526444416337
486953.42562084324715.5743791567530
496051.92011475200668.07988524799342
505644.655581055909911.3444189440901
515869.2478595159965-11.2478595159965
525048.52723353808741.47276646191262
535151.4827620251635-0.482762025163474
545360.0474109291823-7.0474109291823
553737.5412094491569-0.541209449156923
562229.2653063658442-7.26530636584425
575554.6374936733710.36250632662896
587063.12771520052276.87228479947728
596246.500651021016315.4993489789837
605857.99991710410628.28958938114965e-05
613954.2939035450508-15.2939035450508
624947.82284515078441.17715484921555
635865.9829534109177-7.9829534109177
644748.8705114775701-1.87051147757007
654251.2558075547797-9.25580755477974
666257.9196133206854.08038667931505
673937.31064550724681.68935449275322
684027.149115977201312.8508840227987
697254.784295735371617.2157042646284
707065.20409413421664.79590586578341
715451.00060066567712.99939933432294
726558.05688816132356.94311183867649


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
7350.072241239640331.342357930085868.8021245491948
7448.333734234355729.603570438733267.0638980299781
7563.902017728765245.17157345127582.6324620062553
7648.558462413973429.827737658815767.2891871691312
7748.869542298567830.138537069942367.6005475271933
7859.348058988076940.616773290183378.0793446859704
7938.041906601852919.310340438890756.773472764815
8031.021402649605312.289556025773949.7532492734368
8159.818195725207841.086068644706178.5503228057094
8266.638367680326647.905960147353785.3707752132995
8351.901574887622533.168886906377170.6342628688679
8460.054535314807641.321566889488378.787503740127