Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 361.58 | NA | NA | 0.991255293830792 | NA |
2 | 363.19 | NA | NA | 0.999143125683757 | NA |
3 | 363.61 | NA | NA | 1.00432002427416 | NA |
4 | 364.14 | NA | NA | 1.00408381099648 | NA |
5 | 365.51 | NA | NA | 1.00456443362750 | NA |
6 | 365.51 | NA | NA | 1.00361787067363 | NA |
7 | 365.5 | 365.105895145224 | 364.4825 | 1.00171035686274 | 1.00107942616106 |
8 | 365.5 | 365.055636278391 | 364.878333333333 | 1.0004859234678 | 1.00121724931065 |
9 | 364.59 | 365.055515664539 | 365.4075 | 0.99903673478114 | 0.998724808571398 |
10 | 364.63 | 365.458719896930 | 365.955833333333 | 0.998641602644027 | 0.99773238439306 |
11 | 364.54 | 365.504294510262 | 366.425416666667 | 0.997486194694724 | 0.997361742324932 |
12 | 363.67 | 365.248847898123 | 366.842916666667 | 0.995654628463243 | 0.995677336404459 |
13 | 365.22 | 364.054201534844 | 367.265833333333 | 0.991255293830792 | 1.00320226620168 |
14 | 369.05 | 367.359116116504 | 367.674166666667 | 0.999143125683757 | 1.00460280910236 |
15 | 370.45 | 369.69522253544 | 368.105 | 1.00432002427416 | 1.00204162082318 |
16 | 370.46 | 370.080190638029 | 368.575 | 1.00408381099648 | 1.00102628935993 |
17 | 370.46 | 370.734922798744 | 369.050416666667 | 1.00456443362750 | 0.999258438356256 |
18 | 370.58 | 370.899111156711 | 369.562083333333 | 1.00361787067363 | 0.99913962814385 |
19 | 370.58 | 370.67456997075 | 370.041666666667 | 1.00171035686274 | 0.99974487062666 |
20 | 370.22 | 370.574983622855 | 370.395 | 1.0004859234678 | 0.999042073430362 |
21 | 370.21 | 370.352907950716 | 370.71 | 0.99903673478114 | 0.999614130339877 |
22 | 370.29 | 370.588408929179 | 371.0925 | 0.998641602644027 | 0.999194769933466 |
23 | 370.29 | 370.592305341701 | 371.52625 | 0.997486194694724 | 0.99918426438611 |
24 | 370.2 | 370.345769883664 | 371.962083333333 | 0.995654628463243 | 0.999606395170357 |
25 | 370.2 | 369.136450030922 | 372.392916666667 | 0.991255293830792 | 1.00288118382508 |
26 | 372.55 | 372.516776193211 | 372.83625 | 0.999143125683757 | 1.00008918741091 |
27 | 374.51 | 374.908061928100 | 373.295416666667 | 1.00432002427416 | 0.998938241215586 |
28 | 375.58 | 375.353722487033 | 373.827083333333 | 1.00408381099648 | 1.00060283806823 |
29 | 375.75 | 376.13738660909 | 374.428333333333 | 1.00456443362750 | 0.9989700927829 |
30 | 375.75 | 376.400191610340 | 375.043333333333 | 1.00361787067363 | 0.998272605527753 |
31 | 375.75 | 375.983634862122 | 375.341666666667 | 1.00171035686274 | 0.999378603640001 |
32 | 375.69 | 375.531140766234 | 375.34875 | 1.0004859234678 | 1.00042302546053 |
33 | 375.76 | 375.011749257246 | 375.373333333333 | 0.99903673478114 | 1.00199527279942 |
34 | 377.5 | 374.841373854439 | 375.35125 | 0.998641602644027 | 1.00709266994255 |
35 | 377.51 | 374.344931529992 | 375.288333333333 | 0.997486194694724 | 1.00845495211347 |
36 | 377.74 | 373.600315950453 | 375.230833333333 | 0.995654628463243 | 1.01108051538719 |
37 | 369.82 | 371.913203922766 | 375.194166666667 | 0.991255293830792 | 0.994371794545912 |
38 | 373.1 | 374.841865508604 | 375.163333333333 | 0.999143125683757 | 0.995353065735492 |
39 | 374.55 | 376.764380106300 | 375.14375 | 1.00432002427416 | 0.994122639444645 |
40 | 375.01 | 376.616776247616 | 375.085 | 1.00408381099648 | 0.995733657263958 |
41 | 374.81 | 376.731335330472 | 375.019583333333 | 1.00456443362750 | 0.994899985346887 |
42 | 375.31 | 376.342483582777 | 374.985833333333 | 1.00361787067363 | 0.997256531941471 |
