| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
| Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
| Seasonal | 1431 | 0 | 144 |
| Trend | 9 | 1 | 1 |
| Low-pass | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
| 1 | 42.336 | 42.3127885773776 | 0.0722499279578777 | 42.2869614946645 | -0.0232114226224027 |
| 2 | 42.1471 | 42.7657060135087 | 0.0735859514229754 | 41.4549080350683 | 0.618606013508703 |
| 3 | 40.2564 | 39.9118835280161 | -0.0548654765214136 | 40.6557819485053 | -0.344516471983887 |
| 4 | 39.1898 | 38.5614333062827 | -0.0632640123127906 | 39.8814307060301 | -0.62836669371729 |
| 5 | 39.1317 | 39.1847998651201 | -0.0277064405741964 | 39.1063065754541 | 0.0530998651200747 |
| 6 | 38.1507 | 37.392558949688 | 0.0722499279578777 | 38.8365911223542 | -0.758141050312034 |
| 7 | 38.2707 | 37.4906463582351 | 0.0735859514229754 | 38.9771676903419 | -0.78005364176488 |
| 8 | 39.1335 | 38.8487892463857 | -0.0548654765214136 | 39.4730762301357 | -0.28471075361432 |
| 9 | 40.1219 | 39.9833997859176 | -0.0632640123127906 | 40.3236642263952 | -0.13850021408242 |
| 10 | 41.2845 | 41.2643159571442 | -0.0277064405741964 | 41.33239048343 | -0.0201840428557958 |
| 11 | 42.5749 | 42.8647562199598 | 0.0722499279578777 | 42.2127938520823 | 0.289856219959844 |
| 12 | 43.9019 | 44.7928997361466 | 0.0735859514229754 | 42.9373143124304 | 0.890999736146611 |
| 13 | 43.1835 | 42.8544166404819 | -0.0548654765214136 | 43.5674488360395 | -0.329083359518073 |
| 14 | 43.6188 | 43.2751236168803 | -0.0632640123127906 | 44.0257403954325 | -0.343676383119686 |
| 15 | 44.7624 | 45.3039467436662 | -0.0277064405741964 | 44.248559696908 | 0.541546743666174 |
| 16 | 45.1972 | 46.0014935883603 | 0.0722499279578777 | 44.3206564836818 | 0.804293588360295 |
| 17 | 44.3881 | 44.4257616742017 | 0.0735859514229754 | 44.2768523743753 | 0.0376616742017077 |
| 18 | 43.5552 | 42.9854332363591 | -0.0548654765214136 | 44.1798322401623 | -0.569766763640871 |
| 19 | 43.5678 | 42.9893023258767 | -0.0632640123127906 | 44.2095616864361 | -0.57849767412327 |
| 20 | 44.2135 | 44.1177176062186 | -0.0277064405741964 | 44.3369888343556 | -0.0957823937813771 |
| 21 | 45.1451 | 46.1348661359213 | 0.0722499279578777 | 44.0830839361208 | 0.989766135921343 |
| 22 | 45.8079 | 48.5157981670718 | 0.0735859514229754 | 43.0264158815052 | 2.70789816707184 |
| 23 | 42.3282 | 43.4765371349983 | -0.0548654765214136 | 41.2347283415231 | 1.14833713499833 |
| 24 | 37.8999 | 36.6935604958602 | -0.0632640123127906 | 39.1695035164526 | -1.20633950413979 |
| 25 | 34.7964 | 32.2621080268624 | -0.0277064405741964 | 37.3583984137118 | -2.53429197313757 |
| 26 | 35.2144 | 34.0909937031733 | 0.0722499279578777 | 36.2655563688689 | -1.12340629682674 |
| 27 | 36.3727 | 36.6472562911728 | 0.0735859514229754 | 36.0245577574043 | 0.274556291172757 |
