| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 9700 | 9700 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 9081 | 9420.62455281495 | -4.5890426297954 | -334.626271902039 | -1.94825201291792 |
| 3 | 9084 | 9148.2077517124 | -22.2303618909331 | -61.4190688909295 | -1.35872117365695 |
| 4 | 9743 | 9343.40355518114 | -8.8193715342712 | 396.708384935167 | 1.35850437495548 |
| 5 | 8587 | 9095.70202034107 | -19.3928504723650 | -504.874476723729 | -1.70098600051497 |
| 6 | 9731 | 9271.86407345205 | -13.6836322275629 | 455.785036080261 | 1.45024067345611 |
| 7 | 9563 | 9434.40844999122 | -10.0399239606939 | 125.514093292607 | 1.31890702427521 |
| 8 | 9998 | 9698.13795425041 | -5.33632031363061 | 295.060465637396 | 2.05127007984087 |
| 9 | 9437 | 9674.89595659924 | -5.62859801659247 | -237.581978828241 | -0.134046595619623 |
| 10 | 10038 | 9807.97758753645 | -3.35094274695094 | 227.593480956693 | 1.03721999324648 |
| 11 | 9918 | 9889.12380139853 | -1.94548511099250 | 27.3982918679218 | 0.631326425854686 |
| 12 | 9252 | 9667.85545584089 | -5.6050188046502 | -412.021472076373 | -1.63810580704716 |
| 13 | 9737 | 9552.0412545418 | -3.61040227495166 | 186.943252254166 | -0.867707542115775 |
| 14 | 9035 | 9409.52966529666 | -2.68610765998603 | -372.045359372442 | -1.07943661012622 |
| 15 | 9133 | 9311.8021903386 | -4.17279616924874 | -177.283195680046 | -0.672370905652503 |
| 16 | 9487 | 9154.66553084616 | -8.34497094258953 | 334.647008087387 | -1.05021514512539 |
| 17 | 8700 | 9193.55821813077 | -6.9846990075786 | -494.289731604054 | 0.333489306211107 |
| 18 | 9627 | 9253.4586044127 | -5.31403601802089 | 372.463723032358 | 0.487484467042734 |
| 19 | 8947 | 9171.21697982802 | -6.8558937647209 | -222.945610987148 | -0.570707897539624 |
| 20 | 9283 | 9097.55670913712 | -7.93365258961034 | 186.560772068260 | -0.499253744665062 |
| 21 | 8829 | 9105.02135657368 | -7.72594706235133 | -276.280234763893 | 0.115351198940874 |
| 22 | 9947 | 9330.49146897202 | -5.08649185514184 | 612.580274984794 | 1.74711149030179 |
| 23 | 9628 | 9424.08534386672 | -4.23982836968727 | 202.250390752836 | 0.738833540386894 |
| 24 | 9318 | 9518.27043512378 | -3.77030289426937 | -201.934851549524 | 0.737829998929544 |
| 25 | 9605 | 9459.6525333162 | -3.83436376185997 | 146.280162888563 | -0.413336377929872 |
| 26 | 8640 | 9243.96375879017 | -4.5673021732229 | -600.392639825714 | -1.58347703966637 |
| 27 | 9214 | 9214.56358112121 | -4.81574726388101 | -0.157408460500335 | -0.181087518937939 |
| 28 | 9567 | 9224.46897353754 | -4.57916825516746 | 342.296465463807 | 0.105542558958506 |
| 29 | 8547 | 9155.45177696454 | -5.81034756066413 | -607.427922744883 | -0.463382439639212 |
| 30 | 9185 | 8982.89970567253 | -8.99400504744033 | 204.786549860404 | -1.21588207581558 |
| 31 | 9470 | 9195.98429437877 | -5.18028867497022 | 270.379490905194 | 1.64089527434201 |
| 32 | 9123 | 9183.67228549114 | -5.28384289359201 | -60.5541585213881 | -0.0531211458806797 |
| 33 | 9278 | 9382.238653821 | -2.87829799995906 | -107.636861116059 | 1.52376779855306 |
| 34 | 10170 | 9524.17096509914 | -1.54558636518991 | 643.407657381585 | 1.08343245497791 |
| 35 | 9434 | 9459.87903816316 | -1.97218082081931 | -24.8282625863602 | -0.469477382632173 |
| 36 | 9655 | 9554.28603843822 | -1.49714181641705 | 99.0984420902315 | 0.721210944559087 |
| 37 | 9429 | 9426.43881059238 | -2.04658905859906 | 4.67679322160564 | -0.944253596916056 |
