Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 611 | 0 | 62 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 286602 | 288161.517903624 | 8072.7499757138 | 276969.732120662 | 1559.51790362428 |
2 | 283042 | 285425.007094042 | 3522.40905719658 | 277136.583848761 | 2383.00709404238 |
3 | 276687 | 278185.215906629 | -2114.65148348892 | 277303.43557686 | 1498.21590662876 |
4 | 277915 | 278239.12881734 | 55.4000318274953 | 277535.471150832 | 324.12881734001 |
5 | 277128 | 274606.439947613 | 1882.05332758186 | 277767.506724805 | -2521.5600523866 |
6 | 277103 | 275198.629758237 | 964.914519660636 | 278042.455722102 | -1904.37024176295 |
7 | 275037 | 274456.221279250 | -2699.62599864949 | 278317.4047194 | -580.778720750357 |
8 | 270150 | 266029.831735391 | -4329.99327508780 | 278600.161539697 | -4120.16826460941 |
9 | 267140 | 265718.243502411 | -10321.1618624054 | 278882.918359995 | -1421.75649758917 |
10 | 264993 | 263396.193810363 | -12704.8460341884 | 279294.652223826 | -1596.80618963728 |
11 | 287259 | 286744.540641298 | 8067.07327104521 | 279706.386087657 | -514.459358702006 |
12 | 291186 | 292666.185001953 | 9605.68017450436 | 280100.134823542 | 1480.18500195321 |
13 | 292300 | 296033.366464858 | 8072.7499757138 | 280493.883559428 | 3733.36646485812 |
14 | 288186 | 292018.599701071 | 3522.40905719658 | 280830.991241733 | 3832.59970107087 |
15 | 281477 | 283900.552559452 | -2114.65148348892 | 281168.098924037 | 2423.5525594519 |
16 | 282656 | 283843.989479150 | 55.4000318274953 | 281412.610489022 | 1187.98947915033 |
17 | 280190 | 276840.824618411 | 1882.05332758186 | 281657.122054007 | -3349.17538158916 |
18 | 280408 | 278213.284308297 | 964.914519660636 | 281637.801172042 | -2194.71569170279 |
19 | 276836 | 274753.145708572 | -2699.62599864949 | 281618.480290077 | -2082.85429142753 |
20 | 275216 | 273602.102193194 | -4329.99327508780 | 281159.891081894 | -1613.89780680626 |
21 | 274352 | 278323.859988694 | -10321.1618624054 | 280701.301873711 | 3971.85998869425 |
22 | 271311 | 275549.685790345 | -12704.8460341884 | 279777.160243843 | 4238.68579034525 |
23 | 289802 | 292683.908114980 | 8067.07327104521 | 278853.018613975 | 2881.90811497957 |
24 | 290726 | 294474.568645202 | 9605.68017450436 | 277371.751180294 | 3748.5686452018 |
25 | 292300 | 300636.766277674 | 8072.7499757138 | 275890.483746613 | 8336.76627767371 |
26 | 278506 | 279749.511175804 | 3522.40905719658 | 273740.079766999 | 1243.51117580396 |
27 | 269826 | 270176.975696102 | -2114.65148348892 | 271589.675787386 | 350.975696102483 |
28 | 265861 | 262766.789331721 | 55.4000318274953 | 268899.810636452 | -3094.21066827927 |
29 | 269034 | 269976.001186901 | 1882.05332758186 | 266209.945485517 | 942.001186901063 |
30 | 264176 | 263927.185933852 | 964.914519660636 | 263459.899546487 | -248.814066147897 |
31 | 255198 | 252385.772391192 | -2699.62599864949 | 260709.853607457 | -2812.22760880788 |
32 | 253353 | 252741.864693344 | -4329.99327508780 | 258294.128581744 | -611.135306656477 |
33 | 246057 | 246556.758306374 | -10321.1618624054 | 255878.403556031 | 499.75830637422 |
34 | 235372 | 229446.369117019 | -12704.8460341884 | 254002.476917170 | -5925.63088298129 |
35 | 258556 | 256918.376450646 | 8067.07327104521 | 252126.550278308 | -1637.62354935351 |
36 | 260993 | 261789.000369457 | 9605.68017450436 | 250591.319456038 | 796.000369457353 |
37 | 254663 | 252197.161390518 | 8072.7499757138 | 249056.088633768 | -2465.83860948207 |
38 | 250643 | 250030.419325839 | 3522.40905719658 | 247733.171616964 | -612.580674161029 |
39 | 243422 | 242548.396883328 | -2114.65148348892 | 246410.254600161 | -873.60311667173 |
40 | 247105 | 248855.712795967 | 55.4000318274953 | 245298.887172205 | 1750.71279596712 |
41 | 248541 | 251012.426928168 | 1882.05332758186 | 244187.51974425 | 2471.42692816808 |
42 | 245039 | 245802.454981591 | 964.914519660636 | 243310.630498749 | 763.454981590738 |
43 | 237080 | 234425.884745402 | -2699.62599864949 | 242433.741253247 | -2654.11525459768 |
44 | 237085 | 236461.42867196 | -4329.99327508780 | 242038.564603128 | -623.57132803998 |
45 | 225554 | 219785.773909397 | -10321.1618624054 | 241643.387953008 | -5768.22609060301 |
46 | 226839 | 224142.943795701 | -12704.8460341884 | 242239.902238487 | -2696.05620429869 |
47 | 247934 | 244964.510204989 | 8067.07327104521 | 242836.416523966 | -2969.48979501106 |
48 | 248333 | 242237.647913929 | 9605.68017450436 | 244822.671911566 | -6095.35208607063 |
49 | 246969 | 239056.322725119 | 8072.7499757138 | 246808.927299167 | -7912.67727488055 |
50 | 245098 | 236652.003814596 | 3522.40905719658 | 250021.587128207 | -8445.99618540352 |
51 | 246263 | 241406.404526242 | -2114.65148348892 | 253234.246957247 | -4856.59547375821 |
52 | 255765 | 254274.050916987 | 55.4000318274953 | 257200.549051185 | -1490.94908301270 |
53 | 264319 | 265589.095527295 | 1882.05332758186 | 261166.851145123 | 1270.09552729491 |
54 | 268347 | 270608.934790047 | 964.914519660636 | 265120.150690292 | 2261.93479004735 |
55 | 273046 | 279718.175763189 | -2699.62599864949 | 269073.450235461 | 6672.1757631888 |
56 | 273963 | 279189.655347785 | -4329.99327508780 | 273066.337927303 | 5226.65534778452 |
57 | 267430 | 268121.936243260 | -10321.1618624054 | 277059.225619146 | 691.936243259523 |
58 | 271993 | 275642.256836726 | -12704.8460341884 | 281048.589197462 | 3649.25683672598 |
59 | 292710 | 292314.973953176 | 8067.07327104521 | 285037.952775779 | -395.026046824176 |
60 | 295881 | 293197.365543542 | 9605.68017450436 | 288958.954281954 | -2683.63445645798 |
61 | 294563 | 288173.294236158 | 8072.7499757138 | 292879.955788128 | -6389.70576384215 |