| 28 | 36.2502 | 36.2675036683949 | -0.0548654765214136 | 36.2877618081265 | 0.0173036683948737 |
| 29 | 36.8261 | 37.1276439388981 | -0.0632640123127906 | 36.5878200734147 | 0.301543938898121 |
| 30 | 36.7723 | 36.8109857705189 | -0.0277064405741964 | 36.7613206700553 | 0.0386857705188817 |
| 31 | 36.9042 | 36.9141688838947 | 0.0722499279578777 | 36.8219811881475 | 0.00996888389466477 |
| 32 | 37.0494 | 37.2781874396831 | 0.0735859514229754 | 36.7470266088939 | 0.228787439683103 |
| 33 | 36.8259 | 37.1244697223615 | -0.0548654765214136 | 36.5821957541599 | 0.298569722361464 |
| 34 | 36.1357 | 35.9697209739234 | -0.0632640123127906 | 36.3649430383894 | -0.16597902607662 |
| 35 | 36.03 | 35.9690994123162 | -0.0277064405741964 | 36.118607028258 | -0.0609005876837756 |
| 36 | 35.7927 | 35.6388250415204 | 0.0722499279578777 | 35.8743250305217 | -0.153874958479555 |
| 37 | 35.9174 | 36.1022105309878 | 0.0735859514229754 | 35.6590035175892 | 0.184810530987846 |
| 38 | 35.4008 | 35.396897211605 | -0.0548654765214136 | 35.4595682649164 | -0.00390278839498137 |
| 39 | 35.1723 | 35.1404659554672 | -0.0632640123127906 | 35.2673980568456 | -0.031834044532836 |
| 40 | 34.9211 | 34.7854787405446 | -0.0277064405741964 | 35.0844277000296 | -0.135621259455355 |
| 41 | 35.0292 | 35.0224556301524 | 0.0722499279578777 | 34.9636944418897 | -0.00674436984756 |
| 42 | 34.7739 | 34.5760242238521 | 0.0735859514229754 | 34.898189824725 | -0.197875776147946 |
| 43 | 34.8999 | 35.0271504330823 | -0.0548654765214136 | 34.8275150434391 | 0.127250433082338 |
| 44 | 34.9054 | 35.1404698579972 | -0.0632640123127906 | 34.7335941543156 | 0.23506985799721 |
| 45 | 34.568 | 34.5115022936343 | -0.0277064405741964 | 34.6522041469399 | -0.0564977063657253 |
| 46 | 34.406 | 34.1589913088587 | 0.0722499279578777 | 34.5807587631835 | -0.247008691141346 |
| 47 | 34.4578 | 34.3588914281455 | 0.0735859514229754 | 34.4831226204315 | -0.0989085718544658 |
| 48 | 34.7316 | 35.1429515494802 | -0.0548654765214136 | 34.3751139270412 | 0.411351549480194 |
| 49 | 34.2602 | 34.2945940692097 | -0.0632640123127906 | 34.2890699431031 | 0.0343940692096751 |
| 50 | 33.8849 | 33.5863519914617 | -0.0277064405741964 | 34.2111544491125 | -0.298548008538297 |
| 51 | 34.0549 | 33.9008405853804 | 0.0722499279578777 | 34.1367094866617 | -0.154059414619567 |
| 52 | 34.2755 | 34.3408910568531 | 0.0735859514229754 | 34.136522991724 | 0.065391056853052 |
| 53 | 34.1393 | 34.1400049324688 | -0.0548654765214136 | 34.1934605440526 | 0.000704932468764241 |
| 54 | 34.1587 | 34.2113402701552 | -0.0632640123127906 | 34.1693237421576 | 0.05264027015523 |
| 55 | 34.5386 | 35.0511875036286 | -0.0277064405741964 | 34.0537189369456 | 0.512587503628559 |
| 56 | 33.7987 | 33.5680197209873 | 0.0722499279578777 | 33.9571303510548 | -0.230680279012667 |
