| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 13328 | 13328 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 12873 | 13200.6094372576 | 3.82152215418458 | -327.60943725757 | -1.30910910455104 |
| 3 | 14000 | 13460.2527133782 | 21.9988103836074 | 539.747286621803 | 1.31766718817925 |
| 4 | 13477 | 13535.9869368475 | 26.2778514725775 | -58.9869368475091 | 0.3119018951803 |
| 5 | 14237 | 13789.3806876074 | 42.1621864062807 | 447.619312392624 | 1.58143678363955 |
| 6 | 13674 | 13834.0785468328 | 42.304813576799 | -160.078546832798 | 0.0192401175127454 |
| 7 | 13529 | 13756.1941745728 | 36.7695778352094 | -227.194174572758 | -0.93687477922123 |
| 8 | 14058 | 13824.1080929226 | 38.0413651349866 | 233.891907077372 | 0.243932780905403 |
| 9 | 12975 | 13582.4984397516 | 27.0308655431981 | -607.498439751644 | -2.18563522321182 |
| 10 | 14326 | 13729.7470794416 | 31.8415148666767 | 596.252920558447 | 0.935635145334216 |
| 11 | 14008 | 13869.9950067205 | 36.3416212726261 | 138.004993279452 | 0.83989232790268 |
| 12 | 16193 | 14657.7510264205 | 68.7545235229206 | 1535.24897357951 | 5.79778333316117 |
| 13 | 14483 | 14940.9680163699 | 73.3764539119965 | -457.968016369885 | 1.70441853624671 |
| 14 | 14011 | 14973.3046882258 | 72.3101107570872 | -962.304688225774 | -0.329014378964596 |
| 15 | 15057 | 14910.2035272358 | 66.739967786076 | 146.796472764226 | -1.01366319307546 |
| 16 | 14884 | 14966.7659653310 | 66.2089827983878 | -82.7659653309797 | -0.0721838684600287 |
| 17 | 15414 | 14983.3845969918 | 63.3965754736545 | 430.615403008248 | -0.352180429765533 |
| 18 | 14440 | 14841.9012627879 | 51.7595341466996 | -401.901262787872 | -1.49386554764302 |
| 19 | 14900 | 14877.5720564015 | 50.8778982616844 | 22.4279435984515 | -0.119893630636551 |
| 20 | 15074 | 14855.2826272591 | 47.0432538657153 | 218.717372740914 | -0.550703589224719 |
| 21 | 14442 | 14996.1384405196 | 51.7709122935584 | -554.1384405196 | 0.707320665841406 |
| 22 | 15307 | 15086.8738753966 | 53.6729327269379 | 220.126124603381 | 0.29317698821905 |
| 23 | 14938 | 15227.8675540081 | 57.8168114646312 | -289.867554008074 | 0.655223717116413 |
| 24 | 17193 | 15465.1878777777 | 66.1186128352358 | 1727.81212222226 | 1.34613900460798 |
| 25 | 15528 | 15699.3568542632 | 73.7849643858837 | -171.356854263205 | 1.26383314497992 |
| 26 | 14765 | 15768.8968999814 | 73.5864325978395 | -1003.89689998135 | -0.0318767913317064 |
| 27 | 15838 | 15770.2250992424 | 70.0227966170759 | 67.7749007576431 | -0.53598968203871 |
| 28 | 15723 | 15767.7940083264 | 66.2585553298344 | -44.794008326355 | -0.529666835606198 |
| 29 | 16150 | 15725.5497829904 | 60.4284412968454 | 424.450217009605 | -0.78914526021634 |
| 30 | 15486 | 15780.1551270154 | 60.111468623206 | -294.155127015362 | -0.0425722754290249 |
| 31 | 15986 | 15877.2286372816 | 62.1175757953697 | 108.771362718440 | 0.272499822725137 |
| 32 | 15983 | 15928.5477713487 | 61.5386762271114 | 54.4522286513501 | -0.0800430636830513 |
| 33 | 15692 | 16100.191460463 | 67.3471799287255 | -408.191460463015 | 0.816985506429388 |
| 34 | 16490 | 16281.8355610457 | 73.2823838806303 | 208.164438954255 | 0.846804441462566 |
| 35 | 15686 | 16325.1009876591 | 71.7432917911031 | -639.100987659145 | -0.222069430077944 |
| 36 | 18897 | 16660.8620174335 | 85.1830508029185 | 2236.13798256650 | 1.95350170875901 |
| 37 | 16316 | 16722.8204669242 | 84.000666347788 | -406.820466924182 | -0.172016459264779 |
| 38 | 15636 | 16713.576603162 | 79.2163022303728 | -1077.57660316201 | -0.690270569590547 |
| 39 | 17163 | 16831.7752724910 | 81.242312767349 | 331.224727508973 | 0.287597218590611 |
| 40 | 16534 | 16796.0358076532 | 75.0806559430563 | -262.035807653178 | -0.859203182183173 |
| 41 | 16518 | 16595.7632142207 | 60.4294612260057 | -77.763214220708 | -2.01772361813529 |
| 42 | 16375 | 16599.693468089 | 57.407487084985 | -224.693468089016 | -0.414444134280058 |
