| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 9700 | 9700 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 9081 | 9420.73826143724 | -4.57503397341958 | -334.787519603489 | -1.94833334163912 |
| 3 | 9084 | 9148.2321179393 | -22.2237094197417 | -61.4690304983253 | -1.35932643409782 |
| 4 | 9743 | 9343.34784279535 | -8.81409411905787 | 396.793152678963 | 1.35800127903027 |
| 5 | 8587 | 9095.71560122164 | -19.3900508950312 | -504.925703792404 | -1.70072005826550 |
| 6 | 9731 | 9271.81617651786 | -13.6794107595607 | 455.865880905416 | 1.44999185241013 |
| 7 | 9563 | 9434.35034089968 | -10.0342463289384 | 125.601634726453 | 1.31902540905375 |
| 8 | 9998 | 9698.06426815202 | -5.32959008439349 | 295.180012471998 | 2.05147092821893 |
| 9 | 9437 | 9674.89458065279 | -5.62085046102419 | -237.584715886029 | -0.133579165574056 |
| 10 | 10038 | 9807.96279120464 | -3.34319558001558 | 227.631652073530 | 1.03724338622322 |
| 11 | 9918 | 9889.11386429406 | -1.93755181317969 | 27.4222804527869 | 0.631414668717427 |
| 12 | 9252 | 9667.91369803597 | -5.59677101946833 | -412.117084956487 | -1.63793928486377 |
| 13 | 9737 | 9552.08919683104 | -3.60384830364244 | 186.876824343213 | -0.86796446389266 |
| 14 | 9035 | 9409.59461289113 | -2.67899179874603 | -372.133903984141 | -1.07956785129385 |
| 15 | 9133 | 9311.85888699227 | -4.16496377652654 | -177.353888196247 | -0.67263041852816 |
| 16 | 9487 | 9154.6991129672 | -8.33751560952523 | 334.592068482095 | -1.05060412474450 |
| 17 | 8700 | 9193.57962658768 | -6.97757667942651 | -494.303900122535 | 0.333396634245948 |
| 18 | 9627 | 9253.45705313334 | -5.30704495076988 | 372.475976880336 | 0.487335939269192 |
| 19 | 8947 | 9171.22145721854 | -6.84965694819369 | -222.962111985044 | -0.570806365140045 |
| 20 | 9283 | 9097.54473044052 | -7.9282844438071 | 186.562558772713 | -0.499507926303598 |
| 21 | 8829 | 9105.00140503028 | -7.72068337088595 | -276.257614638981 | 0.115271254865714 |
| 22 | 9947 | 9330.41241252412 | -5.08131169335917 | 612.697515391466 | 1.74693468698770 |
| 23 | 9628 | 9424.01713036317 | -4.23441714346645 | 202.334230294573 | 0.739005531424524 |
| 24 | 9318 | 9518.23854501278 | -3.76445656788943 | -201.887755172809 | 0.738190425668709 |
| 25 | 9605 | 9459.6764990432 | -3.82879668964206 | 146.246535934106 | -0.413027727127945 |
| 26 | 8640 | 9244.04419693524 | -4.56210826835633 | -600.507662320528 | -1.58337128262167 |
| 27 | 9214 | 9214.61938780211 | -4.81080269738311 | -0.216560409926335 | -0.181339244605956 |
| 28 | 9567 | 9224.51118253601 | -4.57455968023359 | 342.25676058547 | 0.105428869742625 |
| 29 | 8547 | 9155.4886485682 | -5.80592525102668 | -607.47431171241 | -0.463530804487792 |
| 30 | 9185 | 8982.93759019902 | -8.99015439781354 | 204.723302297932 | -1.21609902294576 |
| 31 | 9470 | 9195.9541349013 | -5.17658585074512 | 270.445224017985 | 1.64062702511872 |
| 32 | 9123 | 9183.67746128691 | -5.27971708127399 | -60.5609704574843 | -0.0528942848586842 |
| 33 | 9278 | 9382.2031240767 | -2.87382163726794 | -107.568470816054 | 1.52369097697964 |
| 34 | 10170 | 9524.10444499342 | -1.54094165229579 | 643.497644316276 | 1.08335330561814 |
| 35 | 9434 | 9459.83617457115 | -1.96760262952293 | -24.7956415240818 | -0.469416342075148 |
| 36 | 9655 | 9554.21997360096 | -1.49236275282901 | 99.1802314548596 | 0.721127399788619 |
| 37 | 9429 | 9426.43987264545 | -2.04200722937082 | 4.65470651173262 | -0.943949209605843 |