43 | 375.31 | 375.917688930296 | 375.275833333333 | 1.00171035686274 | 0.998383452154048 |
44 | 375.39 | 376.133933535123 | 375.95125 | 1.0004859234678 | 0.998022157883679 |
45 | 375.59 | 376.476170604313 | 376.839166666667 | 0.99903673478114 | 0.997646144235663 |
46 | 376.26 | 377.353789686424 | 377.867083333333 | 0.998641602644027 | 0.99710142122242 |
47 | 377.18 | 378.001965291291 | 378.954583333333 | 0.997486194694724 | 0.997825499953001 |
48 | 377.26 | 378.46201453002 | 380.11375 | 0.995654628463243 | 0.996823949342676 |
49 | 377.26 | 377.933840763671 | 381.267916666667 | 0.991255293830792 | 0.998217040415569 |
50 | 381.87 | 382.101889245604 | 382.429583333333 | 0.999143125683757 | 0.999393121960058 |
51 | 387.09 | 385.250465844739 | 383.593333333333 | 1.00432002427416 | 1.00477490442802 |
52 | 387.14 | 386.273133931620 | 384.702083333333 | 1.00408381099648 | 1.00224417903352 |
53 | 388.78 | 387.483523318399 | 385.722916666667 | 1.00456443362750 | 1.00334588854385 |
54 | 389.16 | 388.10613954941 | 386.707083333333 | 1.00361787067363 | 1.00271539237131 |
55 | 389.16 | 388.356009907323 | 387.692916666667 | 1.00171035686274 | 1.00207023986282 |
56 | 389.42 | 388.786745513913 | 388.597916666667 | 1.0004859234678 | 1.00162879648906 |
57 | 389.49 | 388.796374870695 | 389.17125 | 0.99903673478114 | 1.00178403188439 |
58 | 388.97 | 388.995870269915 | 389.525 | 0.998641602644027 | 0.999933494744053 |
59 | 388.97 | 388.904905018553 | 389.885 | 0.997486194694724 | 1.00016738020171 |
60 | 389.09 | 388.519370845784 | 390.215 | 0.995654628463243 | 1.00146872768010 |
61 | 389.09 | 387.124842452677 | 390.54 | 0.991255293830792 | 1.00507628891722 |
62 | 391.76 | 390.527579962568 | 390.8625 | 0.999143125683757 | 1.00315578233310 |
63 | 390.96 | 392.895015096173 | 391.205 | 1.00432002427416 | 0.995074981809837 |
64 | 391.76 | 393.215955116406 | 391.616666666667 | 1.00408381099648 | 0.996297314243073 |
65 | 392.8 | 393.868785999643 | 392.079166666667 | 1.00456443362750 | 0.997286441480934 |
66 | 393.06 | 393.960995302452 | 392.540833333333 | 1.00361787067363 | 0.997712983485178 |
67 | 393.06 | 393.669665971165 | 392.9975 | 1.00171035686274 | 0.99845132601299 |
68 | 393.26 | 393.742485788157 | 393.55125 | 1.0004859234678 | 0.998774615883295 |
69 | 393.87 | 394.128733442589 | 394.50875 | 0.99903673478114 | 0.999343530626836 |
70 | 394.47 | 395.239460789779 | 395.777083333333 | 0.998641602644027 | 0.99805317822203 |
71 | 394.57 | 396.109249059735 | 397.1075 | 0.997486194694724 | 0.996114079478354 |
72 | 394.57 | 396.771688291364 | 398.503333333333 | 0.995654628463243 | 0.994450994472803 |
73 | 394.57 | 396.409600371559 | 399.906666666667 | 0.991255293830792 | 0.995359344552113 |
74 | 399.57 | 400.967793006691 | 401.311666666667 | 0.999143125683757 | 0.996513951915664 |
75 | 406.13 | 404.44929850877 | 402.709583333333 | 1.00432002427416 | 1.00415553073630 |
76 | 407.03 | 405.730186347459 | 404.08 | 1.00408381099648 | 1.00320364048887 |
77 | 409.46 | 407.282232599655 | 405.431666666667 | 1.00456443362750 | 1.00534707194675 |
78 | 409.9 | 408.262549959552 | 406.790833333333 | 1.00361787067363 | 1.00401077698802 |
79 | 409.9 | NA | NA | 1.00171035686274 | NA |
80 | 410.14 | NA | NA | 1.0004859234678 | NA |
81 | 410.54 | NA | NA | 0.99903673478114 | NA |
82 | 410.69 | NA | NA | 0.998641602644027 | NA |
83 | 410.79 | NA | NA | 0.997486194694724 | NA |
84 | 410.97 | NA | NA | 0.995654628463243 | NA |