| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 0.365156398722266 |
| beta | FALSE |
| gamma | FALSE |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 2 | 30 | 37 | -7 |
| 3 | 47 | 34.4439052089441 | 12.5560947910559 |
| 4 | 35 | 39.0288435648615 | -4.0288435648615 |
| 5 | 30 | 37.5576855577013 | -7.5576855577013 |
| 6 | 43 | 34.7979483167758 | 8.20205168322419 |
| 7 | 82 | 37.7929799715559 | 44.2070200284441 |
| 8 | 40 | 53.9354562033856 | -13.9354562033856 |
| 9 | 47 | 48.8468352016055 | -1.84683520160546 |
| 10 | 19 | 48.1724515103537 | -29.1724515103537 |
| 11 | 52 | 37.519944174933 | 14.480055825067 |
| 12 | 136 | 42.8074292133118 | 93.1925707866882 |
| 13 | 80 | 76.8372927494488 | 3.16270725055122 |
| 14 | 42 | 77.9921755392729 | -35.9921755392729 |
| 15 | 54 | 64.8494023371723 | -10.8494023371723 |
| 16 | 66 | 60.8876736514415 | 5.11232634855845 |
| 17 | 81 | 62.7544723299741 | 18.2455276700259 |
| 18 | 63 | 69.4169435067482 | -6.41694350674823 |
| 19 | 137 | 67.0737555250198 | 69.9262444749802 |
| 20 | 72 | 92.6077711336764 | -20.6077711336764 |
| 21 | 107 | 85.0827116408104 | 21.9172883591896 |
| 22 | 58 | 93.0859497278095 | -35.0859497278095 |
| 23 | 36 | 80.2740906794521 | -44.2740906794521 |
| 24 | 52 | 64.1071231702403 | -12.1071231702403 |
| 25 | 79 | 59.6861296745085 | 19.3138703254915 |
| 26 | 77 | 66.7387130079538 | 10.2612869920462 |
| 27 | 54 | 70.485687612225 | -16.4856876122250 |
| 28 | 84 | 64.4658332932847 | 19.5341667067153 |
| 29 | 48 | 71.5988592599492 | -23.5988592599492 |
| 30 | 96 | 62.9815847986326 | 33.0184152013674 |
| 31 | 83 | 75.0384703850804 | 7.96152961491958 |
| 32 | 66 | 77.9456738675851 | -11.9456738675851 |
| 33 | 61 | 73.583634617787 | -12.5836346177871 |
| 34 | 53 | 68.9886399179191 | -15.9886399179191 |
| 35 | 30 | 63.1502857450247 | -33.1502857450247 |
| 36 | 74 | 51.0452467857574 | 22.9547532142426 |
| 37 | 69 | 59.4273218030286 | 9.5726781969714 |
| 38 | 59 | 62.9228464995618 | -3.92284649956183 |
| 39 | 42 | 61.4903939990416 | -19.4903939990416 |
| 40 | 65 | 54.3733519166735 | 10.6266480833265 |
| 41 | 70 | 58.2537404612699 | 11.7462595387301 |
| 42 | 100 | 62.5429622928896 | 37.4570377071104 |
| 43 | 63 | 76.2206392888222 | -13.2206392888222 |
| 44 | 105 | 71.3930382573098 | 33.6069617426902 |
| 45 | 82 | 83.6648353792675 | -1.66483537926752 |
| 46 | 81 | 83.0569100877088 | -2.05691008770877 |
| 47 | 75 | 82.3058162075855 | -7.30581620758554 |
| 48 | 102 | 79.6380506714968 | 22.3619493285032 |
| 49 | 121 | 87.8036595567029 | 33.1963404432971 |
| 50 | 98 | 99.9255156837356 | -1.92551568373557 |
| 51 | 76 | 99.2224013109794 | -23.2224013109794 |
| 52 | 77 | 90.742592878579 | -13.7425928785790 |
| 53 | 63 | 85.7243971539308 | -22.7243971539308 |
| 54 | 37 | 77.4264381260669 | -40.4264381260669 |
| 55 | 35 | 62.6644655667838 | -27.6644655667838 |
| 56 | 23 | 52.5626089478409 | -29.5626089478409 |
| 57 | 40 | 41.7676331276127 | -1.76763312761265 |
| 58 | 29 | 41.1221705804714 | -12.1221705804714 |
| 59 | 37 | 36.6956824266095 | 0.30431757339052 |
| 60 | 51 | 36.8068059357767 | 14.1931940642233 |
| 61 | 20 | 41.9895415666347 | -21.9895415666347 |
| 62 | 28 | 33.9599197586088 | -5.95991975860879 |
| 63 | 13 | 31.7836169228815 | -18.7836169228815 |
| 64 | 22 | 24.9246590123435 | -2.92465901234348 |
| 65 | 25 | 23.8567010599055 | 1.14329894009448 |
| 66 | 13 | 24.2741839835334 | -11.2741839835334 |
| 67 | 16 | 20.1573435615741 | -4.15734356157409 |
| 68 | 13 | 18.6392629583785 | -5.6392629583785 |
| 69 | 16 | 16.5800500050491 | -0.580050005049131 |
| 70 | 17 | 16.3682410341266 | 0.631758965873445 |
| 71 | 9 | 16.5989318629654 | -7.5989318629654 |
| 72 | 17 | 13.8241332697491 | 3.17586673025092 |
| 73 | 25 | 14.9838213277894 | 10.0161786722106 |
| 74 | 14 | 18.6412930606926 | -4.64129306069257 |
| 75 | 8 | 16.9464952012354 | -8.94649520123542 |
| 76 | 7 | 13.6796252323663 | -6.67962523236626 |
| 77 | 10 | 11.240517337701 | -1.24051733770101 |
| 78 | 7 | 10.7875344941136 | -3.78753449411358 |
| 79 | 10 | 9.4044920382067 | 0.595507961793299 |
| 80 | 3 | 9.62194558094558 | -6.62194558094558 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 81 | 7.20389978007267 | -36.9330002321243 | 51.3407997922696 |
| 82 | 7.20389978007267 | -39.7835399067165 | 54.1913394668618 |
| 83 | 7.20389978007267 | -42.4707721760925 | 56.8785717362378 |
| 84 | 7.20389978007267 | -45.019912600733 | 59.4277121608784 |
| 85 | 7.20389978007267 | -47.4502869325532 | 61.8580864926985 |
| 86 | 7.20389978007267 | -49.7770941639746 | 64.1848937241199 |
| 87 | 7.20389978007267 | -52.0125440213287 | 66.420343581474 |
| 88 | 7.20389978007267 | -54.1666205217587 | 68.574420081904 |
| 89 | 7.20389978007267 | -56.24761168932 | 70.6554112494653 |
| 90 | 7.20389978007267 | -58.2624874227007 | 72.670286982846 |
| 91 | 7.20389978007267 | -60.2171755526185 | 74.6249751127638 |
| 92 | 7.20389978007267 | -62.1167677343807 | 76.524567294526 |
