Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.665911538005217
betaFALSE
gammaFALSE


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
210100
310100
410100
510100
69.9410-0.0600000000000005
710.069.960045307719690.0999546922803134
810.0610.02660629058690.0333937094130921
910.0610.04884354698190.0111564530181205
1010.0610.05627275776990.00372724223014131
1110.0610.05875477137590.00124522862414977
1210.0610.05958398348410.000416016515874418
1310.0610.05986101368200.000138986317953282
1410.0610.05995356627484.64337252044089e-05
1510.0610.05998448702821.55129718386604e-05
1610.0610.05999481729515.18270490168504e-06
1710.0610.05999826851811.73148190896200e-06
1810.0610.05999942153195.78468128509257e-07
1910.0610.05999980674051.93259527492273e-07
2010.0610.05999993543426.45657785014464e-08
219.9410.0599999784293-0.119999978429320
229.949.98009060823286-0.0400906082328589
239.949.95339380964495-0.0133938096449508
249.949.94447471726453-0.0044747172645323
259.949.94149495140877-0.00149495140876965
269.949.9404994460169-0.000499446016911875
2710.069.940166859151640.119833140848362
2810.0610.01996513027800.0400348697220334
299.9410.0466248119484-0.106624811948405
3010.069.975622119434330.0843778805656754
3110.0610.03181032365540.0281896763445655
3210.0610.05058215438590.00941784561408632
3310.1810.05685360644350.123146393556514
3410.2810.13885821077650.141141789223498
3510.2810.23284615671510.0471538432848693
3610.1810.2642464450198-0.084246445019815
3710.2810.20814576524520.0718542347548006
3810.2810.25599432922300.0240056707770435
3910.2810.27197998237090.00802001762905569
4010.1810.2773206046451-0.0973206046451374
4110.2810.21251369112630.0674863088737023
4210.2810.25745360286270.0225463971373205
4310.1810.2724675088569-0.0924675088568687
4410.1810.2108923278185-0.0308923278184814
4510.1810.1903207702883-0.0103207702883150
4610.2810.18344805027220.0965519497277736
4710.2810.24774310761290.0322568923871493
4810.1810.2692233444336-0.0892233444336465
4910.1810.2098084899159-0.0298084899158688
5010.1810.1899586725504-0.00995867255037908
5110.1810.1833270775959-0.00332707759586626
5210.1810.1811115382369-0.00111153823694110
5310.1810.1803713521000-0.000371352100028588
5410.2810.18012406445200.0998759355480416
5510.2810.24663260230250.0333673976975355
5610.2810.26885233742250.0111476625775371
5710.1810.2762756945546-0.0962756945546346
5810.1810.2121645987212-0.0321645987212378
5910.1810.1907458213175-0.0107458213174585
6010.2810.18359005491680.0964099450831792
6110.1810.2477905497262-0.0677905497261584
6210.1810.2026480404958-0.0226480404957936
6310.2810.18756644901640.0924335509835643
6410.1810.2491190171152-0.0691190171151845
6510.1810.2030918661226-0.0230918661226038
6610.1810.1877147260375-0.00771472603749146
6710.2810.18257740095660.0974225990434228
6810.2810.24745223372200.0325477662779505
6910.2810.26912616682280.0108738331771665
7010.2810.27636717779790.00363282220214778
7110.2810.27878631601780.00121368398221655
7210.2810.27959452218500.000405477814966915
7310.1810.2798645345404-0.0998645345404245
7410.1810.2133635887524-0.0333635887524366
7510.1810.1911463900529-0.0111463900529287
7610.1810.1837238803096-0.00372388030957715
7710.1810.1812441054453-0.00124410544528075
7810.1810.1804156412748-0.000415641274774003
7910.1810.1801388609542-0.000138860954230324
8010.1810.1800463918426-4.63918426305554e-05
8110.1810.1800154989794-1.54989793532678e-05
8210.2810.18000517803020.0999948219698243
8310.2810.24659288372070.0334071162793403
8410.2810.26883906790260.0111609320974448
8510.2810.27627126136110.00372873863886269
8610.2810.27875427144300.00124572855703775
8710.2810.27958381646230.000416183537682357
8810.2810.27986095788200.00013904211801119
8910.2810.27995354763264.64523673588957e-05
9010.1810.2799844808000-0.0999844808000336
9110.2810.21340366141380.0665963385861694
9210.2810.25775093166730.0222490683327372
