Goodness of Fit | |
Correlation | 0.9643 |
R-squared | 0.9299 |
RMSE | 2061.7021 |
Actuals, Predictions, and Residuals | |||
# | Actuals | Forecasts | Residuals |
1 | 40399 | 42347.5625 | -1948.5625 |
2 | 36763 | 37993.6470588235 | -1230.64705882353 |
3 | 37903 | 37993.6470588235 | -90.6470588235316 |
4 | 35532 | 37993.6470588235 | -2461.64705882353 |
5 | 35533 | 33985 | 1548 |
6 | 32110 | 33985 | -1875 |
7 | 33374 | 33985 | -611 |
8 | 35462 | 33985 | 1477 |
9 | 33508 | 33985 | -477 |
10 | 36080 | 33985 | 2095 |
11 | 34560 | 33985 | 575 |
12 | 38737 | 33985 | 4752 |
13 | 38144 | 37993.6470588235 | 150.352941176468 |
14 | 37594 | 37993.6470588235 | -399.647058823532 |
15 | 36424 | 37993.6470588235 | -1569.64705882353 |
16 | 36843 | 37993.6470588235 | -1150.64705882353 |
17 | 37246 | 37993.6470588235 | -747.647058823532 |
18 | 38661 | 37993.6470588235 | 667.352941176468 |
19 | 40454 | 37993.6470588235 | 2460.35294117647 |
20 | 44928 | 42347.5625 | 2580.4375 |
21 | 48441 | 46626.8888888889 | 1814.11111111111 |
22 | 48140 | 46626.8888888889 | 1513.11111111111 |
23 | 45998 | 46626.8888888889 | -628.88888888889 |
24 | 47369 | 46626.8888888889 | 742.11111111111 |
25 | 49554 | 46626.8888888889 | 2927.11111111111 |
26 | 47510 | 46626.8888888889 | 883.11111111111 |
27 | 44873 | 46626.8888888889 | -1753.88888888889 |
28 | 45344 | 46626.8888888889 | -1282.88888888889 |
29 | 42413 | 46626.8888888889 | -4213.88888888889 |
30 | 36912 | 42347.5625 | -5435.5625 |
31 | 43452 | 37993.6470588235 | 5458.35294117647 |
32 | 42142 | 42347.5625 | -205.5625 |
33 | 44382 | 42347.5625 | 2034.4375 |
34 | 43636 | 42347.5625 | 1288.4375 |
35 | 44167 | 42347.5625 | 1819.4375 |
36 | 44423 | 42347.5625 | 2075.4375 |
37 | 42868 | 42347.5625 | 520.4375 |
38 | 43908 | 42347.5625 | 1560.4375 |
39 | 42013 | 42347.5625 | -334.5625 |
40 | 38846 | 42347.5625 | -3501.5625 |
41 | 35087 | 37993.6470588235 | -2906.64705882353 |
42 | 33026 | 33985 | -959 |
43 | 34646 | 33985 | 661 |
44 | 37135 | 33985 | 3150 |
45 | 37985 | 37993.6470588235 | -8.64705882353155 |
46 | 43121 | 37993.6470588235 | 5127.35294117647 |
47 | 43722 | 42347.5625 | 1374.4375 |
48 | 43630 | 42347.5625 | 1282.4375 |
49 | 42234 | 42347.5625 | -113.5625 |
50 | 39351 | 42347.5625 | -2996.5625 |
51 | 39327 | 37993.6470588235 | 1333.35294117647 |
52 | 35704 | 37993.6470588235 | -2289.64705882353 |
53 | 30466 | 33985 | -3519 |
54 | 28155 | 28761.96 | -606.959999999999 |
55 | 29257 | 28761.96 | 495.040000000001 |
56 | 29998 | 28761.96 | 1236.04 |
