Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.665911537998786
betaFALSE
gammaFALSE


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
210100
310100
410100
510100
69.9410-0.0600000000000005
710.069.960045307720070.099954692279928
810.0610.02660629058640.0333937094136054
910.0610.04884354698150.0111564530185078
1010.0610.05627275776970.00372724223034204
1110.0610.05875477137580.00124522862424037
1210.0610.05958398348410.000416016515911721
1310.0610.0598610136820.000138986317967493
1410.0610.05995356627484.6433725209738e-05
1510.0610.05998448702821.55129718404368e-05
1610.0610.05999481729515.1827049034614e-06
1710.0610.05999826851811.73148191073835e-06
1810.0610.05999942153195.78468128509257e-07
1910.0610.05999980674051.93259527492273e-07
2010.0610.05999993543426.45657785014464e-08
219.9410.0599999784293-0.11999997842932
229.949.98009060823363-0.0400906082336299
239.949.95339380964547-0.013393809645466
249.949.94447471726479-0.00447471726478987
259.949.94149495140888-0.00149495140888334
269.949.94049944601696-0.000499446016959837
2710.069.940166859151660.119833140848343
2810.0610.01996513027720.0400348697227972
299.9410.0466248119479-0.106624811947892
3010.069.975622119434840.0843778805651603
3110.0610.03181032365510.0281896763449367
3210.0610.05058215438560.00941784561439185
3310.1810.05685360644330.123146393556675
3410.2810.13885821077570.141141789224346
3510.2810.23284615671390.0471538432860612
3610.1810.2642464450191-0.0842464450191134
3710.2810.20814576524550.071854234754495
3810.2810.25599432922260.0240056707774041
3910.2810.27197998237070.00802001762933102
4010.1810.277320604645-0.0973206046449935
4110.2810.21251369112690.067486308873125
4210.2810.25745360286240.0225463971375603
4310.1810.2724675088566-0.0924675088566431
4410.1810.210892327819-0.0308923278190001
4510.1810.1903207702887-0.0103207702886863
4610.2810.18344805027240.0965519497275853
4710.2810.24774310761230.0322568923877071
4810.1810.2692233444333-0.0892233444332522
4910.1810.2098084899163-0.0298084899163094
5010.1810.1899586725507-0.00995867255071836
5110.1810.183327077596-0.00332707759604389
5210.1810.181111538237-0.00111153823702104
5310.1810.1803713521001-0.000371352100062339
5410.2810.1801240644520.0998759355480292
5510.2810.24663260230180.0333673976981732
5610.2810.2688523374220.0111476625779652
5710.1810.2762756945544-0.0962756945544196
5810.1810.2121645987218-0.0321645987217849
5910.1810.1907458213178-0.0107458213178475
6010.2810.1835900549170.0964099450829803
6110.1810.2477905497256-0.067790549725606
6210.1810.202648040496-0.0226480404960441
6310.2810.18756644901670.0924335509833352
6410.1810.2491190171147-0.0691190171146658
6510.1810.2030918661229-0.0230918661228738
6610.1810.1877147260377-0.00771472603772949
6710.2810.18257740095670.097422599043293
6810.2810.24745223372150.032547766278535
6910.2810.26912616682240.0108738331775715
7010.2810.27636717779760.00363282220235206
7110.2810.27878631601770.00121368398230715
7210.2810.2795945221850.000405477815004218
7310.1810.2798645345404-0.0998645345404086
7410.1810.2133635887531-0.0333635887530725
7510.1810.1911463900534-0.011146390053355
7610.1810.1837238803098-0.00372388030979032
7710.1810.1812441054454-0.0012441054453749
7810.1810.1804156412748-0.000415641274813083
7910.1810.1801388609542-0.000138860954246312
8010.1810.1800463918426-4.63918426358845e-05
8110.1810.1800154989794-1.54989793550442e-05
8210.2810.18000517803020.0999948219698243
8310.2810.246592883720.0334071162799834
8410.2810.26883906790210.0111609320978747
8510.2810.27627126136090.00372873863907941
8610.2810.27875427144290.00124572855713367
8710.2810.27958381646230.000416183537723214
8810.2810.2798609578820.000139042118028954
8910.2810.27995354763264.64523673660011e-05
9010.1810.2799844808-0.09998448080003
9110.2810.21340366141450.0665963385855282
9210.2810.2577509316670.0222490683329504