| 57 | 33.4973 | 33.0009008112957 | 0.0735859514229754 | 33.9201132372813 | -0.496399188704309 |
| 58 | 33.6802 | 33.5065477283203 | -0.0548654765214136 | 33.9087177482011 | -0.173652271679714 |
| 59 | 34.3284 | 34.7591433183714 | -0.0632640123127906 | 33.9609206939414 | 0.430743318371391 |
| 60 | 34.1538 | 34.2383942838317 | -0.0277064405741964 | 34.0969121567425 | 0.0845942838316631 |
| 61 | 33.9184 | 33.4980149563526 | 0.0722499279578777 | 34.2665351156896 | -0.420385043647443 |
| 62 | 34.3262 | 34.1630043475549 | 0.0735859514229754 | 34.4158097010221 | -0.163195652445104 |
| 63 | 34.775 | 35.0574737167933 | -0.0548654765214136 | 34.5473917597281 | 0.282473716793326 |
| 64 | 35.0119 | 35.3865488546183 | -0.0632640123127906 | 34.7005151576945 | 0.374648854618265 |
| 65 | 34.5513 | 34.2382070234051 | -0.0277064405741964 | 34.8920994171691 | -0.313092976594938 |
| 66 | 34.6951 | 34.1861829001019 | 0.0722499279578777 | 35.1317671719402 | -0.508917099898127 |
| 67 | 35.473 | 35.4265884631143 | 0.0735859514229754 | 35.4458255854627 | -0.0464115368856852 |
| 68 | 35.9794 | 36.1911660062963 | -0.0548654765214136 | 35.8224994702251 | 0.211766006296351 |
| 69 | 36.4789 | 36.8126205640526 | -0.0632640123127906 | 36.2084434482602 | 0.333720564052634 |
| 70 | 36.391 | 36.2616970624147 | -0.0277064405741964 | 36.5480093781595 | -0.129302937585273 |
| 71 | 36.6704 | 36.5123365646754 | 0.0722499279578777 | 36.7562135073667 | -0.158063435324557 |
| 72 | 37.4162 | 37.9801154773645 | 0.0735859514229754 | 36.7786985712125 | 0.563915477364532 |
| 73 | 37.1185 | 37.6431864670836 | -0.0548654765214136 | 36.6486790094378 | 0.524686467083626 |
| 74 | 36.3001 | 36.2673145338049 | -0.0632640123127906 | 36.3961494785079 | -0.0327854661950582 |
| 75 | 35.7002 | 35.373126188466 | -0.0277064405741964 | 36.0549802521082 | -0.327073811534042 |
| 76 | 35.5859 | 35.3896968233865 | 0.0722499279578777 | 35.7098532486556 | -0.196203176613473 |
| 77 | 35.6777 | 35.8645582602009 | 0.0735859514229754 | 35.4172557883761 | 0.186858260200879 |
| 78 | 35.2408 | 35.3521398748504 | -0.0548654765214136 | 35.184325601671 | 0.11133987485043 |
| 79 | 34.8016 | 34.6065076445512 | -0.0632640123127906 | 35.0599563677616 | -0.19509235544885 |
| 80 | 34.4389 | 33.7952013015963 | -0.0277064405741964 | 35.1103051389779 | -0.643698698403718 |
| 81 | 34.9881 | 34.5808064327598 | 0.0722499279578777 | 35.3231436392823 | -0.407293567240202 |
| 82 | 36.068 | 36.4897396204375 | 0.0735859514229754 | 35.5726744281395 | 0.421739620437499 |
| 83 | 36.3566 | 37.0570098239384 | -0.0548654765214136 | 35.711055652583 | 0.700409823938429 |
| 84 | 36.1254 | 36.6569067945178 | -0.0632640123127906 | 35.657157217795 | 0.53150679451776 |
| 85 | 34.871 | 34.4239558776893 | -0.0277064405741964 | 35.3457505628849 | -0.447044122310665 |