57 | 32529 | 28761.96 | 3767.04 |
58 | 34787 | 33985 | 802 |
59 | 33855 | 33985 | -130 |
60 | 34556 | 33985 | 571 |
61 | 31348 | 33985 | -2637 |
62 | 30805 | 28761.96 | 2043.04 |
63 | 28353 | 28761.96 | -408.959999999999 |
64 | 24514 | 28761.96 | -4247.96 |
65 | 21106 | 24059.85 | -2953.85 |
66 | 21346 | 20819.9 | 526.099999999999 |
67 | 23335 | 20819.9 | 2515.1 |
68 | 24379 | 24059.85 | 319.150000000001 |
69 | 26290 | 24059.85 | 2230.15 |
70 | 30084 | 28761.96 | 1322.04 |
71 | 29429 | 28761.96 | 667.040000000001 |
72 | 30632 | 28761.96 | 1870.04 |
73 | 27349 | 28761.96 | -1412.96 |
74 | 27264 | 28761.96 | -1497.96 |
75 | 27474 | 28761.96 | -1287.96 |
76 | 24482 | 28761.96 | -4279.96 |
77 | 21453 | 24059.85 | -2606.85 |
78 | 18788 | 20819.9 | -2031.9 |
79 | 19282 | 20819.9 | -1537.9 |
80 | 19713 | 20819.9 | -1106.90000000000 |
81 | 21917 | 20819.9 | 1097.10000000000 |
82 | 23812 | 24059.85 | -247.849999999999 |
83 | 23785 | 24059.85 | -274.849999999999 |
84 | 24696 | 24059.85 | 636.150000000001 |
85 | 24562 | 24059.85 | 502.150000000001 |
86 | 23580 | 24059.85 | -479.849999999999 |
87 | 24939 | 24059.85 | 879.150000000001 |
88 | 23899 | 24059.85 | -160.849999999999 |
89 | 21454 | 24059.85 | -2605.85 |
90 | 19761 | 20819.9 | -1058.90000000000 |
91 | 19815 | 20819.9 | -1004.90000000000 |
92 | 20780 | 20819.9 | -39.9000000000015 |
93 | 23462 | 20819.9 | 2642.1 |
94 | 25005 | 24059.85 | 945.150000000001 |
95 | 24725 | 24059.85 | 665.150000000001 |
96 | 26198 | 24059.85 | 2138.15 |
97 | 27543 | 28761.96 | -1218.96 |
98 | 26471 | 28761.96 | -2290.96 |
99 | 26558 | 28761.96 | -2203.96 |
100 | 25317 | 28761.96 | -3444.96 |
101 | 22896 | 24059.85 | -1163.85000000000 |
102 | 22248 | 24059.85 | -1811.85 |
103 | 23406 | 24059.85 | -653.849999999999 |
104 | 25073 | 24059.85 | 1013.15000000000 |
105 | 27691 | 24059.85 | 3631.15 |
106 | 30599 | 28761.96 | 1837.04 |
107 | 31948 | 28761.96 | 3186.04 |
108 | 32946 | 33985 | -1039 |
109 | 34012 | 33985 | 27 |
110 | 32936 | 33985 | -1049 |
111 | 32974 | 33985 | -1011 |
112 | 30951 | 33985 | -3034 |
113 | 29812 | 28761.96 | 1050.04 |
114 | 29010 | 28761.96 | 248.040000000001 |
115 | 31068 | 28761.96 | 2306.04 |
116 | 32447 | 28761.96 | 3685.04 |
117 | 34844 | 33985 | 859 |
118 | 35676 | 33985 | 1691 |
119 | 35387 | 33985 | 1402 |
120 | 36488 | 33985 | 2503 |
121 | 35652 | 37993.6470588235 | -2341.64705882353 |
122 | 33488 | 33985 | -497 |
123 | 32914 | 33985 | -1071 |
124 | 29781 | 33985 | -4204 |
125 | 27951 | 28761.96 | -810.959999999999 |