9310.2810.27256684297990.00743315702010072
9410.2810.27751666800340.00248333199661133
9510.1810.2791703474326-0.0991703474326293
9610.2810.21313166884930.0668683311507436
9710.2810.25766006208970.0223399379103100
9810.2810.27253648450250.00746351549751445
9910.1810.2775065255864-0.0975065255863612
10010.1810.2125758051676-0.0325758051676033
10110.2810.19088320064670.0891167993533131
10210.2810.25022710556620.0297728944338456
10310.2810.27005321948950.00994678051053555
10410.2810.27667689539740.00332310460256302
10510.2810.27888978909430.00111021090571661
10610.2810.27962909134600.000370908653980706
10710.2810.27987608369830.000123916301747684
10810.1810.2799586009933-0.0999586009933324
10910.2810.21339501526900.0666049847309864
11010.2810.25774804309000.0222519569099600
11110.2810.27256587793960.00743412206042215
11210.4210.27751634559460.142483654405448
11310.4210.37239785504030.047602144959713
11410.4210.40409667260280.0159033273972433
11510.4210.41468688180930.00531311819074531
11610.4210.41822494851530.00177505148474211
11710.4210.41940697577950.000593024220499672
11810.4210.41980187745020.000198122549752711
11910.4210.41993380954216.61904579342121e-05
12010.4210.41997788653172.21134682902857e-05
12110.4210.41999261214547.38785461074087e-06
12210.3410.4199975318030-0.0799975318030164
12310.3410.3667262523634-0.0267262523634493
12410.3410.3489289325470-0.0089289325469899
12510.4210.34298305334190.0770169466581212
12610.4210.39426952674350.0257304732565462
12710.4210.41140374576330.00859625423667687
12810.4210.41712809064320.00287190935684833
12910.3410.4190405282200-0.0790405282199824
13010.4210.36640652850830.0535934714917303
13110.4210.40209503953640.0179049604636337
13210.4210.41401815929660.00598184070337204
13310.4210.41800153603950.00199846396048819
13410.4210.41933233624910.000667663750911984
13510.4210.41977694124430.000223058755672412
13610.4210.41992547864347.4521356618007e-05
13710.4210.41997510327462.48967254190546e-05
13810.4210.41999168229138.31770870313164e-06
13910.4210.41999722114952.77885050792293e-06
14010.4210.41999907161819.28381892251195e-07
14110.4210.41999968983833.10161679450971e-07
14210.4210.41999989637861.03621438540813e-07
14310.4210.41999996538133.46187274402610e-08
14410.4210.41999998843431.15657172727879e-08
14510.4210.41999999613603.86397225327073e-09
14610.4210.41999999870911.29090871325843e-09
14710.3410.4199999995687-0.079999999568722
14810.3410.3667270768155-0.0267270768154972
14910.3410.3489292079869-0.00892920798690611
15010.3410.3429831453632-0.00298314536317790
15110.4210.34099663444630.0790033655537083
15210.4210.39360588710980.0263941128902498
15310.3410.4111820314188-0.071182031418779
15410.3410.3637810953984-0.0237810953983644
15510.3410.3479449895862-0.00794498958619094
15610.4210.34265432935140.0773456706485849
15710.4210.39415970385110.0258402961489406
15810.4210.41136705520210.00863294479789012
15910.3410.4171158327500-0.0771158327499872
16010.3410.3657635099589-0.0257635099588907
16110.3410.3486072914178-0.00860729141775352
16210.3410.3428755967517-0.00287559675169824
16310.3410.3409607036961-0.00096070369609258
16410.4210.34032096002030.0796790399797391
16510.4210.39338015207990.0266198479200526
16610.4210.41110661594990.00889338405014506
16710.3410.4170288230008-0.0770288230007576
16810.4210.36573444100560.054265558994409
16910.4210.40187050285630.0181294971437289
17010.4210.41394314418250.00605685581748716
17110.4210.41797647435540.00202352564458863
17210.4210.41932396342960.00067603657040749
17310.4210.41977414398190.000225856018060355
17410.4210.41992454411037.5455889705367e-05
17510.4210.41997479105792.52089421408641e-05
17610.4210.41999157798338.42201670891995e-06
17710.4210.41999718630142.81369860921643e-06
17810.4210.41999905997589.40024241558035e-07
17910.4210.41999968594873.14051254335368e-07
18010.4210.41999989507911.04920900412253e-07