9310.2810.27256684297970.00743315702031566
9410.2810.27751666800330.00248333199673034
9510.1810.2791703474326-0.0991703474325742
9610.2810.21313166884990.0668683311501255
9710.2810.25766006208950.0223399379105338
9810.2810.27253648450230.00746351549773294
9910.1810.2775065255862-0.0975065255862404
10010.1810.2125758051682-0.0325758051681895
10110.2810.19088320064710.089116799352908
10210.2810.25022710556570.0297728944342843
10310.2810.27005321948910.00994678051087483
10410.2810.27667689539730.00332310460274243
10510.2810.27888978909420.0011102109058001
10610.2810.2796290913460.000370908654016233
10710.2810.27987608369820.000123916301763671
10810.1810.2799586009933-0.099958600993327
10910.2810.21339501526970.0666049847303452
11010.2810.25774804308980.0222519569101749
11110.2810.27256587793940.00743412206063709
11210.4210.27751634559440.142483654405568
11310.4210.37239785503930.0476021449606687
11410.4210.40409667260210.0159033273978686
11510.4210.41468688180890.00531311819105618
11610.4210.41822494851510.00177505148488066
11710.4210.41940697577940.000593024220556515
11810.4210.41980187745020.000198122549775803
11910.4210.41993380954216.61904579430939e-05
12010.4210.41997788653172.21134682938384e-05
12110.4210.41999261214547.38785461251723e-06
12210.3410.419997531803-0.0799975318030146
12310.3410.366726252364-0.0267262523639626
12410.3410.3489289325473-0.00892893254733274
12510.4210.34298305334210.0770169466579489
12610.4210.3942695267430.0257304732569832
12710.4210.4114037457630.00859625423698951
12810.4210.4171280906430.00287190935700643
12910.3410.4190405282199-0.0790405282199114
13010.4210.36640652850880.0535934714912472
13110.4210.40209503953620.0179049604638166
13210.4210.41401815929650.00598184070354968
13310.4210.41800153603940.00199846396058589
13410.4210.4193323362490.000667663750956393
13510.4210.41977694124430.000223058755690175
13610.4210.41992547864347.45213566251124e-05
13710.4210.41997510327462.4896725420831e-05
13810.4210.41999168229138.317708704908e-06
13910.4210.41999722114952.77885050792293e-06
14010.4210.41999907161819.28381892251195e-07
14110.4210.41999968983833.10161677674614e-07
14210.4210.41999989637861.03621438540813e-07
14310.4210.41999996538133.4618727440261e-08
14410.4210.41999998843431.15657172727879e-08
14510.4210.4199999961363.86397225327073e-09
14610.4210.41999999870911.29090871325843e-09
14710.3410.4199999995687-0.079999999568722
14810.3410.366727076816-0.0267270768160124
14910.3410.3489292079873-0.00892920798725072
15010.3410.3429831453634-0.0029831453633502
15110.4210.34099663444640.079003365553632
15210.4210.39360588710930.026394112890733
15310.3410.4111820314184-0.0711820314184486
15410.3410.3637810953987-0.0237810953987108
15510.3410.3479449895865-0.00794498958645917
15610.4210.34265432935160.0773456706484446
15710.4210.39415970385060.0258402961493918
15810.4210.41136705520180.00863294479820631
15910.3410.4171158327498-0.0771158327498256
16010.3410.3657635099593-0.025763509959333
16110.3410.3486072914181-0.00860729141806615
16210.3410.3428755967519-0.00287559675185811
16310.3410.3409607036962-0.000960703696163634
16410.4210.34032096002030.0796790399797107
16510.4210.39338015207940.0266198479205553
16610.4210.41110661594950.00889338405048434
16710.3410.4170288230006-0.0770288230005871
16810.4210.3657344410060.0542655589939702
16910.4210.40187050285610.0181294971439314
17010.4210.41394314418230.0060568558176719
17110.4210.41797647435530.00202352564468988
17210.4210.41932396342950.000676036570453675
17310.4210.41977414398190.000225856018079895
17410.4210.41992454411037.54558897142488e-05
17510.4210.41997479105792.52089421444168e-05
17610.4210.41999157798338.42201670891995e-06
17710.4210.41999718630142.81369860921643e-06
17810.4210.41999905997589.40024241558035e-07
17910.4210.41999968594873.14051252559011e-07
18010.4210.41999989507911.04920900412253e-07
