Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 671 | 0 | 68 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 4143 | 3871.47516036174 | -220.568010218765 | 4635.09284985702 | -271.524839638259 |
2 | 4429 | 4394.70259531546 | -231.193654122217 | 4694.49105880675 | -34.2974046845366 |
3 | 5219 | 5262.93009983569 | 421.180632407827 | 4753.88926775649 | 43.9300998356875 |
4 | 4929 | 5054.37852038574 | -10.8564093841818 | 4814.47788899844 | 125.378520385741 |
5 | 5761 | 6485.16076900691 | 161.772720752698 | 4875.06651024039 | 724.160769006908 |
6 | 5592 | 5556.91492740793 | 688.523090707656 | 4938.56198188442 | -35.0850725920718 |
7 | 4163 | 3717.50211572868 | -393.559569257112 | 5002.05745352843 | -445.497884271324 |
8 | 4962 | 4931.90893280773 | -71.3877480359692 | 5063.47881522824 | -30.0910671922675 |
9 | 5208 | 5297.70746824975 | -6.60764517779159 | 5124.90017692804 | 89.7074682497532 |
10 | 4755 | 4164.893806175 | 184.644740723471 | 5160.46145310152 | -590.106193824996 |
11 | 4491 | 4246.28084937448 | -460.303578649493 | 5196.02272927501 | -244.719150625519 |
12 | 5732 | 6319.00550538658 | -61.6444530155693 | 5206.63894762899 | 587.005505386583 |
13 | 5731 | 6465.3128442358 | -220.568010218765 | 5217.25516598296 | 734.312844235803 |
14 | 5040 | 5092.44664747826 | -231.193654122217 | 5218.74700664396 | 52.4466474782612 |
15 | 6102 | 6562.58052028722 | 421.180632407827 | 5220.23884730495 | 460.580520287222 |
16 | 4904 | 4625.15266883753 | -10.8564093841818 | 5193.70374054665 | -278.847331162467 |
17 | 5369 | 5409.05864545896 | 161.772720752698 | 5167.16863378835 | 40.0586454589566 |
18 | 5578 | 5360.53254622905 | 688.523090707656 | 5106.94436306329 | -217.467453770945 |
19 | 4619 | 4584.83947691888 | -393.559569257112 | 5046.72009233823 | -34.1605230811192 |
20 | 4731 | 4557.8892177834 | -71.3877480359692 | 4975.49853025257 | -173.110782216600 |
21 | 5011 | 5124.33067701088 | -6.60764517779159 | 4904.27696816691 | 113.330677010885 |
22 | 5299 | 5576.21617558004 | 184.644740723471 | 4837.13908369649 | 277.21617558004 |
23 | 4146 | 3982.30237942342 | -460.303578649493 | 4770.00119922607 | -163.697620576578 |
24 | 4625 | 4599.28076795807 | -61.6444530155693 | 4712.3636850575 | -25.7192320419272 |
25 | 4736 | 5037.84183932984 | -220.568010218765 | 4654.72617088892 | 301.841839329842 |
26 | 4219 | 4059.03083275339 | -231.193654122217 | 4610.16282136882 | -159.969167246607 |
27 | 5116 | 5245.21989574345 | 421.180632407827 | 4565.59947184873 | 129.219895743447 |
28 | 4205 | 3879.50120099464 | -10.8564093841818 | 4541.35520838954 | -325.498799005363 |
29 | 4121 | 3563.11633431694 | 161.772720752698 | 4517.11094493036 | -557.883665683062 |
30 | 5103 | 5007.09719274271 | 688.523090707656 | 4510.37971654963 | -95.9028072572873 |
31 | 4300 | 4489.91108108821 | -393.559569257112 | 4503.6484881689 | 189.911081088213 |
32 | 4578 | 4716.31039835546 | -71.3877480359692 | 4511.07734968051 | 138.310398355458 |
33 | 3809 | 3106.10143398567 | -6.60764517779159 | 4518.50621119212 | -702.898566014332 |