| 86 | 35.2199 | 35.4565941380948 | 0.0722499279578777 | 34.9109559339473 | 0.236694138094791 |
| 87 | 34.339 | 33.9655234161849 | 0.0735859514229754 | 34.6388906323921 | -0.373476583815126 |
| 88 | 33.8234 | 33.0527870500059 | -0.0548654765214136 | 34.6488784265155 | -0.77061294999411 |
| 89 | 34.5199 | 34.3555243902719 | -0.0632640123127906 | 34.7475396220409 | -0.164375609728097 |
| 90 | 35.53 | 36.3139216555183 | -0.0277064405741964 | 34.7737847850559 | 0.783921655518341 |
| 91 | 35.7966 | 36.7817827168418 | 0.0722499279578777 | 34.7391673552003 | 0.985182716841827 |
| 92 | 33.8484 | 33.0389989587234 | 0.0735859514229754 | 34.5842150898536 | -0.809401041276573 |
| 93 | 33.9871 | 33.8041931140649 | -0.0548654765214136 | 34.2248723624565 | -0.182906885935118 |
| 94 | 34.1161 | 34.5649209557291 | -0.0632640123127906 | 33.7305430565837 | 0.448820955729104 |
| 95 | 33.8235 | 34.4418201397887 | -0.0277064405741964 | 33.2328863007855 | 0.6183201397887 |
| 96 | 32.454 | 32.1697470451098 | 0.0722499279578777 | 32.6660030269324 | -0.284252954890228 |
| 97 | 31.8774 | 31.631728062577 | 0.0735859514229754 | 32.049485986 | -0.245671937423008 |
| 98 | 31.115 | 30.7449730575058 | -0.0548654765214136 | 31.5398924190157 | -0.370026942494246 |
| 99 | 31.0436 | 30.9459286121199 | -0.0632640123127906 | 31.2045354001929 | -0.0976713878800624 |
| 100 | 30.8868 | 30.9351145839727 | -0.0277064405741964 | 30.8661918566015 | 0.0483145839726511 |
| 101 | 31.3001 | 32.1491794781147 | 0.0722499279578777 | 30.3787705939274 | 0.849079478114724 |
| 102 | 30.0507 | 30.3075237027302 | 0.0735859514229754 | 29.7202903458468 | 0.256823702730244 |
| 103 | 28.6799 | 28.4779838225137 | -0.0548654765214136 | 28.9366816540077 | -0.201916177486268 |
| 104 | 27.6438 | 27.2133708959647 | -0.0632640123127906 | 28.1374931163481 | -0.430429104035273 |
| 105 | 27.2394 | 26.9825893197495 | -0.0277064405741964 | 27.5239171208247 | -0.256810680250538 |
| 106 | 26.8549 | 26.4889737077801 | 0.0722499279578777 | 27.148576364262 | -0.365926292219875 |
| 107 | 27.0158 | 27.0239844984348 | 0.0735859514229754 | 26.9340295501422 | 0.00818449843480806 |
| 108 | 26.9188 | 27.0576924065435 | -0.0548654765214136 | 26.8347730699779 | 0.13889240654348 |
| 109 | 26.4966 | 26.2725316979561 | -0.0632640123127906 | 26.7839323143567 | -0.224068302043928 |
| 110 | 26.785 | 26.9471536728714 | -0.0277064405741964 | 26.6505527677028 | 0.162153672871359 |
| 111 | 26.8398 | 27.2316489651412 | 0.0722499279578777 | 26.375701106901 | 0.391848965141168 |
| 112 | 26.4478 | 26.7782101769655 | 0.0735859514229754 | 26.0438038716115 | 0.330410176965511 |
| 113 | 25.1728 | 24.6581546791545 | -0.0548654765214136 | 25.7423107973669 | -0.5146453208455 |
| 114 | 24.8784 | 24.2804200217292 | -0.0632640123127906 | 25.5396439905836 | -0.597979978270796 |