18110.3410.4199999649471-0.0799999649471381
18210.3410.3667270652493-0.0267270652493412
18310.3410.348929204123-0.00892920412295872
18410.4210.34298314407230.0770168559276652
18510.4210.3942695570550.0257304429450436
18610.4210.41140375588990.0085962441101195
18710.4210.41712809402630.00287190597373765
18810.4210.41904052935020.000959470649778638
18910.4210.41967945192630.000320548073720062
19010.4210.41989290858710.000107091412946403
19110.4210.41996422199463.57780054454082e-05
19210.4210.41998804698121.19530188129602e-05
19310.4210.41999600663433.9933656719171e-06
19410.4210.41999866586261.33413739611399e-06
19510.4210.41999955428014.45719910757703e-07
19610.4210.41999985109011.48909879982284e-07
19710.4210.41999995025094.97490724171712e-08
19810.3410.4199999833794-0.079999983379409
19910.3410.3667270714073-0.0267270714073486
20010.4210.34892920618030.0710707938197217
20110.4210.39625606779960.0237439322004356
20210.5510.41206742620930.137932573790705
20310.5510.50391831856240.0460816814376059
20410.5510.53460464192210.0153953580779191
20510.5510.54485658849780.00514341150221043
20610.5510.54828164556180.00171835443821244
20710.5510.54942591760860.000574082391436193
20810.5510.54980820569680.000191794303216142
20910.5510.54993592373626.40762637829084e-05
21010.5510.54997859285962.14071404176508e-05
21110.5510.54999284812147.15187861821676e-06
21210.4910.5499976106399-0.0599976106398721
21310.4910.5100445094624-0.0200445094624229
21410.5510.49669663933790.0533033606621309
21510.5510.53219196221690.0178080377831069
21610.5510.54405054004580.00594945995421803
21710.5510.54801235407420.00198764592584233
21810.5510.54933595042960.000664049570367808
21910.5510.54977814870030.00022185129965635
22010.4910.5499258820405-0.0599258820405062
22110.5510.5100205457650.0399794542350218
22210.5510.5366433256230.013356674377027
22310.5510.54553768919990.00446231080007209
22410.5510.54850919344780.00149080655216771
22510.5510.54950193873180.000498061268155325
22610.5510.54983360347690.000166396523059831
22710.4910.5499444088415-0.0599444088415293
22810.4910.5100267353554-0.0200267353554384
22910.5510.49669070121380.0533092987861963
23010.5510.53218997835820.0178100216418429
23110.5510.54404987726150.00595012273853079
23210.4910.5480121326456-0.0580121326455671
23310.5510.5093811841730.0406188158270329
23410.5510.5364297222920.0135702777079647
23510.5510.54546632679160.0045336732083836
23610.5510.54848535209060.00151464790940459
23710.5510.54949397360950.00050602639052677
23810.5510.54983094242150.000169057578542464
23910.5510.54994351981365.6480186405139e-05
24010.5510.54998113062141.88693786089544e-05
24110.5510.54999369595836.30404167800691e-06
24210.4910.5499978938924-0.0599978938924117
24310.4910.5100446040938-0.0200446040938278
24410.4910.4966966709531-0.00669667095312931
24510.5510.49223728049930.057762719500742
24610.5510.5307021418810.0192978581190104
24710.5510.54355280826110.00644719173889818
24810.4910.5478460676277-0.0578460676277253
24910.5510.50932570376660.0406742962334352
25010.5510.53641118692840.0135888130716104
25110.5510.54546013434050.00453986565951681
25210.6310.54848328326410.0815167167358801
25310.6310.60276620547830.0272337945216794
25410.6310.62090150347380.00909849652620487
25510.6310.6269602972890.00303970271096254
25610.6310.62898447039640.00101552960364693
25710.5710.6296607232766-0.0596607232766022
25810.6310.58993195928140.0400680407186407
25910.6310.61661372990090.0133862700990921
26010.6310.62552780161070.00447219838933854
26110.6310.62850589011830.00149410988165855
26210.5710.6295008351276-0.0595008351275759
26310.5710.5898785424956-0.0198785424955599
26410.5710.5766411916892-0.00664119168916777
26510.6310.57221874551730.0577812544827108
26610.6310.61069594955740.0193040504426296
26710.6310.62355073947720.00644926052277128
26810.6310.62784537647090.00215462352909768
