Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[60])
48	69	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	60	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	56	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
51	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
52	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
53	51	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
54	53	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
55	37	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
56	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	55	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	70	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	62	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	39	52.043	22.5113	81.5747	0.1933	0.3463	0.2987	0.3463
62	49	53.6695	11.9057	95.4334	0.4133	0.7544	0.4565	0.4195
63	58	52.5105	1.3605	103.6604	0.4167	0.5535	0.4167	0.4167
64	47	49.2033	-9.8595	108.266	0.4709	0.3852	0.4895	0.3852
65	42	51.6037	-14.4305	117.6378	0.3878	0.5543	0.5071	0.4247
66	62	49.8645	-22.4723	122.2012	0.3711	0.5844	0.4661	0.4128
67	39	47.5057	-30.6269	125.6383	0.4155	0.3581	0.6039	0.3962
68	40	41.9147	-41.6126	125.4419	0.4821	0.5273	0.6799	0.3529
69	72	52.4998	-36.0942	141.0938	0.3331	0.6089	0.4779	0.4516
70	70	56.9803	-36.4059	150.3666	0.3923	0.3763	0.3923	0.4915
71	54	54.4597	-43.4846	152.4041	0.4963	0.3779	0.44	0.4718
72	65	49.9355	-52.364	152.235	0.3864	0.469	0.4386	0.4386

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
61	0.2895	-0.2506	0	170.1189	0	0
62	0.397	-0.087	0.1688	21.8044	95.9617	9.796
63	0.497	0.1045	0.1474	30.135	74.0195	8.6035
64	0.6124	-0.0448	0.1217	4.8544	56.7282	7.5318
65	0.6529	-0.1861	0.1346	92.2304	63.8286	7.9893
66	0.7401	0.2434	0.1527	147.2706	77.7356	8.8168
67	0.8391	-0.179	0.1565	72.3476	76.9659	8.773
68	1.0167	-0.0457	0.1426	3.6659	67.8034	8.2343
69	0.861	0.3714	0.1681	380.2562	102.5204	10.1252
70	0.8362	0.2285	0.1741	169.5123	109.2196	10.4508
71	0.9176	-0.0084	0.159	0.2114	99.3097	9.9654
72	1.0452	0.3017	0.1709	226.9392	109.9455	10.4855