| 115 | 25.4015 | 25.3043899297022 | -0.0277064405741964 | 25.5263165108719 | -0.0971100702977488 |
| 116 | 25.7716 | 25.7340141745592 | 0.0722499279578777 | 25.7369358974829 | -0.0375858254407859 |
| 117 | 26.1181 | 26.1772833770969 | 0.0735859514229754 | 25.9853306714801 | 0.0591833770968968 |
| 118 | 26.3969 | 26.8680791537682 | -0.0548654765214136 | 25.9805863227532 | 0.471179153768194 |
| 119 | 26.6571 | 27.7124214768121 | -0.0632640123127906 | 25.6650425355006 | 1.05532147681215 |
| 120 | 25.1839 | 25.1998805207479 | -0.0277064405741964 | 25.1956259198263 | 0.0159805207478563 |
| 121 | 23.8394 | 22.8613124538601 | 0.0722499279578777 | 24.745237618182 | -0.97808754613989 |
| 122 | 23.8619 | 23.1299355926188 | 0.0735859514229754 | 24.5202784559582 | -0.73196440738122 |
| 123 | 24.2581 | 23.8581642091803 | -0.0548654765214136 | 24.7129012673411 | -0.399935790819676 |
| 124 | 25.1098 | 25.0932978689205 | -0.0632640123127906 | 25.1895661433923 | -0.0165021310794842 |
| 125 | 26.1617 | 26.6770127246505 | -0.0277064405741964 | 25.6740937159237 | 0.515312724650471 |
| 126 | 26.8087 | 27.3922552400495 | 0.0722499279578777 | 26.1528948319926 | 0.58355524004951 |
| 127 | 25.6577 | 24.6319721072213 | 0.0735859514229754 | 26.6098419413557 | -1.02572789277869 |
| 128 | 27.0982 | 27.2145868083865 | -0.0548654765214136 | 27.0366786681349 | 0.116386808386533 |
| 129 | 27.4665 | 27.5537947927977 | -0.0632640123127906 | 27.4424692195151 | 0.087294792797703 |
| 130 | 28.289 | 28.8777309933091 | -0.0277064405741964 | 27.7279754472651 | 0.588730993309063 |
| 131 | 28.6933 | 29.4985394590627 | 0.0722499279578777 | 27.8158106129794 | 0.805239459062744 |
| 132 | 27.2401 | 26.6598438086402 | 0.0735859514229754 | 27.7467702399368 | -0.580256191359808 |
| 133 | 27.2798 | 27.1287268991303 | -0.0548654765214136 | 27.4857385773911 | -0.151073100869713 |
| 134 | 27.6404 | 28.2573338148066 | -0.0632640123127906 | 27.0867301975062 | 0.616933814806568 |
| 135 | 26.831 | 27.0236296045273 | -0.0277064405741964 | 26.6660768360469 | 0.19262960452734 |
| 136 | 26.2467 | 26.1506370815803 | 0.0722499279578777 | 26.2705129904619 | -0.0960629184197401 |
| 137 | 25.2212 | 24.3420470531448 | 0.0735859514229754 | 26.0267669954322 | -0.879152946855214 |
| 138 | 25.3653 | 24.7663152059851 | -0.0548654765214136 | 26.0191502705363 | -0.598984794014893 |
| 139 | 26.2592 | 26.4587692471786 | -0.0632640123127906 | 26.1228947651342 | 0.199569247178619 |
| 140 | 27.2279 | 28.2642003650266 | -0.0277064405741964 | 26.2193060755476 | 1.03630036502661 |
| 141 | 26.3315 | 26.2310316114106 | 0.0722499279578777 | 26.3597184606316 | -0.100468388589441 |
| 142 | 25.8981 | 25.2435267043796 | 0.0735859514229754 | 26.4790873441975 | -0.65457329562043 |
| 143 | 26.6898 | 26.8662888535133 | -0.0548654765214136 | 26.5681766230082 | 0.176488853513256 |
