Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[60])
4869-------
4960-------
5056-------
5158-------
5250-------
5351-------
5453-------
5537-------
5622-------
5755-------
5870-------
5962-------
6058-------
613952.800135.529870.07030.05870.27750.20690.2775
624952.435.129769.67030.34980.93580.34140.2625
635865.799948.529783.07020.1880.97170.8120.812
644750.833.529768.07030.33310.20690.53620.2069
654251.233.929768.47020.14820.68320.50910.2201
666259.241.929776.47020.37530.97450.75920.5542
673938.799921.529756.07020.49090.00420.58090.0147
684028.411.129745.67020.0940.11450.76624e-04
697254.837.529772.07020.02550.95350.49090.3582
707062.645.329779.87030.20050.1430.20050.6992
715448.431.129865.67030.26250.00710.06140.138
726555.438.129872.67030.1380.56310.3840.384


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
610.1669-0.26140190.441700
620.1682-0.06490.163111.56101.000810.0499
630.1339-0.11850.148360.83987.61359.3602
640.1735-0.07480.129914.439969.32018.3259
650.1721-0.17970.139984.639172.38398.5079
660.14880.04730.12447.840161.62667.8503
670.22710.00520.10740.0452.82857.2683
680.31030.40850.145134.560963.04517.9401
690.16080.31390.1638295.841488.91139.4293
700.14080.11820.159254.759985.49629.2464
710.18210.11570.155331.359580.57478.9763
720.1590.17330.156892.159681.54019.03