18110.3410.4199999649471-0.0799999649471381
18210.3410.3667270652488-0.0267270652488261
18310.3410.3489292041226-0.00892920412261411
18410.4210.34298314407220.0770168559278392
18510.4210.39426955705540.0257304429446048
18610.4210.41140375589020.00859624410980864
18710.4210.41712809402640.00287190597357778
18810.4210.41904052935030.000959470649705807
18910.4210.41967945192630.000320548073689864
19010.4210.41989290858710.000107091412933968
19110.4210.41996422199463.57780054400791e-05
19210.4210.41998804698121.19530188111838e-05
19310.4210.41999600663433.99336567191710e-06
19410.4210.41999866586261.33413739611399e-06
19510.4210.41999955428014.45719910757703e-07
19610.4210.41999985109011.48909879982284e-07
19710.4210.41999995025094.97490724171712e-08
19810.3410.4199999833794-0.079999983379409
19910.3410.3667270714068-0.0267270714068353
20010.4210.34892920617990.0710707938200663
20110.4210.39625606779990.0237439322000945
20210.5510.41206742620960.137932573790438
20310.5510.50391831856340.0460816814366289
20410.5510.53460464192270.0153953580772974
20510.5510.54485658849810.00514341150190312
20610.5510.54828164556190.00171835443807744
20710.5510.54942591760860.000574082391379349
20810.5510.54980820569680.000191794303194825
20910.5510.54993592373626.40762637740266e-05
21010.5510.54997859285962.14071404140981e-05
21110.5510.54999284812147.1518786164404e-06
21210.4910.5499976106399-0.0599976106398739
21310.4910.5100445094620-0.0200445094620374
21410.5510.49669663933760.0533033606623885
21510.5510.53219196221710.0178080377828511
21610.5510.54405054004600.0059494599540173
21710.5510.54801235407430.00198764592573752
21810.5510.54933595042970.000664049570319847
21910.5510.54977814870040.000221851299636810
22010.4910.5499258820405-0.0599258820405133
22110.5510.51002054576460.0399794542354037
22210.5510.53664332562310.0133566743768974
22310.5510.54553768920010.00446231079994241
22410.5510.54850919344790.00149080655209488
22510.5510.54950193873190.000498061268121575
22610.5510.54983360347700.00016639652304562
22710.4910.5499444088415-0.0599444088415346
22810.4910.5100267353551-0.0200267353550547
22910.5510.49669070121350.0533092987864539
23010.5510.53218997835840.0178100216415871
23110.5510.54404987726170.00595012273833184
23210.4910.5480121326457-0.0580121326456702
23310.5510.50938118417260.0406188158273704
23410.5510.53642972229220.0135702777078155
23510.5510.54546632679180.00453367320824682
23610.5510.54848535209070.00151464790932998
23710.5510.54949397360950.000506026390491243
23810.5510.54983094242150.000169057578528253
23910.5510.54994351981365.64801863980335e-05
24010.5510.54998113062141.88693786071781e-05
24110.5510.54999369595836.30404167800691e-06
24210.4910.5499978938924-0.0599978938924117
24310.4910.5100446040934-0.0200446040934423
24410.4910.4966966709529-0.00669667095287352
24510.5510.49223728049910.0577627195008699
24610.5510.53070214188130.0192978581186818
24710.5510.54355280826130.00644719173866370
24810.4910.5478460676278-0.0578460676278443
24910.5510.50932570376620.0406742962337674
25010.5510.53641118692850.0135888130714594
25110.5510.54546013434060.00453986565937825
25210.6310.54848328326420.0815167167358037
25310.6310.60276620547890.0272337945211287
25410.6310.62090150347420.00909849652584604
25510.6310.62696029728920.00303970271078491
25610.6310.62898447039640.00101552960356877
25710.5710.6296607232766-0.0596607232766342
25810.6310.58993195928100.0400680407190137
25910.6310.61661372990100.0133862700989607
26010.6310.62552780161080.00447219838920887
26110.6310.62850589011840.00149410988158571
26210.5710.6295008351276-0.0595008351276096
26310.5710.5898785424952-0.0198785424951886
26410.5710.5766411916889-0.00664119168891553
26510.6310.57221874551720.0577812544828387
26610.6310.61069594955770.019304050442301
26710.6310.62355073947750.00644926052253858
26810.6310.62784537647100.00215462352897866
