Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[60])
4869-------
4960-------
5056-------
5158-------
5250-------
5351-------
5453-------
5537-------
5622-------
5755-------
5870-------
5962-------
6058-------
613961.516742.188480.84490.01120.63930.56110.6393
624950.438931.110769.76720.4420.8770.28640.2216
635858.505639.177377.83380.47960.83250.52040.5204
644752.527833.199571.8560.28760.28950.60120.2895
654245.438926.110764.76720.36360.43710.28640.1014
666258.561139.232877.88930.36360.95350.71360.5227
673931.944512.616251.27280.23720.00120.30410.0041
684025.03335.70544.36160.06450.07830.62084e-04
697249.944530.616269.27280.01270.84340.30410.207
707063.427844.099682.75610.25260.19240.25260.709
715453.405634.077472.73390.4760.04620.19170.3206
726563.561144.232882.88930.4420.83390.71360.7136


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
610.1603-0.3660506.999600
620.1955-0.02850.19732.0706254.535115.9542
630.1686-0.00860.13440.2556169.775213.0298
640.1877-0.10520.127130.556134.970411.6177
650.217-0.07570.116811.8264110.341610.5044
660.16840.05870.107111.826493.92249.6914
670.30870.22090.123449.780187.61649.3604
680.39390.59790.1827224.0021104.664610.2306
690.19740.44160.2115486.4452147.084712.1278
700.15550.10360.200743.1932136.695511.6917
710.18470.01110.18340.3533124.300811.149
720.15510.02260.172.0706114.114910.6825