| 43 | 16290 | 16513.5740559767 | 49.7272941782886 | -223.574055976672 | -1.05580442807704 |
| 44 | 16352 | 16484.4588334822 | 45.5216189412185 | -132.458833482220 | -0.581264011985356 |
| 45 | 15943 | 16491.1324007676 | 43.4599349205430 | -548.132400767599 | -0.286540543738518 |
| 46 | 16362 | 16429.6654830839 | 37.9219342010331 | -67.6654830839178 | -0.773357579733872 |
| 47 | 16393 | 16668.1805407113 | 48.4616659078146 | -275.180540711343 | 1.47741432595823 |
| 48 | 19051 | 16787.4626057314 | 52.1734880458952 | 2263.53739426862 | 0.521644691090645 |
| 49 | 16747 | 16927.7722858374 | 56.792677707048 | -180.772285837419 | 0.649525131657709 |
| 50 | 16320 | 17113.1041709358 | 63.5441761274461 | -793.104170935786 | 0.947301688069572 |
| 51 | 17910 | 17270.6207288139 | 68.4977148282845 | 639.37927118609 | 0.691872668321675 |
| 52 | 16961 | 17247.865414159 | 63.6692206290222 | -286.865414158987 | -0.67085706019038 |
| 53 | 17480 | 17325.0680271422 | 64.387494933109 | 154.931972857768 | 0.0993994143963147 |
| 54 | 17049 | 17312.0277700904 | 60.2709331837657 | -263.027770090449 | -0.568790491786287 |
| 55 | 16879 | 17242.3233036095 | 53.3581514597171 | -363.323303609512 | -0.955697068414683 |
| 56 | 17473 | 17351.4634175885 | 56.3226004544241 | 121.536582411467 | 0.410502924565005 |
| 57 | 16998 | 17478.6719499631 | 60.0840640137906 | -480.671949963101 | 0.521762688225939 |
| 58 | 17307 | 17568.3842365943 | 61.6535247190075 | -261.384236594274 | 0.21801502975952 |
| 59 | 17418 | 17693.2389687566 | 64.9964281204076 | -275.238968756617 | 0.464906342198786 |
| 60 | 20169 | 17860.1592058931 | 70.3827072212431 | 2308.8407941069 | 0.749748252953783 |
| 61 | 17871 | 18029.5453045586 | 75.6140177325728 | -158.545304558606 | 0.728434546245092 |
| 62 | 17226 | 18110.4401782058 | 75.8932174272593 | -884.44017820575 | 0.0388587135122467 |
| 63 | 19062 | 18234.4700924258 | 78.4407947006641 | 827.529907574154 | 0.354115600480104 |
| 64 | 17804 | 18242.0991811425 | 74.6889953333371 | -438.099181142517 | -0.5206638162686 |
| 65 | 19100 | 18466.8231526109 | 82.6455779130433 | 633.17684738915 | 1.10276967932766 |
| 66 | 18522 | 18650.0223960451 | 87.9810633800512 | -128.022396045076 | 0.739082059332285 |
| 67 | 18060 | 18689.5254785853 | 85.4083722329187 | -629.525478585296 | -0.356426798586708 |
| 68 | 18869 | 18776.5956209151 | 85.4965441245846 | 92.4043790848557 | 0.0122216771278885 |
| 69 | 18127 | 18804.5205746809 | 82.4431636156105 | -677.520574680931 | -0.423455696205232 |
| 70 | 18871 | 18980.9130448494 | 87.4232641499781 | -109.913044849424 | 0.690945687987493 |
| 71 | 18890 | 19161.2263215723 | 92.3448685963206 | -271.226321572337 | 0.683059514657614 |
| 72 | 21263 | 19208.3400094435 | 89.9491158256927 | 2054.65999055652 | -0.332598175819422 |
| 73 | 19547 | 19420.0261666712 | 96.3966483906145 | 126.973833328821 | 0.895250386793068 |
| 74 | 18450 | 19505.2332207222 | 95.8039317238105 | -1055.23322072221 | -0.0822934402494889 |
| 75 | 20254 | 19548.7933697156 | 93.0357655513966 | 705.206630284366 | -0.384200720802587 |
| 76 | 19240 | 19679.9058509455 | 95.0539453246925 | -439.905850945503 | 0.279969699295708 |
| 77 | 20216 | 19740.4698601584 | 93.2253639804314 | 475.530139841585 | -0.253560638247648 |
| 78 | 19420 | 19722.5541414544 | 87.3318635868154 | -302.554141454413 | -0.817063950179949 |
| 79 | 19415 | 19854.6259641145 | 89.7044383627577 | -439.625964114513 | 0.328941624394363 |
| 80 | 20018 | 19957.1130735495 | 90.3822767657258 | 60.8869264504966 | 0.0939926577936619 |
| 81 | 18652 | 19856.4044426176 | 80.250344656764 | -1204.40444261761 | -1.40517312873333 |
| 82 | 19978 | 19952.8812924082 | 81.110564210887 | 25.1187075918029 | 0.119315648765566 |
| 83 | 19509 | 19964.5283450925 | 77.428629017943 | -455.52834509247 | -0.510744834039157 |
| 84 | 21971 | 20006.5733932436 | 75.5533064547859 | 1964.42660675644 | -0.260161365412173 |
