| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.6548 | -0.4363 | 0.0467 | 0.0608 | -0.1036 | 0.0383 | 0.0608 |
| (p-val) | (0.7002 ) | (0.7181 ) | (0.9544 ) | (0.9776 ) | (0.9579 ) | (0.9026 ) | (0.9776 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -0.6196 | -0.4054 | 0.0638 | 0 | -0.0259 | 0.0308 | 0.0094 |
| (p-val) | (0.6477 ) | (0.6712 ) | (0.9204 ) | (NA ) | (0.9902 ) | (0.92 ) | (0.9967 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | -0.5964 | -0.3906 | 0.0743 | 0 | -0.0399 | 0.0301 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.5844 ) | (0.5835 ) | (0.883 ) | (NA ) | (0.9708 ) | (0.9115 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | -0.6358 | -0.4147 | 0.0566 | 0 | 0 | 0.0296 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0.0925 ) | (0.7088 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.9087 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | -0.6358 | -0.3916 | 0.066 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0.0082 ) | (0.611 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | -0.6617 | -0.4341 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (4e-04 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 4.14299673217516 |
| 227.710747157245 |
| 828.553696796382 |
| 358.763903839703 |
| 938.05523602158 |
| 194.264042782966 |
| -1191.52267003560 |
| -230.697033180527 |
| 205.639462753314 |
| 110.645811653659 |
| -508.471284886596 |
| 879.523239097866 |
| 714.588523695794 |
| -188.277228441440 |
| 540.298237298359 |
| -793.269877286752 |
| 164.772657348318 |
| -34.5766521658361 |
| -564.916209794497 |
| -446.618424659806 |
| -38.0962719833888 |
| 573.221238376832 |
| -867.648369266613 |
| -159.813585356420 |
| -54.9339697560727 |
| -182.715921253723 |
| 580.112169474857 |
| -550.444986417853 |
| -277.849238773176 |
| 512.638622775511 |
| -151.355876795850 |
| 157.501647446935 |
| -971.524289766192 |
| 1520.95190550642 |
| -553.492430771438 |
| -539.467837954238 |
| -33.5288308742925 |
| 608.434657793266 |
| 19.8468934564189 |
| -132.635809509978 |
| -539.295509324391 |
| 491.238884608139 |
| -597.807819683278 |
| -360.47303331842 |
| 154.448140245569 |
| -17.8202738795471 |
| 67.663564017319 |
| 526.246230419192 |
| -1071.34958283987 |
| -405.288394346323 |
| -59.3230418605804 |
| 451.225926016454 |
| -118.906665653617 |
| 444.293454762649 |
| -168.769449492591 |
| 269.668005916994 |
| -86.025527307986 |
| -150.411007578854 |
| -651.633029013347 |
| -330.114639398577 |
| -93.9443923626918 |
| 578.309608646678 |
| 1623.19567216737 |
| 782.822009783486 |
| 931.240409706092 |
| 1125.23428847629 |
| -1036.79729699348 |
