Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[108])
96	2422	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
97	1376	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
98	2202	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
99	2683	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
100	3303	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
101	5202	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
102	5231	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
103	4880	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
104	7998	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
105	4977	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
106	3531	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
107	2025	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
108	2205	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
109	1442	1483.4555	1337.6269	1654.4995	0.3174	0	0.8909	0
110	2238	2204.7719	1942.176	2524.4614	0.4193	1	0.5068	0.4994
111	2179	2409.6871	2107.762	2781.4563	0.112	0.8173	0.0748	0.8597
112	3218	3420.9514	2896.5945	4101.7333	0.2795	0.9998	0.6329	0.9998
113	5139	4831.8094	3968.4374	6010.9376	0.3048	0.9963	0.2692	1
114	4990	5090.9604	4156.0357	6380.8741	0.439	0.4709	0.4157	1
115	4914	5041.2615	4116.2101	6317.1631	0.4225	0.5314	0.5978	1
116	6084	6513.886	5180.7515	8436.5267	0.3306	0.9486	0.0651	1
117	5672	5139.0252	4186.6685	6457.5441	0.2141	0.0801	0.5952	1
118	3548	3194.6557	2713.4109	3816.278	0.1326	0	0.1445	0.9991
119	1793	1920.5874	1690.2991	2201.3558	0.1866	0	0.233	0.0235
120	2086	2255.1041	1964.2812	2615.6406	0.179	0.994	0.6073	0.6073

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
109	0.0588	-0.0279	0	1718.5612	0	0
110	0.074	0.0151	0.0215	1104.1099	1411.3355	37.5677
111	0.0787	-0.0957	0.0462	53216.5368	18679.7359	136.6738
112	0.1015	-0.0593	0.0495	41189.2553	24307.1158	155.9074
113	0.1245	0.0636	0.0523	94366.0856	38318.9097	195.7522
114	0.1293	-0.0198	0.0469	10193.0058	33631.2591	183.3883
115	0.1291	-0.0252	0.0438	16195.4832	31140.434	176.4665
116	0.1506	-0.066	0.0466	184801.991	50348.1286	224.3839
117	0.1309	0.1037	0.0529	284062.1715	76316.3556	276.2542
118	0.0993	0.1106	0.0587	124852.1765	81169.9377	284.9034
119	0.0746	-0.0664	0.0594	16278.5495	75270.7206	274.3551
120	0.0816	-0.075	0.0607	28596.1909	71381.1764	267.1726