26910.5710.6292801651390-0.0592801651390253
27010.6310.58980481919810.0401951808019074
27110.6310.61657125386630.0134287461337106
27210.5710.6255136108577-0.0555136108576697
27310.6310.58854645687120.0414535431287835
27410.6310.61615084953190.0138491504681308
27510.6310.62537315862020.00462684137983338
27610.6310.62845422567950.00154577432048164
27710.5710.6294835746347-0.0594835746346796
27810.6310.58987277596370.0401272240363486
27910.610.6165939574376-0.0165939574375766
28010.710.60554384971870.0944561502812729
28110.710.66844329002660.0315567099734189
28210.710.68945726729940.0105427327006353
28310.710.69647779464680.00352220535317826
28410.710.69882327183070.00117672816927339
28510.710.69960686869570.000393131304258887
28610.710.69986865936720.000131340632801624
28710.710.699956120614.38793900094936e-05
28810.710.69998534040211.46595979213515e-05
28910.710.69999510239754.89760252264659e-06
29010.610.6999983637675-0.0999983637675061
29110.610.6334082995531-0.0334082995530807
29210.610.6111613274155-0.0111613274155484
29310.610.6037288707101-0.00372887071008066
29410.710.60124577268050.0987542273194926
29510.710.66700735207930.0329926479206524
29610.610.6889775369991-0.0889775369990531
29710.710.62972636848810.0702736315119026
29810.710.67652239052940.0234776094706000
29910.710.69215640156070.00784359843934723
30010.710.69737954426090.00262045573910541
30110.710.69912453597240.000875464027602746
30210.710.69970751756950.000292482430513274
30310.710.69990228499469.77150053707021e-05
30410.710.69996735454413.26454558585709e-05
30510.710.69998909352991.09064701394601e-05
30610.710.69999635627423.6437258348343e-06
30710.710.69999878267321.2173267602833e-06
30810.710.69999959330524.06694825372256e-07
30910.710.69999986412791.35872049611407e-07
31010.710.69999995460674.53932837984894e-08
31110.810.69999998483460.100000015165374
31210.810.76659114873390.0334088512660564
31310.810.78883848826350.0111615117364892
31410.810.79627106771040.00372893228958127
31510.710.7987542067465-0.0987542067464915
31610.710.7329926410474-0.0329926410474499
31710.710.7110224607047-0.0110224607046874
31810.8510.70368247694420.146317523055773
31910.7510.8011170037594-0.0511170037594102
32010.7510.7670776011678-0.0170776011677631
32110.7510.7557054295087-0.00570542950869779
32210.7510.7519061181696-0.00190611816958075
32310.7510.7506368120877-0.000636812087655869
32410.7510.7502127515709-0.000212751570945358
32510.7510.7500710778451-7.10778451242788e-05
32610.7510.7500237462880-2.37462879599804e-05
32710.7510.7500079333608-7.9333608233867e-06
32810.7510.7500026504443-2.65044431557726e-06
32910.7510.7500008854829-8.85482865697895e-07
33010.8510.75000029582960.0999997041703917
33110.8510.81659125263380.0334087473662183
33210.8510.83883852297520.0111614770247517
33310.8510.84627107930720.00372892069278841
33410.8510.84875421062080.00124578937915309
33510.8510.84958379614230.000416203857650288
33610.8510.84986095109330.000139048906678596
33710.8510.84995354536464.64546353740047e-05
33810.8510.84998448004231.55199576834519e-05
33910.8510.84999481496125.18503879298748e-06
34010.7510.8499982677384-0.0999982677383642
34110.7510.7834082674709-0.0334082674708522
34210.8510.76116131669720.0888386833027521
34310.8510.82032002092970.0296799790702575
34410.8510.84008426144040.00991573855962002
34510.8510.84668726615510.00331273384492548
34610.7510.8488932538448-0.09889325384475
34710.7510.7830390950787-0.033039095078653
34810.7510.7610379804605-0.0110379804605270
34910.7510.7536876619156-0.00368766191558656
35010.7510.7512320052977-0.00123200529773548


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
35110.750411598755110.665281650739610.8355415467706
35210.750411598755110.648133778936010.8526894185742
35310.750411598755110.633474022224810.8673491752854
35410.750411598755110.620457602346310.8803655951639
35510.750411598755110.608631185578810.8921920119314