| 38 | 8739 | 9354.03907144591 | -2.44798555611793 | -613.880376278443 | -0.522600930760403 |
| 39 | 9552 | 9400.48683975417 | -2.02101862661404 | 150.718561101300 | 0.35935310438646 |
| 40 | 9687 | 9364.4635244278 | -2.42525722468452 | 323.0822973172 | -0.247867870689966 |
| 41 | 9019 | 9439.23652410943 | -1.34166618786891 | -421.470948589159 | 0.562508893296961 |
| 42 | 9672 | 9526.30772242682 | -0.0434007403760955 | 144.271582359633 | 0.648134938879188 |
| 43 | 9206 | 9354.36176555553 | -2.44614244313665 | -145.574980077923 | -1.27009877550764 |
| 44 | 9069 | 9291.78361543161 | -3.19031980157339 | -221.800829933417 | -0.446996838873957 |
| 45 | 9788 | 9527.2780010181 | -0.716325423929073 | 256.799394051602 | 1.78030332470969 |
| 46 | 10312 | 9624.43180272987 | 0.0997096557668707 | 685.954791821256 | 0.731002105273374 |
| 47 | 10105 | 9836.13464042212 | 1.50139418927993 | 265.371823556222 | 1.58104225512828 |
| 48 | 9863 | 9824.4503644363 | 1.42816634468154 | 38.7673703806751 | -0.0984793462368908 |
| 49 | 9656 | 9747.286363208 | 1.00202236663603 | -89.9909935668874 | -0.585846269053593 |
| 50 | 9295 | 9801.81202975727 | 1.34029273272877 | -507.689899547002 | 0.397289413220854 |
| 51 | 9946 | 9816.19904503698 | 1.44415573243535 | 129.588506984519 | 0.0962975321299138 |
| 52 | 9701 | 9676.9935877035 | 0.0708043166825023 | 26.2818444387936 | -1.03367139621804 |
| 53 | 9049 | 9569.02885731826 | -1.13267721713387 | -518.285700753553 | -0.793427719629616 |
| 54 | 10190 | 9686.2518677463 | 0.255068536707771 | 501.8347698235 | 0.87169897914784 |
| 55 | 9706 | 9795.08127075988 | 1.49910586267001 | -90.8449107253607 | 0.80323867926703 |
| 56 | 9765 | 9964.849448068 | 3.26747801761584 | -202.597015998292 | 1.24993666724777 |
| 57 | 9893 | 9928.37926227584 | 2.90299520624118 | -34.727741819565 | -0.295978019126401 |
| 58 | 9994 | 9736.87230358708 | 1.39266123286321 | 260.323497899433 | -1.45002304740247 |
| 59 | 10433 | 9841.17960383238 | 2.07165022719497 | 590.126436900106 | 0.767925760346507 |
| 60 | 10073 | 9924.93315908742 | 2.55379055226267 | 146.722325099137 | 0.609228534708351 |
| 61 | 10112 | 10052.8074290842 | 3.28444383430520 | 57.1328618713552 | 0.933264996691682 |
| 62 | 9266 | 9964.62261716207 | 2.70151742228969 | -697.124074751948 | -0.679309531053419 |
| 63 | 9820 | 9805.67637977983 | 1.51435467012268 | 16.9607325809287 | -1.19659604466942 |
| 64 | 10097 | 9863.90723044062 | 1.99248522598743 | 232.170938655058 | 0.418815616005065 |
| 65 | 9115 | 9841.33251937244 | 1.76394392356767 | -725.933900660862 | -0.181313146896724 |
| 66 | 10411 | 9901.65576116466 | 2.33360759523426 | 508.393293995989 | 0.432805119386746 |
| 67 | 9678 | 9895.09212324138 | 2.24798389845139 | -216.947256592625 | -0.0659276055973027 |
| 68 | 10408 | 10131.5254535969 | 4.36862516981357 | 272.649064651575 | 1.73983212739908 |
| 69 | 10153 | 10180.0090138092 | 4.7301202823308 | -27.7317050180063 | 0.328389718555463 |
| 70 | 10368 | 10200.9401338470 | 4.84774719815622 | 166.793929590140 | 0.120738774353953 |
| 71 | 10581 | 10156.2694936505 | 4.52735315252525 | 425.544193645666 | -0.369189195693014 |
| 72 | 10597 | 10266.9873704625 | 5.16385994100877 | 328.267620411163 | 0.791469925792096 |
| 73 | 10680 | 10388.5868128448 | 5.85328339486479 | 289.501799547680 | 0.866897317561849 |
| 74 | 9738 | 10404.4026099619 | 5.9154121077354 | -666.565820141497 | 0.0740447124641135 |
| 75 | 9556 | 10104.9821642460 | 3.83257015297632 | -543.992788832738 | -2.26492225140974 |