34 | 5657 | 6607.21037050831 | 184.644740723471 | 4522.14488876822 | 950.210370508313 |
35 | 4248 | 4430.52001230518 | -460.303578649493 | 4525.78356634431 | 182.520012305183 |
36 | 3830 | 3214.26864620857 | -61.6444530155693 | 4507.375806807 | -615.731353791432 |
37 | 4736 | 5203.59996294907 | -220.568010218765 | 4488.96804726969 | 467.599962949073 |
38 | 4839 | 5458.95790569163 | -231.193654122217 | 4450.23574843059 | 619.957905691629 |
39 | 4411 | 3989.31591800069 | 421.180632407827 | 4411.50344959149 | -421.684081999313 |
40 | 4570 | 4776.73246852715 | -10.8564093841818 | 4374.12394085703 | 206.732468527147 |
41 | 4104 | 3709.48284712472 | 161.772720752698 | 4336.74443212258 | -394.51715287528 |
42 | 4801 | 4614.34378394175 | 688.523090707656 | 4299.13312535059 | -186.656216058249 |
43 | 3953 | 4038.03775067851 | -393.559569257112 | 4261.5218185786 | 85.037750678508 |
44 | 3828 | 3516.86607031913 | -71.3877480359692 | 4210.52167771684 | -311.133929680871 |
45 | 4440 | 4727.08610832271 | -6.60764517779159 | 4159.52153685508 | 287.086108322713 |
46 | 4026 | 3757.24924513005 | 184.644740723471 | 4110.10601414648 | -268.750754869949 |
47 | 4109 | 4617.61308721162 | -460.303578649493 | 4060.69049143788 | 508.613087211615 |
48 | 4785 | 5606.26612056686 | -61.6444530155693 | 4025.37833244871 | 821.266120566858 |
49 | 3224 | 2678.50183675922 | -220.568010218765 | 3990.06617345955 | -545.498163240781 |
50 | 3552 | 3369.00956836937 | -231.193654122217 | 3966.18408575285 | -182.990431630632 |
51 | 3940 | 3516.51736954602 | 421.180632407827 | 3942.30199804615 | -423.482630453979 |
52 | 3913 | 3924.1072736962 | -10.8564093841818 | 3912.74913568798 | 11.1072736961996 |
53 | 3681 | 3317.03100591749 | 161.772720752698 | 3883.19627332981 | -363.96899408251 |
54 | 4309 | 4070.57973178157 | 688.523090707656 | 3858.89717751077 | -238.420268218425 |
55 | 3830 | 4218.96148756539 | -393.559569257112 | 3834.59808169173 | 388.961487565385 |
56 | 4143 | 4490.81610428449 | -71.3877480359692 | 3866.57164375147 | 347.816104284494 |
57 | 4087 | 4282.06243936657 | -6.60764517779159 | 3898.54520581122 | 195.062439366568 |
58 | 3818 | 3436.95954665671 | 184.644740723471 | 4014.39571261982 | -381.040453343293 |
59 | 3380 | 3090.05735922107 | -460.303578649493 | 4130.24621942842 | -289.942640778929 |
60 | 3430 | 2645.4888599645 | -61.6444530155693 | 4276.15559305107 | -784.511140035501 |
61 | 3458 | 2714.50304354505 | -220.568010218765 | 4422.06496667372 | -743.496956454954 |
62 | 3970 | 3605.87710975259 | -231.193654122217 | 4565.31654436962 | -364.122890247407 |
63 | 5260 | 5390.25124552664 | 421.180632407827 | 4708.56812206553 | 130.251245526643 |
64 | 5024 | 5197.22505966818 | -10.8564093841818 | 4861.631349716 | 173.225059668184 |
65 | 5634 | 6091.53270188084 | 161.772720752698 | 5014.69457736646 | 457.532701880838 |
66 | 6549 | 7228.86339776774 | 688.523090707656 | 5180.61351152461 | 679.863397767736 |
67 | 4676 | 4399.02712357436 | -393.559569257112 | 5346.53244568275 | -276.972876425638 |