26910.5710.629280165139-0.059280165138972
27010.6310.58980481919850.0401951808015433
27110.6310.61657125386620.0134287461338491
27210.5710.6255136108575-0.0555136108575383
27310.6310.58854645687150.0414535431284708
27410.6310.61615084953170.0138491504682925
27510.6310.625373158620.00462684137997549
27610.6310.62845422567940.0015457743205598
27710.5710.6294835746346-0.059483574634644
27810.6310.5898727759640.0401272240359773
27910.610.6165939574374-0.0165939574374434
28010.710.60554384971880.0944561502812107
28110.710.6684432900260.0315567099740051
28210.710.6894572672990.0105427327010332
28310.710.69647779464660.00352220535337722
28410.710.69882327183060.00117672816936221
28510.710.69960686869570.00039313130429619
28610.710.69986865936720.000131340632817611
28710.710.699956120614.3879390016599e-05
28810.710.69998534040211.46595979249042e-05
28910.710.69999510239754.89760252442295e-06
29010.610.6999983637675-0.0999983637675044
29110.610.6334082995537-0.0334082995537237
29210.610.611161327416-0.0111613274159801
29310.610.6037288707103-0.00372887071029737
29410.710.60124577268060.0987542273193949
29510.710.66700735207870.0329926479212546
29610.610.6889775369986-0.088977536998641
29710.710.62972636848850.0702736315114674
29810.710.67652239052910.0234776094709055
29910.710.69215640156040.00784359843959948
30010.710.69737954426080.00262045573924041
30110.710.69912453597230.000875464027664918
30210.710.69970751756950.00029248243053992
30310.710.69990228499469.77150053813602e-05
30410.710.69996735454413.26454558621236e-05
30510.710.69998909352991.09064701394601e-05
30610.710.69999635627423.6437258348343e-06
30710.710.69999878267321.2173267602833e-06
30810.710.69999959330524.06694825372256e-07
30910.710.6999998641281.35872047835051e-07
31010.710.69999995460674.53932837984894e-08
31110.810.69999998483460.100000015165374
31210.810.76659114873330.0334088512666977
31310.810.78883848826310.011161511736919
31410.810.79627106771020.00372893228979621
31510.710.7987542067464-0.0987542067463973
31610.710.7329926410481-0.0329926410480539
31710.710.7110224607051-0.011022460705103
31810.8510.70368247694440.146317523055563
31910.7510.8011170037585-0.0511170037585398
32010.7510.7670776011678-0.0170776011678004
32110.7510.7557054295088-0.00570542950882036
32210.7510.7519061181697-0.00190611816965891
32310.7510.7506368120877-0.000636812087693173
32410.7510.750212751571-0.000212751570961345
32510.7510.7500710778451-7.10778451313843e-05
32610.7510.750023746288-2.37462879617567e-05
32710.7510.7500079333608-7.9333608233867e-06
32810.7510.7500026504443-2.65044431557726e-06
32910.7510.7500008854829-8.85482865697895e-07
33010.8510.75000029582960.0999997041703917
33110.8510.81659125263310.0334087473668632
33210.8510.83883852297480.0111614770251816
33310.8510.8462710793070.00372892069300512
33410.8510.84875421062070.00124578937925079
33510.8510.84958379614230.000416203857691144
33610.8510.84986095109330.000139048906694583
33710.8510.84995354536464.64546353811102e-05
33810.8510.84998448004231.55199576870046e-05
33910.8510.84999481496125.18503879476384e-06
34010.7510.8499982677384-0.0999982677383624
34110.7510.7834082674715-0.0334082674714953
34210.8510.76116131669770.0888386833023223
34310.8510.82032002092930.0296799790706856
34410.8510.840084261440.00991573855995398
34510.8510.84668726615490.00331273384510133
34610.7510.8488932538447-0.09889325384467
34710.7510.7830390950793-0.0330390950792623
34810.7510.7610379804609-0.0110379804609426
34910.7510.7536876619158-0.00368766191579617
35010.7510.7512320052978-0.00123200529782963


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
35110.750411598755110.665281650739610.8355415467706
35210.750411598755110.648133778936310.852689418574
35310.750411598755110.633474022225310.8673491752849
35410.750411598755110.620457602347110.8803655951632
35510.750411598755110.608631185579710.8921920119306