| 38 | 8739 | 9353.99551485272 | -2.45262076854173 | -613.825140780271 | -0.522791335292416 |
| 39 | 9552 | 9400.4538714729 | -2.0255327633396 | 150.743709316006 | 0.359400179017050 |
| 40 | 9687 | 9364.41978943982 | -2.42987756385864 | 323.131332353283 | -0.247868711532408 |
| 41 | 9019 | 9439.20439028914 | -1.34601321892296 | -421.450841987691 | 0.562529215139126 |
| 42 | 9672 | 9526.26882372462 | -0.047847268485069 | 144.296967051820 | 0.648008784330493 |
| 43 | 9206 | 9354.29953962991 | -2.45049008702385 | -145.485846509328 | -1.27002892558780 |
| 44 | 9069 | 9291.74798991872 | -3.19410451169397 | -221.756334733109 | -0.446692690210052 |
| 45 | 9788 | 9527.3417025869 | -0.719835326329942 | 256.696550113955 | 1.78077301638989 |
| 46 | 10312 | 9624.51109713784 | 0.096027957588888 | 685.859787070915 | 0.731020408457668 |
| 47 | 10105 | 9836.2318452694 | 1.49713127116114 | 265.240934276026 | 1.58093275393686 |
| 48 | 9863 | 9824.50498151234 | 1.42373578282638 | 38.7154690254109 | -0.0987486279718978 |
| 49 | 9656 | 9747.28483630863 | 0.997551636934981 | -89.9762517528914 | -0.586130706721582 |
| 50 | 9295 | 9801.80000511374 | 1.33567199133678 | -507.6861449915 | 0.397175228268162 |
| 51 | 9946 | 9816.17047588593 | 1.43942942766346 | 129.615247558962 | 0.096192398012906 |
| 52 | 9701 | 9676.92268320296 | 0.0656899687826051 | 26.3750423304587 | -1.03376292817842 |
| 53 | 9049 | 9568.96478398853 | -1.13769998998178 | -518.205210398125 | -0.793200338741033 |
| 54 | 10190 | 9686.23967611857 | 0.250703430598917 | 501.827789847443 | 0.871968273634657 |
| 55 | 9706 | 9795.05731572663 | 1.49455614989545 | -90.8376573032048 | 0.803048404502364 |
| 56 | 9765 | 9964.83782038248 | 3.26280650936327 | -202.611880267706 | 1.24985211411604 |
| 57 | 9893 | 9928.37450467282 | 2.89852693427271 | -34.7169593287432 | -0.295842154417687 |
| 58 | 9994 | 9736.86782675455 | 1.38879256112751 | 260.358382812888 | -1.44974137909044 |
| 59 | 10433 | 9841.25817106834 | 2.06803443808084 | 590.030267379287 | 0.768443002439589 |
| 60 | 10073 | 9925.0086381795 | 2.54992803660270 | 146.634013698928 | 0.609127917613946 |
| 61 | 10112 | 10052.8594328691 | 3.28013450841469 | 57.0615418148054 | 0.932957672188076 |
| 62 | 9266 | 9964.6145447027 | 2.69702650226427 | -697.100793514692 | -0.679604846605334 |
| 63 | 9820 | 9805.62721745523 | 1.50975423348385 | 17.0356306578212 | -1.19665516212745 |
| 64 | 10097 | 9863.86565054821 | 1.98797486111284 | 232.203534808297 | 0.418831124021567 |
| 65 | 9115 | 9841.26216105916 | 1.75920451005729 | -725.859346237903 | -0.181460233955533 |
| 66 | 10411 | 9901.6122055634 | 2.3291757362672 | 508.427267971591 | 0.432962988604558 |
| 67 | 9678 | 9895.06325750294 | 2.24374033344239 | -216.917323822984 | -0.0657746447297351 |
| 68 | 10408 | 10131.5737565930 | 4.36484884925401 | 272.562933780309 | 1.74014104808724 |
| 69 | 10153 | 10180.0375683428 | 4.72613312181003 | -27.7668886134338 | 0.328215053005083 |
| 70 | 10368 | 10200.9474765953 | 4.84359730176286 | 166.784335743943 | 0.120589854460093 |
| 71 | 10581 | 10156.2839481808 | 4.52340528299437 | 425.537312848946 | -0.369042073997497 |
| 72 | 10597 | 10267.0495364991 | 5.15994571093786 | 328.187955970625 | 0.79171878968827 |
| 73 | 10680 | 10388.6627388489 | 5.84920868267741 | 289.407355389986 | 0.86687876213114 |
| 74 | 9738 | 10404.4257558570 | 5.91101679723834 | -666.58971639717 | 0.0736698387168638 |
| 75 | 9556 | 10104.8935041481 | 3.82775190582163 | -543.854804388791 | -2.26531949085490 |
